QualityDipStocks / Consumer Discretionary · Other Consumer Services
CRA International CRAI
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 12% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen, 14% over its Market Value. No fair value estimate for now: its free cash flow is negative.
Worth knowing
- Share count down 6% in 2 years
From the data on this page, as of the last close. How we pick these
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- $173.69price +14%
- Off 52-wk high
- −12%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta 0.07
52-week range 69% of the way from its 52-week low to its high
Price $197.17Market Value $173.69
4 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Repriced or dip?
Dip: business intact
The price is 12% below its 52-week high (Jan 12), but the business held up: revenue +8.7%, revenue growth rate +2.8 pts, shares outstanding fewer shares, each owns more.
Some numbers held up (revenue +8.7%, revenue growth rate +2.8 pts, shares outstanding fewer shares, each owns more), others slipped (free cash flow $28M → −$28M, turned negative). The price is 12% below its 52-week high.
The price is 12% below its 52-week high, and the business changed too: free cash flow $28M → −$28M, turned negative.
Within 10% of its 52-week high, so there is no dip to judge yet.
The evidence 9 numbers, high vs now
- Revenue, last 12 months$731M → $795M (+8.7%)held up
- Revenue growth rate+8.7% → +11.5% a year (+2.8 pts)held up
- Earnings per share, 12 months$8.55 → $8.10 (−5.2%)about the same
- Free cash flow, 12 months$28M → −$28M, turned negativechanged
- Operating margin11.5% → 10.0% (−1.5 pts)about the same
- Shares outstanding−8.1% (fewer shares, each owns more)held up
- Stock vs its sector (Consumer Discretionary)stock −12%, sector median +4% since Jan 12about the same
- Price fall vs business numbersprice −12%, revenue/EPS/FCF median +2% (shown, not scored)
- Valuation multipleP/E 26.1× at the high → 24.3× now (shown, not scored)
Business numbers as reported at the high (12 months to Sep 27, 2025) vs the latest filing (12 months to Jul 4, 2026). Each measure is scored from −1 (business changed) to +1 (business intact) and weighted: revenue, earnings per share, free cash flow, operating margin, revenue growth rate, share count, net cash and the move vs its sector. 60 or more reads as a dip, 40 or less as a repricing. Analyst estimates are not in our data, so they are not used. How to read it
Data-based read, not advice.
Priced in
How much growth the market assumed at the 52-week high, the low and today (a reverse DCF).
At the high ($223.33, Jan 12) the price assumed about 25%/yr free-cash-flow growth. The last 3 years delivered −5%/yr (free cash flow).
Dashed line: what the last 3 years delivered, −5%/yr (free cash flow)
| High | Low | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price | $223.33Jan 12 | $137.75May 15 | $197.17 |
| Implied growth | +25% | n/a | n/a |
| P/E | 26.1× | 18.9× | 24.3× |
| P/FCF | 52.0× | — | — |
What this means: the higher the implied growth, the more the price already counts on. If today's number sits well below what the business has delivered, the market expects less than its track record.
How it’s computed
Reverse DCF: the same 10-year free-cash-flow model as our fair value estimate (9.5% discount rate, growth for years 1–5 fading to 3% by year 10, 3% after), solved for the growth that makes it equal the market value at each price. For the high and the low we use only the filings that were public on that day, so nothing from a later report leaks back. Market value = that close × diluted shares. P/E = market value / 12-month net income; Price / FCF = market value / 12-month free cash flow; EV / Sales = (market value + debt − cash) / 12-month revenue. Hidden when the share count moved over 20% (split, merger), free cash flow is negative, or the company reports in another currency.
Valuation
What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.
Fair value estimate
No estimate for CRAI: negative free cash flow. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much CRAI moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Has moved mostly independently of the market, but its own price swings are 3.1× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.07
- Volatility
- 39% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.02
- Correlation QQQ
- −0.12
How it ranks
Where CRAI stands vs every one of the 2,467 stocks we cover that has the number. Longer bar = better.
Top quarter on 1 of 4 measures
- Free cash flow yield−2.3% · free cash flow vs market capLowest 14%of 1,690
- Dividends + buybacks yield5.6% · cash paid out or used to retire shares, vs market capTop 22%of 2,227
- Revenue growth, last 12 months+11% · vs the 12 months beforeTop 43%of 2,184
- Operating margin10% · of sales kept as operating profitLowest 47%of 1,549
From SEC filings and our fair value estimate model. A ranking, not advice.
Valuation details
MV $173.69
Fundamentals
The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 4 of 5
Cash returnsShare count down 5.1% in a year: $53M of buybacks over 12 months.
ProfitabilityReturn on equity of 26% over the last 12 months, up 8 points in two years.
GrowthDiluted EPS grew 21% to $8.14 in FY2026.
GrowthSales grew 11% to $795M over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ValuationFree cash flow is negative (−$28M over the last 12 months), so there’s no cash-flow value under the price.
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of −2.3%, below the 5.6% median for the 435 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
ValuationPrice / book of 6.6×, above the 3.0× median for the 413 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: no positive free cash flow; net debt 3.0× EBITDA (limit 3×).
ValuationTrades 13.5% above its Market Value of $173.69, the average price paid since the Aug 6 filing.
All fundamentals
P/E 24.3 · FCF yield -2.3% · ROE 26%
Valuation
- P/E
- 24.3×Consumer Discretionary median 20.1×
- Price / FCF
- n/anegative free cash flow
- FCF yield
- −2.3%
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 1.51×
- Price / book
- 6.60×
- Market cap
- $1.2Blisted
- Enterprise value
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $795M
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +11.5%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +8.3%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- EPS growth, last FY
- +20.8%
- Net income, 12 months
- $49M
- Net income growth
- −13%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- n/agross profit isn't reported (common for service and financial companies)
- Operating margin
- 10.0%
- Net margin
- 6.2%
- FCF margin
- −3.5%
- Return on equity
- 26%
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $21M
- Total debt
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net cash
- n/acash or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- 11.2×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- −$28M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Dividend yield
- 1.20%$14M paid
- Payout ratio
- 29%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $53M4.4% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- −5.1%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $7M
Trailing 12 months to Jul 4, 2026; balance sheet at Jul 4, 2026. From CRA International’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
The business
FCF $-0.0B · Sales +13%
- Free cash flow, 12 months−$0.0B
- Free-cash-flow yield-2.3%
- Gross margin29%
- Operating margin11%
- Return on invested capital15%
- Return on equity26%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+13%
- Net debt / EBITDA3.0×
Chart & levels
Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $197.17
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$137.75−30.1%
- Market Valueavg paid since Aug 6$173.69−11.9%
- PriceMon Nov 2 close$197.17you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$223.33+13.3%
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 67 · 5 days −2.2%
Signals
Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Next report
Nov 5
- DateThu Nov 5, before the open
- Consensus EPS$2.06
- Year-ago EPS$2.06
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
CRAI is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.
Voices & buzz
Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on CRA International in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 5:14 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Other Consumer Services
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.