QualityDipStocks / Consumer Discretionary · Automotive Aftermarket
Boyd Group Services BGSI
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 52% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: its share count is unclear.
Worth knowing
- FCF yield 15%, top 3% of the 1145 we measure
From the data on this page, as of the last close. How we pick these
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- —
- Off 52-wk high
- −52%
- Risk vs market
- Below marketbeta 0.70
4 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Priced in
How much growth the market assumed at the 52-week high, the low and today (a reverse DCF).
At the low ($76.81, Oct 7) about −15%; today about −12%. The last 3 years delivered 2%/yr (revenue).
Dashed line: what the last 3 years delivered, 2%/yr (revenue)
| Low | Now | |
|---|---|---|
| Price | $76.81Oct 7 | $88.37 |
| Implied growth | −15% | −12% |
| P/E | 93.8× | 107.9× |
| P/FCF | 5.8× | 6.7× |
What this means: the higher the implied growth, the more the price already counts on. If today's number sits well below what the business has delivered, the market expects less than its track record.
How it’s computed
Reverse DCF: the same 10-year free-cash-flow model as our fair value estimate (9.5% discount rate, growth for years 1–5 fading to 3% by year 10, 3% after), solved for the growth that makes it equal the market value at each price. For the high and the low we use only the filings that were public on that day, so nothing from a later report leaks back. Market value = that close × diluted shares. P/E = market value / 12-month net income; Price / FCF = market value / 12-month free cash flow; EV / Sales = (market value + debt − cash) / 12-month revenue. Hidden when the share count moved over 20% (split, merger), free cash flow is negative, or the company reports in another currency.
Valuation
What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.
Fair value estimate
No estimate for BGSI: SEC share count doesn't match the listed shares. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Nov 4 to Nov 2, 250 sessions). Beta = how much BGSI moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Moves a bit less than the market, but its own price swings are 3.4× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.70
- Volatility
- 44% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.20
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.04
How it ranks
Where BGSI stands vs every one of the 1,996 stocks we cover that has the number. Longer bar = better.
Top quarter on 1 of 3 measures
- Free cash flow yield15% · free cash flow vs market capTop 3%of 1,391
- Dividends + buybacks yield0.5% · cash paid out or used to retire shares, vs market capLowest 25%of 1,836
- Revenue growth, last 12 months+2.4% · vs the 12 months beforeLowest 20%of 1,814
From SEC filings and our fair value estimate model. A ranking, not advice.
Valuation details
FCF value $273.95
Fundamentals
The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 4 of 5
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of 15.0% (price / FCF 6.7×): $299M of free cash in the last 12 months.
Cash returnsFree cash flow grew 27% over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before.
ValuationPrice / book of 1.2×, below the 3.2× median for the 336 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
ProfitabilityGross margin of 46%, above the 37% median for the 254 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ValuationP/E of 107.9× vs a 20.7× median for the 341 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
GrowthDiluted EPS fell 28% to $0.82 in FY2025.
ProfitabilityReturn on equity is only 1% over the last 12 months.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%; net debt 6.5× EBITDA (limit 3×).
RiskReports earnings Nov 11 (consensus EPS $0.96): results can move the price sharply and reset Market Value.
All fundamentals
P/E 107.9 · FCF yield 15.0% · ROE 1%
Valuation
- P/E
- 107.9×Consumer Discretionary median 20.7×
- Price / FCF
- 6.7×
- FCF yield
- 15.0%
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 0.63×
- Price / book
- 1.16×
- Market cap
- $2.0Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $3.1B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +2.4%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +2.4%/yrfrom FY2024
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $0.82
- EPS growth, last FY
- −28.1%
- Net income, 12 months
- $18M
- Net income growth
- −25%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 46.4%
- Operating margin
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net margin
- 0.6%
- FCF margin
- 9.5%
- Return on equity
- 1%
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $1.2B
- Total debt
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net cash
- n/acash or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $299M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- +27%
- Dividend yield
- 0.47%$9M paid
- Payout ratio
- 51%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Share count, 1 year
- n/ano quarterly diluted share count
- Stock-based comp
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Trailing 12 months to Dec 31, 2025; balance sheet at Dec 31, 2025. From Boyd Group Services’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
The business
FCF $0.3B · Sales +30%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$0.3B
- Free-cash-flow yield15.0%
- Free-cash-flow margin9%
- Gross margin47%
- Operating margin4%
- Return on invested capital3%
- Return on equity1%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+30%
- Net debt / EBITDA6.5×
Chart & levels
Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $88.37
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$76.81−13.1%
- PriceMon Nov 2 close$88.37you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$182.26+106.2%
Momentum & 52-week range
5 days +5.7%
Signals
Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Next report
Nov 11
- DateWed Nov 11, before the open
- Consensus EPS$0.96
- Year-ago EPS$0.62
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
BGSI is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.
Voices & buzz
Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Boyd Group Services in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 1:01 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Consumer Discretionary
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.