QualityDipStocks / Utilities · Power Generation
Exelon EXC
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 8% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: its free cash flow is negative.
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- forming
- Off 52-wk high
- −8%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta −0.27
4 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $46.16
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$40.20−12.9%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$46.16you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$50.29+8.9%
Fair value estimate
No estimate for EXC: negative free cash flow. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much EXC moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Has moved mostly independently of the market, but its own price swings are 1.6× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- -0.27
- Volatility
- 20% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- −0.17
- Correlation QQQ
- −0.27
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 4 of 5
Cash returnsDividend yield of 3.6% ($1.7B paid over 12 months, 64% of earnings).
ProfitabilityOperating margin widened to 21.2% in FY2025 from 18.5% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
GrowthSales grew 8.3% a year over the last three fiscal years, above the 3.1% median for the 56 Utilities companies we cover.
ValuationEV/EBITDA of 10.9×, below the 13.5× median for the 43 Utilities companies we cover.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ValuationFree cash flow is negative (−$2.2B over the last 12 months), so there’s no cash-flow value under the price.
Balance sheetNet debt of $50.3B, 106% of the market cap (Sep 30, 2026).
ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital of 5%, below the 9.5% discount rate our DCF uses.
GrowthDiluted EPS fell 13% to $1.74 in FY2021.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%; net debt 5.4× EBITDA (limit 3×).
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Exelon in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Power Generation
All fundamentals
P/E 18.0 · FCF yield -5.5% · ROE 9%
Valuation
- P/E
- 18.0×Utilities median 21.2×
- Price / FCF
- n/anegative free cash flow
- FCF yield
- −5.5%
- EV / EBITDA
- 10.9×
- Price / sales
- 1.83×
- Price / book
- 1.57×
- Market cap
- $47.4Blisted
- Enterprise value
- $97.7B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $25.9B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +6.7%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +8.3%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- EPS growth, last FY
- −13.4%
- Net income, 12 months
- $2.6B
- Net income growth
- −6%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- n/agross profit isn't reported (common for service and financial companies)
- Operating margin
- 19.8%
- Net margin
- 10.2%
- FCF margin
- −10.0%
- Return on equity
- 9%
- Return on invested capital
- 5%
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $1.5B
- Total debt
- $51.7B
- Net cash
- −$50.3B
- Debt / equity
- 1.72×
- Interest coverage
- n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- −$2.6B
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Dividend yield
- 3.58%$1.7B paid
- Payout ratio
- 64%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Share count, 1 year
- +2.4%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Trailing 12 months to Sep 30, 2026; balance sheet at Sep 30, 2026. From Exelon’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 74 · 5 days +3.9%
The business
FCF $-1.9B · Sales +10%
- Free cash flow, 12 months−$1.9B
- Free-cash-flow yield−4.1%
- Free-cash-flow margin−8%
- Gross margin42%
- Operating margin21%
- Return on invested capital5%
- Return on equity10%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+10%
- Net debt / EBITDA5.5×
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
EXC is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.