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Alerts & setups

What needs attention now

Reversal signals that fired in the last five sessions, capitulation setups waiting on their trigger, and the dip names that fell hardest in the last session.

As of the Fri Oct 30 close

Signals fired

Last five sessions. A signal is a published reversal signal rule, met on the close.

CompanySignal priceRuleStopvs Market ValueLedger
TPL
TPLTexas Pacific Land
$331.68Oct 30 closeR2 · Reversal candle at value$325.64−6.4%pre-rules1
CBRE
CBRECBRE Group
$128.85Oct 30 closeR3 · Oversold MACD turn at value$121.44—pre-rules1
AVGO
AVGOBroadcom
$326.08Oct 30 closeClosed 7.0% under Market Value—−7.0%QD-0001
ANET
ANETArista Networks
$168.86Oct 30 closeClosed 13.3% under Market Value—−13.3%QD-0002

1 Fired before Reversal Signal Rules v1 were published on Nov 1, 2026. The Ledger only logs signals under rules published in advance.

Armed setups

A capitulation day has happened. The setup fires if the stock closes above its trigger; the stop sits under the panic low. Closest first.

CompanyLastTriggerDistanceStopRiskvs Market ValuePanic day3 months
TWLO
TWLOTwilio
$205.03−15.2%$206.90+0.9%$180.00−13.0%formingOct 30
WPM
WPMWheaton Precious Metals
$116.58−5.4%$118.26+1.4%$113.81−3.8%formingOct 30
ARM
ARMArm Holdings
$205.97−10.0%$209.00+1.5%$198.77−4.9%formingOct 30
BBDO
BBDOBanco Bradesco
$2.42−2.8%$2.46+1.7%$2.39−2.8%formingOct 30
UMC
UMCUnited Microelectronics
$16.68−7.5%$17.06+2.3%$16.27−4.6%formingOct 30
AEM
AEMAgnico Eagle Mines
$165.38−6.0%$169.29+2.4%$161.54−4.6%formingOct 30
CAT
CATCaterpillar
$622.75−3.8%$637.70+2.4%$616.66−3.3%formingOct 30
FTNT
FTNTFortinet
$136.08−2.2%$139.44+2.5%$127.40−8.6%formingOct 29
TER
TERTeradyne
$274.37−7.4%$284.16+3.6%$266.36−6.3%formingOct 30
BSX
BSXBoston Scientific
$41.98−1.7%$43.92+4.6%$39.57−9.9%formingOct 28
RIO
RIORio Tinto Plc
$81.89−1.6%$85.74+4.7%$81.21−5.3%formingOct 29
LPLA
LPLALPL Financial
$283.74+1.5%$297.27+4.8%$268.39−9.7%formingOct 28
TSEM
TSEMTower Semiconductor
$166.48−11.4%$175.23+5.3%$160.36−8.5%formingOct 30
FFIV
FFIVF5
$338.34−6.9%$356.26+5.3%$334.01−6.2%formingOct 30
MRVL
MRVLMarvell Technology
$196.40−10.0%$207.61+5.7%$190.15−8.4%−10.7%Oct 30
APP
APPAppLovin
$228.50−10.4%$242.56+6.2%$225.19−7.2%−24.3%Oct 30
ALNY
ALNYAlnylam Pharmaceuticals
$165.00−5.2%$180.61+9.5%$163.30−9.6%formingOct 30
RDDT
RDDTReddit
$91.73−29.2%$101.98+11.2%$89.28−12.5%formingOct 30

Biggest moves into the dip

Dip names that fell most in the last session.

All dips
CompanyLastvs MVOff highDip3 months
RDDT
RDDTReddit
$91.73−29.2%forming−65%Deep dip
ILMN
ILMNIllumina
$235.99−18.6%forming−24%Dip watch
TWLO
TWLOTwilio
$205.03−15.2%forming−34%Dip watch
SNDK
SNDKSandisk
$1,151−13.5%forming−51%Deep dip
TSEM
TSEMTower Semiconductor
$166.48−11.4%forming−48%Deep dip
ASX
ASXASE Technology
$39.50−11.3%forming−18%Dip watch
ALAB
ALABAstera Labs
$258.70−10.9%−16.9%−48%Deep dip
DELL
DELLDell Technologies
$424.30−10.8%−19.1%−29%Deep dip

The three reversal signal rules

Tested on ten years of data, fixed in advance, logged live.

Full method
R1Capitulation reversal

A panic day on heavy volume in a quality name already in a dip, then a close back above that day’s high. Stop under the panic low.

R2Reversal candle at value

A bullish engulfing or hammer close while the stock trades under its Market Value. Stop under the candle’s low.

R3Oversold momentum turn

The MACD turns up from deeply oversold while the company sits in a dip. Stop under the recent low.

Backtests are hypothetical: on ten years of data the rules caught the actual low far more often than buying blind and gave a clear stop, but did not reliably beat simply buying a deep dip. Live results are on the Ledger.

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