QualityDipStocks / Basic Materials · Precious Metals
Drdgold DRD
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 41% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: a capital-spending surge is squeezing its free cash flow.
Worth knowing
- Down 42% from its 52-week high while revenue grew 42%
- Operating margin 51%, top 3% of the 1288 we measure
From the data on this page, as of the last close. How we pick these
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- —
- Off 52-wk high
- −41%
- Risk vs market
- Highbeta 2.13
5 bullish · 1 bearish See why
Valuation
What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.
Fair value estimate
Estimate unreliable for DRD: free cash flow is squeezed by a capital-spending surge (capex is 64% of operating cash flow over the last 12 months, vs 39% in FY2022), so a DCF on today's free cash flow would understate the business. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much DRD moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Swings much more than the market, and its own price swings are 4.4× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 2.13
- Volatility
- 56% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.48
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.46
How it ranks
Where DRD stands vs every one of the 1,996 stocks we cover that has the number. Longer bar = better.
Top quarter on 2 of 4 measures
- Free cash flow yield6.4% · free cash flow vs market capTop 27%of 1,391
- Dividends + buybacks yield2.3% · cash paid out or used to retire shares, vs market capLowest 45%of 1,836
- Revenue growth, last 12 months+42% · vs the 12 months beforeTop 10%of 1,814
- Operating margin51% · of sales kept as operating profitTop 2%of 1,288
From SEC filings and our fair value estimate model. A ranking, not advice.
Valuation details
Fundamentals
The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
ProfitabilityGross margin widened to 53.5% in FY2026 from 29.0% in FY2024 (SEC filings).
ProfitabilityOperating margin widened to 51.4% in FY2026 from 25.8% in FY2024 (SEC filings).
GrowthSales grew 42% to $671M over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).
ValuationP/E of 7.8× vs a 17.3× median for the 38 Basic Materials companies we cover.
GrowthSales compounded 27% a year from FY2023 to FY2026.
Top bearish points 1 of 5
RiskCyclical business: one strong year of cash flow can make it look cheaper than it is.
All fundamentals
P/E 7.8 · FCF yield 6.4% · ROE 39%
Valuation
- P/E
- 7.8×Basic Materials median 17.3×
- Price / FCF
- 15.5×
- FCF yield
- 6.4%
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 2.98×
- Price / book
- 2.61×
- Market cap
- $2.0Blisted
- Enterprise value
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $671M
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +41.6%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +26.6%/yrfrom FY2023
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $4.89
- EPS growth, last FY
- +89.0%
- Net income, 12 months
- $256M
- Net income growth
- +90%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 53.5%
- Operating margin
- 51.4%
- Net margin
- 38.1%
- FCF margin
- 19.2%
- Return on equity
- 39%
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $167M
- Total debt
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net cash
- n/acash or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- 57.4×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $129M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- +71%
- Dividend yield
- 2.34%$47M paid
- Payout ratio
- 18%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Share count, 1 year
- n/ano quarterly diluted share count
- Stock-based comp
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026; balance sheet at Jun 30, 2026. From Drdgold’s SEC filings, reported in ZAR and converted to US dollars. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
The business
FCF $0.6B · Sales +50%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$0.6B
- Free-cash-flow yield6.4%
- Free-cash-flow margin5%
- Gross margin54%
- Operating margin55%
- Return on equity39%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+50%
- Net debt / EBITDA−0.4×
Chart & levels
Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $22.96
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$19.65−14.4%
- PriceMon Nov 2 close$22.96you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$39.18+70.6%
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 39 · 5 days −6.4%
Signals
Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
DRD is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.
Voices & buzz
Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Drdgold in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 1:01 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Precious Metals
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.