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ADC

Agree Realty ADC

Real Estate · REITs
$67.07−0.80% dayFri Oct 30 close

Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 18% below its 52-week high.

Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: there isn’t enough data.

Outside our quality screen
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Fair value est.
n/a
Market Value
$66.64price +1%
Off 52-wk high
−18%
Risk vs market
Lowbeta −0.22

4 bullish · 5 bearish See why

$65$70$75$80Jan ’26AprJulOctMV $66.64
Market ValueDrag across the chart to see any day
Covered for reference — doesn’t pass our quality screen (market cap $8.8B, under our $20B floor; ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%; net debt 5.2× EBITDA (limit 3×)). We show its price, Market Value and DCF, but it never appears in Dips, Top Picks or reversal signals. The screen

Key levels

Every level vs today’s $67.07

  1. 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$64.49−3.8%
  2. Market Valueavg paid since Oct 20$66.64−0.6%
  3. PriceFri Oct 30 close$67.07you are here
  4. 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$81.92+22.1%

Fair value estimate

No estimate for ADC: Capital spending isn't tagged for the latest period in SEC XBRL data. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.

Risk vs market

How risk vs market is measured

One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much ADC moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.

Low

Has moved mostly independently of the market, but its own price swings are 1.4× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).

Beta vs S&P 500
-0.22
Volatility
17% vs 13% SPY
Correlation SPY
−0.17
Correlation QQQ
−0.32

Bull vs bear

Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.

Top bullish points 4 of 5

  1. ProfitabilityOperating margin of 49% over the last 12 months.

  2. GrowthSales compounded 19% a year from FY2022 to FY2025.

  3. Cash returnsDividend yield of 4.3% ($380M paid over 12 months).

  4. GrowthSales grew 18% to $810M over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).

Top bearish points 5 of 5

  1. Cash returnsShare count up 11.7% in a year: existing holders are being diluted.

  2. Balance sheetOperating income covers interest only 2.6× over the last 12 months.

  3. Cash returnsPays out more in dividends than it earns: $380M paid vs $234M of net income.

  4. ProfitabilityReturn on equity is only 4% over the last 12 months.

  5. QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%; net debt 5.2× EBITDA (limit 3×).

Who’s talking about it

Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Agree Realty in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.

No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.

Compare with peers

Closest in size in REITs

All fundamentals

P/E 37.7 · ROE 4% · Sales +18%

Valuation

P/E
37.7×Real Estate median 28.7×
Price / FCF
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
FCF yield
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
EV / EBITDA
n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
Price / sales
10.86×
Price / book
1.27×
Market cap
$8.8Blisted
Enterprise value
n/anot reported in its SEC filings

Growth

Revenue, 12 months
$810M
Sales growth, 12 months
+17.7%vs the 12 months before
Sales growth, 3 yrs
+18.7%/yrfrom FY2022
Diluted EPS, 12 months
$1.94
EPS growth, last FY
−0.6%
Net income, 12 months
$234M
Net income growth
+26%12 months vs before

Profitability

Gross margin
n/agross profit isn't reported (common for service and financial companies)
Operating margin
48.9%
Net margin
28.8%
FCF margin
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Return on equity
4%
Return on invested capital
n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged

Balance sheet

Cash & short-term inv.
$81M
Total debt
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Net cash
n/acash or debt not tagged in SEC data
Debt / equity
n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
Interest coverage
2.6×operating income / interest

Cash flow & returns

Free cash flow, 12 months
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
FCF growth, 12 months
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Dividend yield
4.31%$380M paid
Payout ratio
162%
Buybacks, 12 months
$6M0.1% of market cap
Share count, 1 year
+11.7%diluted shares vs a year ago
Stock-based comp
$14M

Trailing 12 months to Sep 30, 2026; balance sheet at Sep 30, 2026. From Agree Realty’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.

Valuation details

MV $66.64 · FCF value $91.46

How

Market ValueAverage paid since the Oct 20 filing, 8 trading days
$66.64price +1%
Fair value estimaten/a — Capital spending isn't tagged for the latest period in SEC XBRL data
n/a
FCF valuePrice at a 4% yield on trailing free cash flow ($0.5B)
$91.46price −27%

Setup & signals

No setup armed

All setups

No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.

Momentum & 52-week range

RSI 50 · 5 days +0.6%
$67.07nowMV
52-wk low $64.49high $81.92
Off 52-wk high−18.1%
5 days+0.6%
vs 50-day avg−2.3%
vs 200-day avg−10.0%
RSI (14)50
Market cap$9B

The business

FCF $0.5B · Sales +17%
  • Free cash flow, 12 months$0.5B
  • Free-cash-flow yield5.5%
  • Free-cash-flow margin59%
  • Gross margin88%
  • Operating margin48%
  • Return on invested capital3%
  • Return on equity4%
  • Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+17%
  • Net debt / EBITDA5.2×

Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.

ADC is outside our quality screen

One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.

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