QualityDipStocks / Telecommunications · Telecommunications Equipment
AST SpaceMobile ASTS
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 69% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen, 26% under its Market Value. No fair value estimate for now: its free cash flow is negative.
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- $55.05price −26%
- Off 52-wk high
- −69%
- Risk vs market
- Highbeta 3.78
2 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $40.97
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$38.77−5.4%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$40.97you are here
- Market Valueavg paid since Aug 10$55.05+34.4%
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$133.09+224.8%
Fair value estimate
No estimate for ASTS: negative free cash flow. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much ASTS moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Swings much more than the market, and its own price swings are 8.4× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 3.78
- Volatility
- 108% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.45
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.47
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 2 of 5
GrowthSales compounded 72% a year from FY2022 to FY2025.
ValuationTrades 25.6% below its Market Value of $55.05, the average price paid since the Aug 10 filing.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ValuationFree cash flow is negative (−$1.6B over the last 12 months), so there’s no cash-flow value under the price.
ProfitabilityLost $619M over the last 12 months (net income, SEC filings).
Balance sheetDebt rose 3630% to $2.2B from FY2023 to FY2025.
Cash returnsShare count up 23.6% in a year: existing holders are being diluted.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: no positive free cash flow; ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%; debt load unclear or high.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on AST SpaceMobile in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Telecommunications Equipment
All fundamentals
FCF yield -9.8%
Valuation
- P/E
- n/aloss over the last 12 months
- Price / FCF
- n/anegative free cash flow
- FCF yield
- −9.8%
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 145.71×
- Price / book
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Market cap
- $16.8Blisted
- Enterprise value
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $115M
- Sales growth, 12 months
- n/an/m: revenue a year ago near zero
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +72.5%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- EPS growth, last FY
- n/afewer than two years of diluted EPS
- Net income, 12 months
- −$619M
- Net income growth
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Profitability
- Gross margin
- n/agross profit isn't reported (common for service and financial companies)
- Operating margin
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net margin
- n/an/m
- FCF margin
- n/an/m: revenue near zero
- Return on equity
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Total debt
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net cash
- n/acash or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- −$1.6B
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Dividend yield
- 0%
- Payout ratio
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Buybacks, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Share count, 1 year
- +23.6%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $148M
Trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026. From AST SpaceMobile’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
MV $55.05
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 36 · 5 days +3.0%
The business
FCF $-1.8B · Sales +2627%
- Free cash flow, 12 months−$1.8B
- Free-cash-flow yield−10.7%
- Gross margin39%
- Operating marginn/m
- Return on invested capital−19%
- Return on equity−46%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+2627%
Next report
Nov 9
- DateMon Nov 9, after the close
- Consensus EPS($0.41)
- Year-ago EPS($0.45)
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
ASTS is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.