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Stocks / Technology · Industrial machinery

ACMR

ACM Research ACMR

Technology · Industrial machinery
$44.15−2.90% dayMon Nov 2 close

Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 65% below its 52-week high.

Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: its free cash flow is negative.

Worth knowing

  • Down 65% from its 52-week high while revenue grew 27%
  • Deepest drop from a 52-week high in over 3 years

From the data on this page, as of the last close. How we pick these

Outside our quality screenReports Nov 5
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Fair value est.
n/a
Market Value
forming
Off 52-wk high
−65%
Risk vs market
Highbeta 3.68

4 bullish · 5 bearish See why

Covered for reference — doesn’t pass our quality screen (market cap $3.1B, under our $20B floor; no positive free cash flow). We show its price, Market Value and DCF, but it never appears in Dips, Top Picks or reversal signals. The screen

Repriced or dip?

Dip: business intact

87/100

The price is 65% below its 52-week high (Jun 30), but the business held up: revenue +8.1%, revenue growth rate +7.6 pts, earnings per share +64.0%.

The evidence 9 numbers, high vs now
  • Revenue, last 12 months$960M → $1.0B (+8.1%)held up
  • Revenue growth rate+19.7% → +27.3% a year (+7.6 pts)held up
  • Earnings per share, 12 months$1.30 → $2.14 (+64.0%)held up
  • Operating margin12.5% → 13.3% (+0.8 pts)held up
  • Shares outstanding+0.6% (more shares, each owns less)held up
  • Net cash (cash minus debt)+5.0% of market cap since the highheld up
  • Stock vs its sector (Technology)stock −65%, sector median +1% since Jun 30changed
  • Price fall vs business numbersprice −65%, revenue/EPS/FCF median +36% (shown, not scored)
  • Valuation multipleP/E 97.3× at the high → 20.6× now (shown, not scored)

Business numbers as reported at the high (12 months to Mar 31, 2026) vs the latest filing (12 months to Jun 30, 2026). Each measure is scored from −1 (business changed) to +1 (business intact) and weighted: revenue, earnings per share, free cash flow, operating margin, revenue growth rate, share count, net cash and the move vs its sector. 60 or more reads as a dip, 40 or less as a repricing. Analyst estimates are not in our data, so they are not used. How to read it

Data-based read, not advice.

Priced in

How much growth the market assumed at the 52-week high, the low and today (a reverse DCF).

52-wk high: P/E 97.3×; 52-wk low: P/E 17.3×; now: P/E 20.6×.

  • 52-wk high$126.8997.3×
  • 52-wk low$29.6717.3×
  • Now$44.1520.6×
HighLowNow
Price$126.89Jun 30$29.67Nov 20$44.15
Implied growthn/an/an/a
P/E97.3×17.3×20.6×
EV/Sales8.6×1.4×2.3×

What this means: a lower P/E than at the high means you pay less for each dollar of profit than buyers did then.

How it’s computed

Reverse DCF: the same 10-year free-cash-flow model as our fair value estimate (9.5% discount rate, growth for years 1–5 fading to 3% by year 10, 3% after), solved for the growth that makes it equal the market value at each price. For the high and the low we use only the filings that were public on that day, so nothing from a later report leaks back. Market value = that close × diluted shares. P/E = market value / 12-month net income; Price / FCF = market value / 12-month free cash flow; EV / Sales = (market value + debt − cash) / 12-month revenue. Hidden when the share count moved over 20% (split, merger), free cash flow is negative, or the company reports in another currency.

Valuation

What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.

Fair value estimate

No estimate for ACMR: negative free cash flow. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.

Risk vs market

How risk vs market is measured

One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much ACMR moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.

High

Swings much more than the market, and its own price swings are 6.9× the S&P 500’s.

Beta vs S&P 500
3.68
Volatility
88% vs 13% SPY
Correlation SPY
0.53
Correlation QQQ
0.64

How it ranks

Where ACMR stands vs every one of the 1,996 stocks we cover that has the number. Longer bar = better.

Top quarter on 1 of 4 measures

  1. Free cash flow yield−3.8% · free cash flow vs market cap
    Lowest 9%of 1,391
  2. Revenue growth, last 12 months+27% · vs the 12 months before
    Top 17%of 1,814
  3. Operating margin13% · of sales kept as operating profit
    Top 47%of 1,288
  4. Return on invested capital11% · profit per dollar of capital
    Top 47%of 838

From SEC filings and our fair value estimate model. A ranking, not advice.

