QualityDipStocks / Finance · Major Banks
OFG Bancorp OFG
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 6% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen, trading near our fair value estimate.
Worth knowing
- Share count down 6% in 2 years
From the data on this page, as of the last close. How we pick these
- Fair value est.
- $54.70+8%
- Market Value
- $50.93at the price
- Off 52-wk high
- −6%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta 0.33
4 bullish · 3 bearish See why
Priced in
How much growth the market assumed at the 52-week high, the low and today (a reverse DCF).
52-wk high: P/E 10.4×; 52-wk low: P/E 8.3×; now: P/E 9.8×.
| High | Low | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price | $53.95Aug 14 | $37.15Jan 23 | $50.87 |
| P/E | 10.4× | 8.3× | 9.8× |
What this means: a lower P/E than at the high means you pay less for each dollar of profit than buyers did then.
How it’s computed
Banks, insurers and lenders: cash flow includes deposits and loans, so a cash-flow model doesn't fit; we show P/E at each point instead. P/E = that day's close × diluted shares / 12-month net income, using only the filings that were public on that day.
Valuation
What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.
Fair value estimate
How the range is computed
Financials model (residual income). Same residual-income model as the base: cost of equity 9.5% ±1 point and return on equity 15.2% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 13.2%; bull = 8.5% and 17.2%. A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.
Price sits inside the range.
What the price implies To be worth today’s price, OFG would need a return on equity of about 14% a year; our estimate uses 15%.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much OFG moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Moves much less than the market, but its own price swings are 1.8× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.33
- Volatility
- 23% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.18
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.08
How it ranks
Where OFG stands vs every one of the 1,996 stocks we cover that has the number. Longer bar = better.
Not in the top quarter on any of these 3 measures
- Discount to fair value estimate8% · price below our base caseTop 40%of 1,314
- Dividends + buybacks yield2.5% · cash paid out or used to retire shares, vs market capLowest 47%of 1,836
- Revenue growth, last 12 months+4% · vs the 12 months beforeLowest 24%of 1,814
From SEC filings and our fair value estimate model. A ranking, not advice.
Valuation details
DCF $54.70 · MV $50.93
Financials model (residual income): book value $34.22 a share on Jun 30, 2026, plus the earnings above a 9.5% cost of equity. ROE 15.2%, the average of 15.6% for the trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026 and 14.9% over fiscal 2021–2025, on average common equity; payout 70% of earnings (dividends 25% + net buybacks 45%), so book grows by the retained rest; the return above 9.5% fades halfway toward 9.5% over 10 years, then grows at 3% (terminal value). From the 10-Q filed Aug 6, 2026.
Fundamentals
The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 4 of 5
Cash returnsShare count down 5.9% in a year.
ValuationP/E of 9.8× vs a 13.6× median for the 291 Finance companies we cover.
ProfitabilityReturn on equity of 16% over the last 12 months.
Cash returnsDividend yield of 2.5% ($55M paid over 12 months, 25% of earnings).
Top bearish points 3 of 5
GrowthSales grew 4.0% over the last 12 months, below the 12% median for the 284 Finance companies we cover.
GrowthDiluted EPS grew 8.3% in the last fiscal year, below the 16% median for the 262 Finance companies we cover.
GrowthSales grew 6.0% a year over the last three fiscal years, below the 9.2% median for the 286 Finance companies we cover.
All fundamentals
P/E 9.8 · ROE 16% · Sales +4%
Valuation
- P/E
- 9.8×Finance median 13.6×
- Price / FCF
- n/acash flow isn't a clean measure for a bank
- FCF yield
- n/acash flow isn't a clean measure for a bank
- EV / EBITDA
- n/anot meaningful for a bank
- Price / sales
- 2.88×
- Price / book
- 1.53×
- Market cap
- $2.2Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $747Mnet interest income + noninterest income
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +4.0%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +6.0%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $5.07
- EPS growth, last FY
- +8.3%
- Net income, 12 months
- $220M
- Net income growth
- +13%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- n/anot meaningful for a bank
- Operating margin
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net margin
- 29.5%
- FCF margin
- 27.1%
- Return on equity
- 16%
- Return on invested capital
- n/anot meaningful for a bank
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $746M
- Total debt
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net cash
- n/anot meaningful for a bank
- Debt / equity
- n/adeposits/float make debt/equity not comparable for a bank
- Interest coverage
- n/anot meaningful for a bank
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $203M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- +3%
- Dividend yield
- 2.55%$55M paid
- Payout ratio
- 25%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Share count, 1 year
- −5.9%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $6M
Trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026; balance sheet at Jun 30, 2026. From OFG Bancorp’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
The business
FCF $0.2B · Sales +6%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$0.2B
- Free-cash-flow yield9.1%
- Return on equity17%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+6%
Chart & levels
Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $50.87
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$37.15−27.0%
- PriceMon Nov 2 close$50.87you are here
- Market Valueavg paid since Oct 21$50.93+0.1%
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$53.95+6.1%
- Fair value est.base case$54.70+7.5%
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 47 · 5 days −1.2%
Signals
Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
OFG is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.
Voices & buzz
Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on OFG Bancorp in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 1:01 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Major Banks
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.