QualityDipStocks / Industrials · Aerospace
Archer Aviation ACHR
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 63% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen, 23% under its Market Value. No fair value estimate for now: its free cash flow is negative.
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- $5.45price −23%
- Off 52-wk high
- −63%
- Risk vs market
- Highbeta 2.90
4 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $4.20
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$3.80−9.5%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$4.20you are here
- Market Valueavg paid since Aug 10$5.45+29.8%
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$11.22+167.1%
Fair value estimate
No estimate for ACHR: negative free cash flow. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much ACHR moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Swings much more than the market, and its own price swings are 5.4× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 2.90
- Volatility
- 70% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.53
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.53
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 4 of 5
Balance sheetNet cash of $1.5B: cash and short-term investments exceed debt (Jun 30, 2026).
Balance sheetDebt / equity of 0.0×, below the 0.5× median for the 116 Industrials companies we cover.
ValuationPrice / book of 1.8×, below the 4.4× median for the 134 Industrials companies we cover.
ValuationTrades 22.9% below its Market Value of $5.45, the average price paid since the Aug 10 filing.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ValuationFree cash flow is negative (−$660M over the last 12 months), so there’s no cash-flow value under the price.
ProfitabilityLost $800M over the last 12 months (net income, SEC filings).
Cash returnsShare count up 35.0% in a year: existing holders are being diluted.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: no positive free cash flow; ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%; no sales-growth data.
RiskSwings hard: beta 2.90 vs the S&P 500 and 70% yearly volatility (SPY 13%).
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Archer Aviation in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Aerospace
All fundamentals
FCF yield -19.4% · ROE -45%
Valuation
- P/E
- n/aloss over the last 12 months
- Price / FCF
- n/anegative free cash flow
- FCF yield
- −19.4%
- EV / EBITDA
- n/anegative EBITDA
- Price / sales
- 492.75×
- Price / book
- 1.80×
- Market cap
- $3.4Blisted
- Enterprise value
- $1.9B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $7M
- Sales growth, 12 months
- n/ano year-ago 12-month revenue
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- −$1.08
- EPS growth, last FY
- n/afewer than two years of diluted EPS
- Net income, 12 months
- −$800M
- Net income growth
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Profitability
- Gross margin
- n/agross profit isn't reported (common for service and financial companies)
- Operating margin
- n/an/m
- Net margin
- n/an/m
- FCF margin
- n/an/m: revenue near zero
- Return on equity
- −45%
- Return on invested capital
- −181%
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $1.6B
- Total debt
- $80M
- Net cash
- $1.5B
- Debt / equity
- 0.04×
- Interest coverage
- n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- −$660M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Dividend yield
- 0%
- Payout ratio
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Buybacks, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Share count, 1 year
- +35.0%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $298M
Trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026; balance sheet at Jun 30, 2026. From Archer Aviation’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
MV $5.45
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 42 · 5 days +7.4%
The business
FCF $-0.7B
- Free cash flow, 12 months−$0.7B
- Free-cash-flow yield−19.4%
- Gross margin14%
- Operating marginn/m
- Return on invested capital−66%
- Return on equity−44%
Next report
Nov 9
- DateMon Nov 9, after the close
- Consensus EPS($0.36)
- Year-ago EPS($0.20)
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
ACHR is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.