QualityDipStocks / Industrials · Industrial Specialties
Masco MAS
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 3% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen, trading near our fair value estimate.
- Fair value est.
- $84.32+5%
- Market Value
- forming
- Off 52-wk high
- −3%
- Risk vs market
- Market-likebeta 1.07
5 bullish · 3 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $80.64
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$58.60−27.3%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$80.64you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$82.77+2.6%
- Fair value est.base case$84.32+4.6%
Fair value estimate
How the range is computed
Ten-year free-cash-flow DCF. Same 10-year free-cash-flow model as the base: discount rate 9.5% ±1 point and growth 3.0% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 1.0%; bull = 8.5% and 5.0% (both fade to 3%). A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.
Price sits inside the range.
What the price implies To be worth today’s price, MAS’s free cash flow would need to grow about 2% a year for five years; our estimate uses 3%.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much MAS moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Moves about in line with the market, and its own price swings are 2.8× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 1.07
- Volatility
- 36% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.39
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.23
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
Cash returnsShare count down 6.2% in a year: $1.1B of buybacks over 12 months.
ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital of 48%, above the 9.5% discount rate our DCF uses.
ValuationP/E of 17.1× vs a 27.5× median for the 130 Industrials companies we cover.
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of 6.6% (price / FCF 15.2×): $1.0B of free cash in the last 12 months.
Cash returnsFree cash flow grew 23% over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before.
Top bearish points 3 of 5
GrowthSales shrank 4% a year from FY2022 to FY2025.
GrowthSales grew 0.9% over the last 12 months, below the 9.3% median for the 147 Industrials companies we cover.
GrowthDiluted EPS grew 2.7% in the last fiscal year, below the 7.9% median for the 123 Industrials companies we cover.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Masco in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Industrials
All fundamentals
P/E 17.1 · FCF yield 6.6% · Sales +1%
Valuation
- P/E
- 17.1×Industrials median 27.5×
- Price / FCF
- 15.2×
- FCF yield
- 6.6%
- EV / EBITDA
- 12.1×
- Price / sales
- 2.06×
- Price / book
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Market cap
- $15.8Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- $18.4B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $7.7B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +0.9%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- −4.5%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $4.61
- EPS growth, last FY
- +2.7%
- Net income, 12 months
- $926M
- Net income growth
- +12%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 37.5%
- Operating margin
- 17.9%
- Net margin
- 12.1%
- FCF margin
- 13.6%
- Return on equity
- n/anegative shareholder equity
- Return on invested capital
- 48%
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $610M
- Total debt
- $3.2B
- Net cash
- −$2.6B
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- 12.9×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $1.0B
- FCF growth, 12 months
- +23%
- Dividend yield
- 1.61%$255M paid
- Payout ratio
- 28%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $1.1B6.8% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- −6.2%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Trailing 12 months to Sep 30, 2026; balance sheet at Sep 30, 2026. From Masco’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
DCF $84.32 · FCF value $106.65
Assumes 3.0% growth for 5 years (revenue grew -4.5% a year FY22–FY25; floored at 3%), fading to 3%; 9.5% discount rate, 3% terminal growth. FCF base $5.32 a share (trailing 12 months to Sep 30, 2026), from the 10-Q filed Oct 28, 2026. Net debt $2.6B, not deducted.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 73 · 5 days +6.1%
The business
FCF $0.8B · Sales +3%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$0.8B
- Free-cash-flow yield5.3%
- Free-cash-flow margin11%
- Gross margin37%
- Operating margin17%
- Return on invested capital42%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+3%
- Net debt / EBITDA2.0×
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
MAS is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.