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FTAI

FTAI Aviation FTAI

Industrials · Leasing
$187.27−4.46% dayFri Oct 30 close

Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 40% below its 52-week high.

Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: its free cash flow is negative.

Outside our quality screen
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Fair value est.
n/a
Market Value
forming
Off 52-wk high
−40%
Risk vs market
Highbeta 2.38

3 bullish · 5 bearish See why

$150$200$250$300Jan ’26AprJulOct
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Covered for reference — doesn’t pass our quality screen (no positive free cash flow). We show its price, Market Value and DCF, but it never appears in Dips, Top Picks or reversal signals. The screen

Key levels

Every level vs today’s $187.27

  1. 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$152.80−18.4%
  2. PriceFri Oct 30 close$187.27you are here
  3. 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$310.04+65.6%

Fair value estimate

No estimate for FTAI: negative free cash flow. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.

Risk vs market

How risk vs market is measured

One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much FTAI moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.

High

Swings much more than the market, and its own price swings are 5.2× the S&P 500’s.

Beta vs S&P 500
2.38
Volatility
67% vs 13% SPY
Correlation SPY
0.46
Correlation QQQ
0.42

Bull vs bear

Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.

Top bullish points 3 of 5

  1. GrowthSales grew 45% to $3.1B over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).

  2. GrowthSales compounded 52% a year from FY2022 to FY2025.

  3. ProfitabilityReturn on equity of 168%, above the 15% median for the 132 Industrials companies we cover.

Top bearish points 5 of 5

  1. ValuationFree cash flow is negative (−$480M over the last 12 months), so there’s no cash-flow value under the price.

  2. Balance sheetDebt is 8.5× shareholders’ equity.

  3. ProfitabilityGross margin narrowed to 46.2% in FY2025 from 57.1% in FY2023 (SEC filings).

  4. Balance sheetDebt rose 37% to $3.4B from FY2023 to FY2025.

  5. QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: no positive free cash flow.

Who’s talking about it

Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on FTAI Aviation in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.

No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.

Compare with peers

Closest in size in Industrials

All fundamentals

P/E 42.1 · FCF yield -2.4% · ROE 168%

Valuation

P/E
42.1×Industrials median 27.5×
Price / FCF
n/anegative free cash flow
FCF yield
−2.4%
EV / EBITDA
n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
Price / sales
6.46×
Price / book
49.75×
Market cap
$20.1Blisted
Enterprise value
$23.2B

Growth

Revenue, 12 months
$3.1B
Sales growth, 12 months
+45.3%vs the 12 months before
Sales growth, 3 yrs
+52.4%/yrfrom FY2022
Diluted EPS, 12 months
$4.58
EPS growth, last FY
n/afewer than two years of diluted EPS
Net income, 12 months
$478M
Net income growth
+15%12 months vs before

Profitability

Gross margin
39.2%
Operating margin
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Net margin
15.3%
FCF margin
−15.4%
Return on equity
168%
Return on invested capital
n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged

Balance sheet

Cash & short-term inv.
$337M
Total debt
$3.5B
Net cash
−$3.1B
Debt / equity
8.55×
Interest coverage
n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data

Cash flow & returns

Free cash flow, 12 months
−$480M
FCF growth, 12 months
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Dividend yield
0.77%$154M paid
Payout ratio
32%
Buybacks, 12 months
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Share count, 1 year
+0.9%diluted shares vs a year ago
Stock-based comp
$25M

Trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026; balance sheet at Jun 30, 2026. From FTAI Aviation’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.

Valuation details

How

Market ValueForming: thesis-changing filing on Oct 29, needs five trading days
forming
Fair value estimaten/a — negative free cash flow
n/a
FCF valueTrailing free cash flow is negative
n/a

Setup & signals

No setup armed

All setups

No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.

Momentum & 52-week range

RSI 59 · 5 days +21.3%
$187.27now
52-wk low $152.80high $310.04
Off 52-wk high−39.6%
5 days+21.3%
vs 50-day avg+4.6%
vs 200-day avg−19.3%
RSI (14)59
Market cap$20B

The business

FCF $-0.9B · Sales +41%
  • Free cash flow, 12 months−$0.9B
  • Free-cash-flow yield−4.4%
  • Free-cash-flow margin−29%
  • Gross margin32%
  • Operating margin25%
  • Return on invested capital16%
  • Return on equity156%
  • Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+41%
  • Net debt / EBITDA2.9×

Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.

FTAI is outside our quality screen

One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.

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