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Stocks / Finance · Property-Casualty Insurers

L

Loews L

Finance · Property-Casualty Insurers
$111.32−0.33% dayFri Oct 30 close

Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 7% below its 52-week high.

Outside our quality screen, trading well above our fair value estimate.

Outside our quality screenReports Nov 2
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Fair value est.
$82.13−26%
Market Value
$109.12price +2%
Off 52-wk high
−7%
Risk vs market
Lowbeta −0.06

3 bullish · 5 bearish See why

$100$110Jan ’26AprJulOctMV $109.12
Fair value est.Market ValueDrag across the chart to see any day
Covered for reference — doesn’t pass our quality screen (ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%). We show its price, Market Value and DCF, but it never appears in Dips, Top Picks or reversal signals. The screen

Key levels

Every level vs today’s $111.32

  1. Fair value est.base case$82.13−26.2%
  2. 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$99.42−10.7%
  3. Market Valueavg paid since Aug 3$109.12−2.0%
  4. PriceFri Oct 30 close$111.32you are here
  5. 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$119.40+7.3%

Fair value estimate

How the range is computed

Financials model (residual income). Same residual-income model as the base: cost of equity 9.5% ±1 point and return on equity 8.1% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 6.1%; bull = 8.5% and 10.1%. A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.

$82.13−26% vs price
Bear$55.58
Base$82.13
Bull$122.94

Price sits inside the range.

What the price implies To be worth today’s price, L would need a return on equity of about 10% a year; our estimate uses 8%.

Risk vs market

How risk vs market is measured

One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much L moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.

Low

Has moved mostly independently of the market, but its own price swings are 1.3× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).

Beta vs S&P 500
-0.06
Volatility
16% vs 13% SPY
Correlation SPY
−0.05
Correlation QQQ
−0.25

Bull vs bear

Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.

Top bullish points 3 of 5

  1. GrowthDiluted EPS grew 24% to $7.97 in FY2025.

  2. ValuationPrice / book of 1.2×, below the 1.8× median for the 143 Finance companies we cover.

  3. RiskCalmer than the market: beta −0.06 vs the S&P 500 and 16% yearly volatility (SPY 13%).

Top bearish points 5 of 5

  1. ValuationOur residual-income fair value estimate is $82.13, 26% below the price.

  2. GrowthSales grew 3.5% over the last 12 months, below the 11% median for the 142 Finance companies we cover.

  3. ProfitabilityNet margin of 9.0%, below the 21% median for the 142 Finance companies we cover.

  4. QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%.

  5. RiskReports earnings Nov 2: results can move the price sharply and reset Market Value.

Who’s talking about it

Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Loews in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.

No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.

Compare with peers

Closest in size in Property-Casualty Insurers

All fundamentals

P/E 13.5 · ROE 9% · Sales +4%

Valuation

P/E
13.5×Finance median 13.5×
Price / FCF
n/acash flow isn't a clean measure for an insurer
FCF yield
n/acash flow isn't a clean measure for an insurer
EV / EBITDA
n/anot meaningful for an insurer
Price / sales
1.22×
Price / book
1.19×
Market cap
$22.8Bprice × diluted shares
Enterprise value
$25.6B

Growth

Revenue, 12 months
$18.7B
Sales growth, 12 months
+3.5%vs the 12 months before
Sales growth, 3 yrs
+9.5%/yrfrom FY2022
Diluted EPS, 12 months
$8.15
EPS growth, last FY
+24.3%
Net income, 12 months
$1.7B
Net income growth
+25%12 months vs before

Profitability

Gross margin
n/anot meaningful for an insurer
Operating margin
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Net margin
9.0%
FCF margin
9.4%
Return on equity
9%
Return on invested capital
n/anot meaningful for an insurer

Balance sheet

Cash & short-term inv.
$6.1B
Total debt
$8.9B
Net cash
n/anot meaningful for an insurer
Debt / equity
n/adeposits/float make debt/equity not comparable for an insurer
Interest coverage
n/anot meaningful for an insurer

Cash flow & returns

Free cash flow, 12 months
$1.8B
FCF growth, 12 months
−42%
Dividend yield
0.23%$52M paid
Payout ratio
3%
Buybacks, 12 months
$340M1.5% of market cap
Share count, 1 year
−1.8%diluted shares vs a year ago
Stock-based comp
n/anot reported in its SEC filings

Trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026; balance sheet at Jun 30, 2026. From Loews’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.

Valuation details

DCF $82.13 · MV $109.12

How

Market ValueAverage paid since the Aug 3 filing, 64 trading days
$109.12price +2%
Fair value estimateFinancials model (residual income): book value plus excess returns, discounted
$82.1326% downside

Financials model (residual income): book value $99.25 a share on Jun 30, 2026, plus the earnings above a 9.5% cost of equity. ROE 8.1%, the average of 8.6% for the trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026 and 7.6% over fiscal 2021–2025, on average common equity; payout 21% of earnings (dividends 3% + net buybacks 18%), so book grows by the retained rest; the return above 9.5% fades halfway toward 9.5% over 10 years, then grows at 3% (terminal value). From the 10-Q filed Aug 3, 2026.

FCF valueNot meaningful for banks and insurers
n/a

Setup & signals

No setup armed

All setups

No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.

Momentum & 52-week range

RSI 57 · 5 days −0.6%
$111.32nowMV
52-wk low $99.42high $119.40
Off 52-wk high−6.8%
5 days−0.6%
vs 50-day avg+2.5%
vs 200-day avg+1.8%
RSI (14)57
Market cap$23B

The business

FCF $1.8B · Sales +4%
  • Free cash flow, 12 months$1.8B
  • Free-cash-flow yield7.8%
  • Return on equity9%
  • Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+4%

Next report

Nov 2

Calendar

  • DateMon Nov 2, before the open
  • Year-ago EPS$2.43
  • QuarterSep/2026

From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.

Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.

L is outside our quality screen

One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.

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