QualityDipStocks / Technology · IT services
CACI International CACI
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 1% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen, trading well below our fair value estimate, 4% over its Market Value.
- Fair value est.
- $940.86+39%
- Market Value
- $651.69price +4%
- Off 52-wk high
- −1%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta 0.24
5 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $675.62
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$440.76−34.8%
- Market Valueavg paid since Oct 21$651.69−3.5%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$675.62you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$680.08+0.7%
- Fair value est.base case$940.86+39.3%
Fair value estimate
How the range is computed
Ten-year free-cash-flow DCF. Same 10-year free-cash-flow model as the base: discount rate 9.5% ±1 point and growth 12.6% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 10.6%; bull = 8.5% and 14.6% (both fade to 3%). A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.
Price is below even the bear case.
What the price implies To be worth today’s price, CACI’s free cash flow would need to grow about 7% a year for five years; our estimate uses 13%.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much CACI moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Has moved mostly independently of the market, but its own price swings are 3.1× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.24
- Volatility
- 40% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.08
- Correlation QQQ
- −0.02
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
ValuationOur DCF fair value estimate is $940.86, 39% above the price.
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of 5.1% (price / FCF 19.4×): $776M of free cash in the last 12 months.
Cash returnsFree cash flow grew 27% over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before.
GrowthSales grew 10% to $9.8B over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).
ValuationP/E of 27.9×, below the 33.9× median for the 138 Technology companies we cover.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
Balance sheetDebt rose 218% to $4.9B from FY2024 to FY2026.
ProfitabilityOperating margin of 9.8%, below the 16% median for the 153 Technology companies we cover.
GrowthDiluted EPS grew 8.2% in the last fiscal year, below the 18% median for the 118 Technology companies we cover.
Cash returnsShare count up 0.7% over 12 months, above the −0.4% median for the 147 Technology companies we cover.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: net debt 4.0× EBITDA (limit 3×).
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on CACI International in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in IT services
All fundamentals
P/E 27.9 · FCF yield 5.1% · Sales +10%
Valuation
- P/E
- 27.9×Technology median 33.9×
- Price / FCF
- 19.4×
- FCF yield
- 5.1%
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 1.55×
- Price / book
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Market cap
- $15.1Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $9.8B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +10.1%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +12.6%/yrfrom FY2023
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $24.37
- EPS growth, last FY
- +8.2%
- Net income, 12 months
- $541M
- Net income growth
- +7%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- n/agross profit isn't reported (common for service and financial companies)
- Operating margin
- 9.8%
- Net margin
- 5.5%
- FCF margin
- 8.0%
- Return on equity
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Total debt
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net cash
- n/acash or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- 3.9×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $776M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- +27%
- Dividend yield
- 0%
- Payout ratio
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $17M0.1% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- +0.7%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $87M
Trailing 12 months to Sep 30, 2026. From CACI International’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
DCF $940.86 · MV $651.69 · FCF value $698.14
Assumes 12.6% growth for 5 years (revenue grew 12.6% a year FY23–FY26), fading to 3%; 9.5% discount rate, 3% terminal growth. FCF base $34.77 a share (trailing 12 months to Sep 30, 2026), from the 10-Q filed Oct 22, 2026. Net debt $4.6B, not deducted.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 69 · 5 days +6.6%
The business
FCF $0.6B · Sales +8%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$0.6B
- Free-cash-flow yield4.1%
- Free-cash-flow margin6%
- Gross margin34%
- Operating margin10%
- Return on invested capital8%
- Return on equity12%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+8%
- Net debt / EBITDA4.0×
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
CACI is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.