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GMAB

Genmab A/S ADS GMAB

Health Care · Pharmaceuticals
$57.06+1.01% dayFri Oct 30 close

Not in a dip: trading near its 52-week high.

A quality company trading near our fair value estimate.

Not in a dipReports Nov 5
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Fair value est.
$56.54−1%
Market Value
—
Off 52-wk high
at the high
Risk vs market
Below marketbeta 0.89

5 bullish · 5 bearish See why

$30$40$50Jan ’26AprJulOct
Fair value est.Drag across the chart to see any day

Key levels

Every level vs today’s $57.06

  1. 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$23.85−58.2%
  2. Fair value est.base case$56.54−0.9%
  3. PriceFri Oct 30 close$57.06you are here
  4. 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$57.29+0.4%

Fair value estimate

How the range is computed

Ten-year free-cash-flow DCF. Same 10-year free-cash-flow model as the base: discount rate 9.5% ±1 point and growth 15.0% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 13.0%; bull = 8.5% and 17.0% (both fade to 3%). A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.

$56.54−1% vs price
Bear$43.40
Base$56.54
Bull$75.75

Price sits inside the range.

What the price implies To be worth today’s price, GMAB’s free cash flow would need to grow about 15% a year for five years; our estimate uses 15%.

Risk vs market

How risk vs market is measured

One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much GMAB moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.

Below market

Moves a bit less than the market, and its own price swings are 3.5× the S&P 500’s.

Beta vs S&P 500
0.89
Volatility
45% vs 13% SPY
Correlation SPY
0.25
Correlation QQQ
0.19

Bull vs bear

Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.

Top bullish points 5 of 5

  1. GrowthSales compounded 25% a year from FY2023 to FY2025.

  2. GrowthSales grew 19% to $3.7B over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).

  3. ProfitabilityOperating margin of 29% over the last 12 months.

  4. Balance sheetNet cash of $1.4B: cash and short-term investments exceed debt (Dec 31, 2025).

  5. QualityPasses all four of our quality checks: cash generation, returns on capital, growth and balance sheet.

Top bearish points 5 of 5

  1. ProfitabilityGross margin narrowed to 93.6% in FY2025 from 98.6% in FY2023 (SEC filings).

  2. ProfitabilityOperating margin narrowed to 28.6% in FY2025 from 32.3% in FY2023 (SEC filings).

  3. GrowthDiluted EPS fell 12% in the last fiscal year, below the 7.3% median for the 74 Health Care companies we cover.

  4. TechnicalRSI(14) of 88: overbought after a strong run.

  5. RiskReports earnings Nov 5 (consensus EPS $0.36): results can move the price sharply and reset Market Value.

Who’s talking about it

Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Genmab A/S ADS in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.

No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.

Compare with peers

Closest in size in Pharmaceuticals

All fundamentals

P/E 37.1 · FCF yield 3.2% · ROE 18%

Valuation

P/E
37.1×Health Care median 29.2×
Price / FCF
31.1×
FCF yield
3.2%
EV / EBITDA
n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
Price / sales
9.62×
Price / book
6.12×
Market cap
$35.8Bprice × diluted shares
Enterprise value
$34.3B

Growth

Revenue, 12 months
$3.7B
Sales growth, 12 months
+19.2%vs the 12 months before
Sales growth, 3 yrs
+24.8%/yrfrom FY2023
Diluted EPS, 12 months
$15.37
EPS growth, last FY
−12.3%
Net income, 12 months
$963M
Net income growth
−15%12 months vs before

Profitability

Gross margin
93.6%
Operating margin
28.6%
Net margin
25.9%
FCF margin
30.9%
Return on equity
18%
Return on invested capital
19%

Balance sheet

Cash & short-term inv.
$1.7B
Total debt
$273M
Net cash
$1.4B
Debt / equity
0.05×
Interest coverage
4.0×operating income / interest

Cash flow & returns

Free cash flow, 12 months
$1.1B
FCF growth, 12 months
+5%
Dividend yield
0%
Payout ratio
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Buybacks, 12 months
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Share count, 1 year
n/ano quarterly diluted share count
Stock-based comp
n/anot reported in its SEC filings

Trailing 12 months to Dec 31, 2025; balance sheet at Dec 31, 2025. From Genmab A/S ADS’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.

Valuation details

DCF $56.54 · FCF value $35.16

How

Market ValueNo thesis-changing filing in the window we track
—
Fair value estimateDCF: ten years of free cash flow per share, discounted
$56.541% downside

Assumes 15.0% growth for 5 years (revenue grew 24.8% a year FY23–FY25; capped at 15%), fading to 3%; 9.5% discount rate, 3% terminal growth. FCF base $1.83 a share (fiscal year to Dec 31, 2025, 0.1 shares per ADR), from the 20-F filed Feb 17, 2026. Net debt $3.8B, not deducted.

FCF valuePrice at a 4% yield on trailing free cash flow ($0.9B)
$35.16price +62%

Setup & signals

No setup armed

All setups

No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only arm once a company is in a dip.

Momentum & 52-week range

RSI 88 · 5 days +30.3%
$57.06now
52-wk low $23.85high $57.29
Off 52-wk high−0.4%
5 days+30.3%
vs 50-day avg+53.7%
vs 200-day avg+87.1%
RSI (14)88
Market cap$35B

The business

FCF $0.9B · Sales +25%
  • Free cash flow, 12 months$0.9B
  • Free-cash-flow yield2.5%
  • Free-cash-flow margin21%
  • Gross margin93%
  • Operating margin32%
  • Return on invested capital10%
  • Return on equity14%
  • Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+25%
  • Net debt / EBITDA3.0×

Next report

Nov 5

Calendar

  • DateThu Nov 5, before the open
  • Consensus EPS$0.36
  • Year-ago EPS$0.65
  • QuarterSep/2026

From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.

Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.

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