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Stocks / Consumer Discretionary · Paints/Coatings

RPM

RPM International RPM

Consumer Discretionary · Paints/Coatings
$102.44+0.22% dayFri Oct 30 close

Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 15% below its 52-week high.

Outside our quality screen, trading above our fair value estimate, 3% over its Market Value.

Outside our quality screen
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Fair value est.
$87.87−14%
Market Value
$99.15price +3%
Off 52-wk high
−15%
Risk vs market
Market-likebeta 0.92

4 bullish · 4 bearish See why

$100$110$120Jan ’26AprJulOctMV $99.15
Fair value est.Market ValueDrag across the chart to see any day
Covered for reference — doesn’t pass our quality screen (market cap $13.0B, under our $20B floor). We show its price, Market Value and DCF, but it never appears in Dips, Top Picks or reversal signals. The screen

Key levels

Every level vs today’s $102.44

  1. Fair value est.base case$87.87−14.2%
  2. 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$93.23−9.0%
  3. Market Valueavg paid since Oct 6$99.15−3.2%
  4. PriceFri Oct 30 close$102.44you are here
  5. 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$120.17+17.3%

Fair value estimate

How the range is computed

Ten-year free-cash-flow DCF. Same 10-year free-cash-flow model as the base: discount rate 9.5% ±1 point and growth 3.0% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 1.0%; bull = 8.5% and 5.0% (both fade to 3%). A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.

$87.87−14% vs price
Bear$68.19
Base$87.87
Bull$116.60

Price sits inside the range.

What the price implies To be worth today’s price, RPM’s free cash flow would need to grow about 6% a year for five years; our estimate uses 3%.

Risk vs market

How risk vs market is measured

One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much RPM moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.

Market-like

Moves about in line with the market, and its own price swings are 2.3× the S&P 500’s.

Beta vs S&P 500
0.92
Volatility
30% vs 13% SPY
Correlation SPY
0.40
Correlation QQQ
0.22

Bull vs bear

Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.

Top bullish points 4 of 5

  1. ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of 5.4% (price / FCF 18.5×): $706M of free cash in the last 12 months.

  2. Cash returnsFree cash flow grew 37% over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before.

  3. ProfitabilityReturn on equity of 21% over the last 12 months.

  4. Cash returnsDividend yield of 2.1% ($275M paid over 12 months, 40% of earnings).

Top bearish points 4 of 5

  1. ValuationOur DCF fair value estimate is $87.87, 14% below the price.

  2. GrowthSales grew only 2.7% a year from FY2023 to FY2026.

  3. GrowthDiluted EPS fell 3.4% in the last fiscal year, below the 4.8% median for the 158 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.

  4. GrowthSales grew 6.0% over the last 12 months, below the 7.0% median for the 175 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.

Who’s talking about it

Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on RPM International in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.

No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.

Compare with peers

Closest in size in Consumer Discretionary

All fundamentals

P/E 19.0 · FCF yield 5.4% · ROE 21%

Valuation

P/E
19.0×Consumer Discretionary median 20.9×
Price / FCF
18.5×
FCF yield
5.4%
EV / EBITDA
n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
Price / sales
1.64×
Price / book
3.75×
Market cap
$13.0Bprice × diluted shares
Enterprise value
$14.7B

Growth

Revenue, 12 months
$8.0B
Sales growth, 12 months
+6.0%vs the 12 months before
Sales growth, 3 yrs
+2.7%/yrfrom FY2023
Diluted EPS, 12 months
$5.41
EPS growth, last FY
−3.4%
Net income, 12 months
$688M
Net income growth
+0%12 months vs before

Profitability

Gross margin
41.2%
Operating margin
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Net margin
8.6%
FCF margin
8.9%
Return on equity
21%
Return on invested capital
n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged

Balance sheet

Cash & short-term inv.
$313M
Total debt
$2.0B
Net cash
−$1.7B
Debt / equity
0.57×
Interest coverage
n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data

Cash flow & returns

Free cash flow, 12 months
$706M
FCF growth, 12 months
+37%
Dividend yield
2.11%$275M paid
Payout ratio
40%
Buybacks, 12 months
$82M0.6% of market cap
Share count, 1 year
−0.6%diluted shares vs a year ago
Stock-based comp
$37M

Trailing 12 months to Aug 31, 2026; balance sheet at Aug 31, 2026. From RPM International’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.

Valuation details

DCF $87.87 · MV $99.15 · FCF value $108.35

How

Market ValueAverage paid since the Oct 6 filing, 19 trading days
$99.15price +3%
Fair value estimateDCF: ten years of free cash flow per share, discounted
$87.8714% downside

Assumes 3.0% growth for 5 years (revenue grew 2.7% a year FY23–FY26; floored at 3%), fading to 3%; 9.5% discount rate, 3% terminal growth. FCF base $5.55 a share (trailing 12 months to Aug 31, 2026), from the 10-Q filed Oct 6, 2026. Net debt $95M, not deducted.

FCF valuePrice at a 4% yield on trailing free cash flow ($0.6B)
$108.35price −5%

Setup & signals

No setup armed

All setups

No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.

Momentum & 52-week range

RSI 58 · 5 days +3.7%
$102.44nowMV
52-wk low $93.23high $120.17
Off 52-wk high−14.8%
5 days+3.7%
vs 50-day avg+1.6%
vs 200-day avg−2.7%
RSI (14)58
Market cap$13B

The business

FCF $0.6B · Sales +5%
  • Free cash flow, 12 months$0.6B
  • Free-cash-flow yield4.2%
  • Free-cash-flow margin7%
  • Gross margin41%
  • Operating margin16%
  • Return on invested capital17%
  • Return on equity21%
  • Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+5%
  • Net debt / EBITDA2.0×

Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.

RPM is outside our quality screen

One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.

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