QualityDip
Get alerts

Stocks / Industrials · Building Materials

CRH

CRH CRH

Industrials · Building Materials
$90.81+0.21% dayFri Oct 30 close

In a deep dip: 31% below its 52-week high.

A quality company trading well above our fair value estimate.

Deep dip
Get alerts
Fair value est.
$66.05−27%
Market Value
forming
Off 52-wk high
−31%
Risk vs market
Above marketbeta 1.26

5 bullish · 5 bearish See why

$80$100$120Jan ’26AprJulOct
Fair value est.Drag across the chart to see any day

Key levels

Every level vs today’s $90.81

  1. Fair value est.base case$66.05−27.3%
  2. 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$79.20−12.8%
  3. PriceFri Oct 30 close$90.81you are here
  4. 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$131.38+44.7%

Fair value estimate

How the range is computed

Ten-year free-cash-flow DCF. Same 10-year free-cash-flow model as the base: discount rate 9.5% ±1 point and growth 4.6% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 2.6%; bull = 8.5% and 6.6% (both fade to 3%). A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.

$66.05−27% vs price
Bear$51.16
Base$66.05
Bull$87.79

Price is above even the bull case.

What the price implies To be worth today’s price, CRH’s free cash flow would need to grow about 10% a year for five years; our estimate uses 5%.

Risk vs market

How risk vs market is measured

One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much CRH moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.

Above market

Swings more than the market, and its own price swings are 2.5× the S&P 500’s.

Beta vs S&P 500
1.26
Volatility
33% vs 13% SPY
Correlation SPY
0.50
Correlation QQQ
0.35

Bull vs bear

Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.

Top bullish points 5 of 5

  1. ValuationP/E of 17.0× vs a 27.5× median for the 130 Industrials companies we cover.

  2. ProfitabilityOperating margin widened to 14.5% in FY2025 from 12.0% in FY2023 (SEC filings).

  3. ValuationEV/EBITDA of 9.9×, below the 16.6× median for the 96 Industrials companies we cover.

  4. TechnicalA company that passes our quality screen, now 31% off its 52-week high (deep dip).

  5. QualityPasses all four of our quality checks: cash generation, returns on capital, growth and balance sheet.

Top bearish points 5 of 5

  1. ValuationOur DCF fair value estimate is $66.05, 27% below the price.

  2. Balance sheetDebt rose 52% to $17.7B from FY2023 to FY2025.

  3. Balance sheetDebt / equity of 0.8×, above the 0.5× median for the 116 Industrials companies we cover.

  4. GrowthSales grew 5.6% over the last 12 months, below the 9.3% median for the 147 Industrials companies we cover.

  5. ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital of 9.8%, below the 13% median for the 102 Industrials companies we cover.

Who’s talking about it

Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on CRH in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.

No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.

Compare with peers

Closest in size in Industrials

All fundamentals

P/E 17.0 · FCF yield 4.2% · ROE 15%

Valuation

P/E
17.0×3-yr-end avg 19.0× · Industrials median 27.5×
Price / FCF
23.8×
FCF yield
4.2%
EV / EBITDA
9.9×
Price / sales
1.55×
Price / book
2.42×
Market cap
$60.6Bprice × diluted shares
Enterprise value
$75.1B

Growth

Revenue, 12 months
$39.0B
Sales growth, 12 months
+5.6%vs the 12 months before
Sales growth, 3 yrs
+4.6%/yrfrom FY2022
Diluted EPS, 12 months
$5.31
EPS growth, last FY
+9.8%
Net income, 12 months
$3.6B
Net income growth
+4%12 months vs before

Profitability

Gross margin
36.2%
Operating margin
13.7%
Net margin
9.1%
FCF margin
6.5%
Return on equity
15%
Return on invested capital
10%

Balance sheet

Cash & short-term inv.
$5.1B
Total debt
$19.6B
Net cash
−$14.5B
Debt / equity
0.79×
Interest coverage
6.3×operating income / interest

Cash flow & returns

Free cash flow, 12 months
$2.5B
FCF growth, 12 months
−2%
Dividend yield
n/ano dividend payments tagged
Payout ratio
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Buybacks, 12 months
$944M1.6% of market cap
Share count, 1 year
−1.3%diluted shares vs a year ago
Stock-based comp
$152M

Trailing 12 months to Sep 30, 2026; balance sheet at Sep 30, 2026. From CRH’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.

Valuation details

DCF $66.05 · FCF value $95.63

How

Market ValueForming: thesis-changing filing on Oct 29, needs five trading days
forming
Fair value estimateDCF: ten years of free cash flow per share, discounted
$66.0527% downside

Assumes 4.6% growth for 5 years (revenue grew 4.6% a year FY22–FY25), fading to 3%; 9.5% discount rate, 3% terminal growth. FCF base $3.81 a share (trailing 12 months to Sep 30, 2026), from the 10-Q filed Oct 29, 2026. Net debt $14.5B, not deducted.

FCF valuePrice at a 4% yield on trailing free cash flow ($2.5B)
$95.63price −5%

Setup & signals

No setup armed

All setups

No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. We watch it daily for our three reversal signal rules while it sits in a dip.

Momentum & 52-week range

RSI 66 · 5 days +7.0%
$90.81now
52-wk low $79.20high $131.38
Off 52-wk high−30.9%
5 days+7.0%
vs 50-day avg+4.2%
vs 200-day avg−12.8%
RSI (14)66
Market cap$60B

The business

FCF $2.5B · Sales +3%
  • Free cash flow, 12 months$2.5B
  • Free-cash-flow yield4.2%
  • Free-cash-flow margin6%
  • Gross margin36%
  • Operating margin14%
  • Return on invested capital10%
  • Return on equity15%
  • Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+3%
  • Net debt / EBITDA2.0×

Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.

Get a text when CRH fires a reversal signal

One text when a published rule fires on CRH or any of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.

By joining you agree we can text or email you about QualityDip. Message and data rates may apply. Reply STOP anytime. Not advice.