QualityDipStocks / Industrials · Major Chemicals
DuPont de Nemours DD
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 9% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen, trading well above our fair value estimate, 7% over its Market Value.
- Fair value est.
- $81.32−42%
- Market Value
- $131.18price +7%
- Off 52-wk high
- −9%
- Risk vs market
- Market-likebeta 1.03
4 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $140.05
- Fair value est.base case$81.32−41.9%
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$102.26−27.0%
- Market Valueavg paid since Sep 10$131.18−6.3%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$140.05you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$154.59+10.4%
Fair value estimate
How the range is computed
Ten-year free-cash-flow DCF. Same 10-year free-cash-flow model as the base: discount rate 9.5% ±1 point and growth 3.0% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 1.0%; bull = 8.5% and 5.0% (both fade to 3%). A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.
Price is above even the bull case.
What the price implies To be worth today’s price, DD’s free cash flow would need to grow about 13% a year for five years; our estimate uses 3%.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much DD moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Moves about in line with the market, and its own price swings are 2.3× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 1.03
- Volatility
- 30% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.44
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.35
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 4 of 5
GrowthSales grew 76% to $7.0B over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).
Balance sheetPaid down debt: $3.2B at FY2025, 59% less than at FY2023.
Cash returnsShare count down 2.2% in a year.
Cash returnsDividend yield of 2.2% ($417M paid over 12 months).
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ValuationOur DCF fair value estimate is $81.32, 42% below the price.
GrowthSales shrank 19% a year from FY2022 to FY2025.
ProfitabilityReturn on equity fell 7 points in two fiscal years, to -6% in FY2025.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%.
ValuationTrades 6.8% above its Market Value of $131.18, the average price paid since the Sep 10 filing.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on DuPont de Nemours in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Major Chemicals
All fundamentals
FCF yield 3.7% · ROE 0% · Sales +76%
Valuation
- P/E
- n/an/m: earnings near zero (P/E above 300)
- Price / FCF
- 27.3×
- FCF yield
- 3.7%
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 2.74×
- Price / book
- 1.39×
- Market cap
- $19.2Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- $20.5B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $7.0B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +75.7%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- −19.3%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $4.15
- EPS growth, last FY
- n/afewer than two years of diluted EPS
- Net income, 12 months
- $55M
- Net income growth
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 35.1%
- Operating margin
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net margin
- 0.8%
- FCF margin
- 10.0%
- Return on equity
- 0%
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $1.7B
- Total debt
- $3.1B
- Net cash
- −$1.4B
- Debt / equity
- 0.23×
- Interest coverage
- n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $702M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Dividend yield
- 2.18%$417M paid
- Payout ratio
- n/an/m
- Buybacks, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Share count, 1 year
- −2.2%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $43M
Trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026; balance sheet at Jun 30, 2026. From DuPont de Nemours’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
DCF $81.32 · MV $131.18 · FCF value $128.99
Assumes 3.0% growth for 5 years (revenue grew -19.3% a year FY22–FY25; floored at 3%), fading to 3%; 9.5% discount rate, 3% terminal growth. FCF base $5.13 a share (trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026), from the 10-Q filed Aug 4, 2026. Net cash $1.7B, not added.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 68 · 5 days +2.6%
The business
FCF $0.7B · Sales +4%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$0.7B
- Free-cash-flow yield3.7%
- Gross margin35%
- Operating margin14%
- Return on invested capital5%
- Return on equity2%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+4%
- Net debt / EBITDA0.9×
Next report
Nov 3
- DateTue Nov 3, before the open
- Consensus EPS$1.86
- Year-ago EPS$3.27
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
DD is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.