QualityDipStocks / Finance · Investment Managers
The Carlyle Group CG
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 39% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen, 7% under its Market Value. No fair value estimate for now: its free cash flow is negative.
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- $43.22price −7%
- Off 52-wk high
- −39%
- Risk vs market
- Above marketbeta 1.45
2 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $40.18
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$35.77−11.0%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$40.18you are here
- Market Valueavg paid since Aug 5$43.22+7.6%
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$66.12+64.6%
Fair value estimate
No estimate for CG: negative free cash flow. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much CG moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Swings more than the market, and its own price swings are 2.9× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 1.45
- Volatility
- 37% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.50
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.35
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 2 of 5
Cash returnsDividend yield of 3.5% ($504M paid over 12 months).
ValuationTrades 7.0% below its Market Value of $43.22, the average price paid since the Aug 5 filing.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ValuationFree cash flow is negative (−$4.1B over the last 12 months), so there’s no cash-flow value under the price.
GrowthSales fell 42% over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).
ValuationP/E of 39.8× vs a 13.5× median for the 151 Finance companies we cover.
Cash returnsPays out more in dividends than it earns: $504M paid vs $364M of net income.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: no positive free cash flow; ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%; sales down vs the year-ago quarter; debt load unclear or high.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on The Carlyle Group in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Investment Managers
All fundamentals
P/E 39.8 · FCF yield -28.4% · ROE 5%
Valuation
- P/E
- 39.8×Finance median 13.5×
- Price / FCF
- n/anegative free cash flow
- FCF yield
- −28.4%
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 4.02×
- Price / book
- 2.01×
- Market cap
- $14.5Blisted
- Enterprise value
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $3.6B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- −41.9%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +2.5%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $0.96
- EPS growth, last FY
- −21.3%
- Net income, 12 months
- $364M
- Net income growth
- −71%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- n/agross profit isn't reported (common for service and financial companies)
- Operating margin
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net margin
- 10.1%
- FCF margin
- −114.2%
- Return on equity
- 5%
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $1.3B
- Total debt
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net cash
- n/acash or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- −$4.1B
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Dividend yield
- 3.48%$504M paid
- Payout ratio
- 139%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $915M6.3% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- +0.1%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $414M
Trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026; balance sheet at Jun 30, 2026. From The Carlyle Group’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
MV $43.22
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 55 · 5 days +4.1%
The business
FCF $-4.1B · Sales −33%
- Free cash flow, 12 months−$4.1B
- Free-cash-flow yield−28.4%
- Gross margin98%
- Operating margin27%
- Return on invested capital3%
- Return on equity8%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)−33%
Next report
Nov 5
- DateThu Nov 5, before the open
- Consensus EPS$0.99
- Year-ago EPS$0.98
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
CG is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.