QualityDipStocks / Industrials · Industrial machinery
nVent Electric NVT
In a deep dip: 32% below its 52-week high.
A quality company trading near our fair value estimate.
- Fair value est.
- $120.88−4%
- Market Value
- forming
- Off 52-wk high
- −32%
- Risk vs market
- Highbeta 2.27
5 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $125.98
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$94.99−24.6%
- Fair value est.base case$120.88−4.0%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$125.98you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$184.34+46.3%
Fair value estimate
How the range is computed
Ten-year free-cash-flow DCF. Same 10-year free-cash-flow model as the base: discount rate 9.5% ±1 point and growth 15.0% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 13.0%; bull = 8.5% and 17.0% (both fade to 3%). A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.
Price sits inside the range.
What the price implies To be worth today’s price, NVT’s free cash flow would need to grow about 16% a year for five years; our estimate uses 15%.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much NVT moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Swings much more than the market, and its own price swings are 3.9× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 2.27
- Volatility
- 50% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.58
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.66
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
GrowthSales grew 48% to $5.3B over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).
GrowthDiluted EPS grew 119% to $4.31 in FY2025.
Cash returnsFree cash flow grew 59% over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before.
TechnicalA company that passes our quality screen, now 32% off its 52-week high (deep dip).
QualityPasses all four of our quality checks: cash generation, returns on capital, growth and balance sheet.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ValuationP/E of 30.4× is 20% above its own average of 25.3× at the last 3 fiscal year-ends.
Cash returnsDividend yield of 0.7%, below the 1.1% median for the 116 Industrials companies we cover.
Cash returnsShare count up 0.2% over 12 months, above the −0.8% median for the 137 Industrials companies we cover.
ValuationEV/EBITDA of 18.6×, above the 16.6× median for the 96 Industrials companies we cover.
RiskSwings hard: beta 2.27 vs the S&P 500 and 50% yearly volatility (SPY 13%).
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on nVent Electric in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Industrial machinery
All fundamentals
P/E 30.4 · FCF yield 3.1% · ROE 18%
Valuation
- P/E
- 30.4×3-yr-end avg 25.3× · Industrials median 27.5×
- Price / FCF
- 32.2×
- FCF yield
- 3.1%
- EV / EBITDA
- 18.6×
- Price / sales
- 3.90×
- Price / book
- 5.02×
- Market cap
- $20.7Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- $21.7B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $5.3B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +48.0%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +19.3%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $4.14
- EPS growth, last FY
- +118.8%
- Net income, 12 months
- $680M
- Net income growth
- +13%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 36.6%
- Operating margin
- 17.8%
- Net margin
- 12.8%
- FCF margin
- 12.1%
- Return on equity
- 18%
- Return on invested capital
- 14%
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $1.1B
- Total debt
- $2.2B
- Net cash
- −$1.1B
- Debt / equity
- 0.53×
- Interest coverage
- n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $643M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- +59%
- Dividend yield
- 0.65%$135M paid
- Payout ratio
- 20%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $100M0.5% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- +0.2%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $38M
Trailing 12 months to Sep 30, 2026; balance sheet at Sep 30, 2026. From nVent Electric’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
DCF $120.88 · FCF value $81.55
Assumes 15.0% growth for 5 years (revenue grew 19.3% a year FY22–FY25; capped at 15%), fading to 3%; 9.5% discount rate, 3% terminal growth. FCF base $3.92 a share (trailing 12 months to Sep 30, 2026), from the 10-Q filed Oct 30, 2026.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. We watch it daily for our three reversal signal rules while it sits in a dip.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 35 · 5 days +0.5%
The business
FCF $0.6B · Sales +53%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$0.6B
- Free-cash-flow yield2.6%
- Free-cash-flow margin12%
- Gross margin37%
- Operating margin17%
- Return on invested capital12%
- Return on equity16%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+53%
- Net debt / EBITDA1.3×
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
Get a text when NVT fires a reversal signal
One text when a published rule fires on NVT or any of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.