QualityDipStocks / Finance · Brokers & investment banks
BGC Group BGC
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 10% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: our model doesn’t fit it reliably.
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- $11.66price −2%
- Off 52-wk high
- −10%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta 0.34
4 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Repriced or dip?
Near its high
The price is 10% below its 52-week high (Jun 24), but the business held up: earnings per share +8.2%, shares outstanding fewer shares, each owns more, revenue +1.9%.
Some numbers held up (earnings per share +8.2%, shares outstanding fewer shares, each owns more, revenue +1.9%), others slipped (revenue growth rate −10.1 pts). The price is 10% below its 52-week high.
The price is 10% below its 52-week high, and the business changed too: revenue growth rate −10.1 pts.
Within 10% of its 52-week high, so there is no dip to judge yet.
Data-based read, not advice.
Priced in
How much growth the market assumed at the 52-week high, the low and today (a reverse DCF).
52-wk high: P/E 34.4×; 52-wk low: P/E 25.0×; now: P/E 28.6×.
| High | Low | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price | $12.65Jun 24 | $8.31Nov 20 | $11.41 |
| P/E | 34.4× | 25.0× | 28.6× |
What this means: a lower P/E than at the high means you pay less for each dollar of profit than buyers did then.
How it’s computed
Banks, insurers and lenders: cash flow includes deposits and loans, so a cash-flow model doesn't fit; we show P/E at each point instead. P/E = that day's close × diluted shares / 12-month net income, using only the filings that were public on that day.
Valuation
What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.
Fair value estimate
Estimate unreliable for BGC: the book-value model gives 70% below the price, more than we can stand behind for a financial company. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much BGC moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Moves much less than the market, but its own price swings are 2.6× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.34
- Volatility
- 33% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.13
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.03
Valuation details
MV $11.66
Fundamentals
The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 4 of 5
GrowthSales grew 28% to $3.3B over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).
GrowthSales compounded 18% a year from FY2022 to FY2025.
GrowthDiluted EPS grew 24% to $0.31 in FY2025.
ProfitabilityReturn on equity of 19% over the last 12 months, up 11 points in two years.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ValuationP/E of 28.6× vs a 13.6× median for the 291 Finance companies we cover.
ValuationPrice / book of 4.9×, above the 1.7× median for the 296 Finance companies we cover.
ProfitabilityNet margin of 5.8%, below the 22% median for the 281 Finance companies we cover.
Cash returnsDividend yield of 0.7%, below the 2.4% median for the 243 Finance companies we cover.
RiskReports earnings Nov 5 (consensus EPS $0.34): results can move the price sharply and reset Market Value.
All fundamentals
P/E 28.6 · ROE 19% · Sales +28%
Valuation
- P/E
- 28.6×Finance median 13.6×
- Price / FCF
- n/acash flow isn't a clean measure for a lender
- FCF yield
- n/acash flow isn't a clean measure for a lender
- EV / EBITDA
- n/anot meaningful for a lender
- Price / sales
- 1.66×
- Price / book
- 4.94×
- Market cap
- $5.5Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- $6.2B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $3.3B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +27.6%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +17.9%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $0.40
- EPS growth, last FY
- +24.0%
- Net income, 12 months
- $191M
- Net income growth
- +30%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- n/anot meaningful for a lender
- Operating margin
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net margin
- 5.8%
- FCF margin
- 14.7%
- Return on equity
- 19%
- Return on invested capital
- n/anot meaningful for a lender
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $767M
- Total debt
- $1.5B
- Net cash
- n/anot meaningful for a lender
- Debt / equity
- n/adeposits/float make debt/equity not comparable for a lender
- Interest coverage
- n/anot meaningful for a lender
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $484M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- +26%
- Dividend yield
- 0.71%$39M paid
- Payout ratio
- 20%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $225M4.1% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- −1.2%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026; balance sheet at Jun 30, 2026. From BGC Group’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
The business
FCF $0.5B · Sales +8%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$0.5B
- Free-cash-flow yield9.1%
- Return on equity16%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+8%
Chart & levels
Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $11.41
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$8.31−27.2%
- PriceMon Nov 2 close$11.41you are here
- Market Valueavg paid since Jul 30$11.66+2.2%
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$12.65+10.9%
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 45 · 5 days −3.2%
Signals
Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Next report
Nov 5
- DateThu Nov 5, before the open
- Consensus EPS$0.34
- Year-ago EPS$0.29
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
BGC is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.
Voices & buzz
Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on BGC Group in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 1:01 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Brokers & investment banks
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.