Valuation details

How

Market ValueForming: thesis-changing filing on Oct 28, needs five trading days
forming
Fair value estimaten/a — negative free cash flow
n/a
FCF valueTrailing free cash flow is negative
n/a

Fundamentals

The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.

Bull vs bear

Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.

Top bullish points 4 of 5

  1. GrowthSales compounded 32% a year from FY2022 to FY2025.

  2. Balance sheetNet cash of $733M: cash and short-term investments exceed debt (Jun 30, 2026).

  3. ValuationP/E of 20.6× vs a 33.0× median for the 220 Technology companies we cover.

  4. GrowthSales grew 27% to $1.0B over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).

Top bearish points 5 of 5

  1. ValuationFree cash flow is negative (−$119M over the last 12 months), so there’s no cash-flow value under the price.

  2. ProfitabilityOperating margin narrowed to 12.1% in FY2025 from 17.2% in FY2023 (SEC filings).

  3. Cash returnsShare count up 6.5% in a year: existing holders are being diluted.

  4. QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: no positive free cash flow.

  5. RiskSwings hard: beta 3.68 vs the S&P 500 and 88% yearly volatility (SPY 13%).

All fundamentals

P/E 20.6 · FCF yield -3.8% · ROE 11%

Valuation

P/E
20.6×Technology median 33.0×
Price / FCF
n/anegative free cash flow
FCF yield
−3.8%
EV / EBITDA
15.0×
Price / sales
2.99×
Price / book
1.67×
Market cap
$3.1Blisted
Enterprise value
$2.4B

Growth

Revenue, 12 months
$1.0B
Sales growth, 12 months
+27.3%vs the 12 months before
Sales growth, 3 yrs
+32.3%/yrfrom FY2022
Diluted EPS, 12 months
$2.12
EPS growth, last FY
−10.5%
Net income, 12 months
$150M
Net income growth
+34%12 months vs before

Profitability

Gross margin
43.8%
Operating margin
13.3%
Net margin
14.5%
FCF margin
−11.4%
Return on equity
11%
Return on invested capital
11%

Balance sheet

Cash & short-term inv.
$1.1B
Total debt
$341M
Net cash
$733M
Debt / equity
0.18×
Interest coverage
18.1×operating income / interest

Cash flow & returns

Free cash flow, 12 months
−$119M
FCF growth, 12 months
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Dividend yield
n/ano dividend payments tagged
Payout ratio
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Buybacks, 12 months
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Share count, 1 year
+6.5%diluted shares vs a year ago
Stock-based comp
$26M

Trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026; balance sheet at Jun 30, 2026. From ACM Research’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.

The business

FCF $-0.2B · Sales +36%
  • Free cash flow, 12 months−$0.2B
  • Free-cash-flow yield-3.8%
  • Free-cash-flow margin−18%
  • Gross margin44%
  • Operating margin17%
  • Return on invested capital22%
  • Return on equity12%
  • Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+36%
  • Net debt / EBITDA−6.8×

Chart & levels

Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.

$50$75$100$125Jan ’26AprJulOct
Drag across the chart to see any day

Key levels

Every level vs today’s $44.15

  1. 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$29.67−32.8%
  2. PriceMon Nov 2 close$44.15you are here
  3. 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$126.89+187.4%

Momentum & 52-week range

RSI 26 · 5 days −13.4%
$44.15now
52-wk low $29.67high $126.89
Off 52-wk high−65.2%
5 days−13.4%
vs 50-day avg−34.9%
vs 200-day avg−35.6%
RSI (14), last close26 oversold
Market cap$3B

Signals

Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.

Setup & signals

No setup armed

All setups

No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.

Next report

Nov 5

Calendar

  • DateThu Nov 5, before the open
  • Consensus EPS$0.41
  • Year-ago EPS$0.25
  • QuarterSep/2026

From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.

ACMR is outside our quality screen

One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.

By joining you agree we can text or email you about QualityDip. Message and data rates may apply. Reply STOP anytime. Not advice.

Voices & buzz

Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.

Who’s talking about it

Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on ACM Research in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.

No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 1:01 PM ET.

Compare with peers

Closest in size in Industrial machinery

Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.