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Stocks / Finance · Major Banks

QCRH

QCR QCRH

Finance · Major Banks
$103.44+2.03% dayMon Nov 2 close

Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 3% below its 52-week high.

Outside our quality screen, trading below our fair value estimate.

Outside our quality screen
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Fair value est.
$114.05+10%
Market Value
$102.23price +1%
Off 52-wk high
−3%
Risk vs market
Lowbeta 0.46

52-week range 90% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Low $74.39High $106.59

Price $103.44Fair value est. $114.05Market Value $102.23

5 bullish · 4 bearish See why

Covered for reference — doesn’t pass our quality screen (market cap $1.7B, under our $20B floor; no cash-flow data; sales down vs the year-ago quarter). We show its price, Market Value and DCF, but it never appears in Dips, Top Picks or reversal signals. The screen

Priced in

How much growth the market assumed at the 52-week high, the low and today (a reverse DCF).

52-wk high: P/E 12.4×; 52-wk low: P/E 11.2×; now: P/E 11.9×.

  • 52-wk high$106.5912.4×
  • 52-wk low$74.3911.2×
  • Now$103.4411.9×
HighLowNow
Price$106.59Aug 13$74.39Oct 31$103.44
P/E12.4×11.2×11.9×

What this means: a lower P/E than at the high means you pay less for each dollar of profit than buyers did then.

How it’s computed

Banks, insurers and lenders: cash flow includes deposits and loans, so a cash-flow model doesn't fit; we show P/E at each point instead. P/E = that day's close × diluted shares / 12-month net income, using only the filings that were public on that day.

Valuation

What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.

Fair value estimate

How the range is computed

Financials model (residual income). Same residual-income model as the base: cost of equity 9.5% ±1 point and return on equity 13.2% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 11.2%; bull = 8.5% and 15.2%. A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.

$114.05+10% vs price
Bear$76.51
Base$114.05
Bull$173.45

Price sits inside the range.

What the price implies To be worth today’s price, QCRH would need a return on equity of about 12% a year; our estimate uses 13%.

Risk vs market

How risk vs market is measured

One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much QCRH moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.

Low

Moves much less than the market, but its own price swings are 1.7× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).

Beta vs S&P 500
0.46
Volatility
22% vs 13% SPY
Correlation SPY
0.27
Correlation QQQ
0.11

How it ranks

Where QCRH stands vs every one of the 2,467 stocks we cover that has the number. Longer bar = better.

Not in the top quarter on any of these 3 measures

  1. Discount to fair value estimate10% · price below our base case
    Top 40%of 1,507
  2. Dividends + buybacks yield0.3% · cash paid out or used to retire shares, vs market cap
    Lowest 25%of 2,227
  3. Revenue growth, last 12 months+17% · vs the 12 months before
    Top 31%of 2,184

From SEC filings and our fair value estimate model. A ranking, not advice.

Valuation details

DCF $114.05 · MV $102.23

How

Market ValueAverage paid since the Oct 20 filing, 9 trading days
$102.23price +1%
Fair value estimateFinancials model (residual income): book value plus excess returns, discounted
$114.0510% upside

Financials model (residual income): book value $70.21 a share on Jun 30, 2026, plus the earnings above a 9.5% cost of equity. ROE 13.2%, the average of 12.9% for the trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026 and 13.4% over fiscal 2021–2025, on average common equity; payout 3% of earnings (dividends 3%), so book grows by the retained rest; the return above 9.5% fades halfway toward 9.5% over 10 years, then grows at 3% (terminal value). From the 10-Q filed Aug 7, 2026.

FCF valueNot meaningful for banks and insurers
n/a

Fundamentals

The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.

Bull vs bear

Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.

Top bullish points 5 of 5

  1. ValuationOur residual-income fair value estimate is $114.05, 10% above the price.

  2. GrowthSales grew 17% to $396M over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).

  3. Cash returnsShare count down 2.6% in a year.

  4. ProfitabilityNet margin of 36%, above the 22% median for the 350 Finance companies we cover.

  5. ValuationP/E of 11.9×, below the 13.3× median for the 364 Finance companies we cover.

Top bearish points 4 of 5

  1. Cash returnsDividend yield of 0.3%, below the 2.4% median for the 300 Finance companies we cover.

  2. GrowthSales grew 5.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, below the 9.2% median for the 356 Finance companies we cover.

  3. GrowthDiluted EPS grew 12% in the last fiscal year, below the 15% median for the 327 Finance companies we cover.

  4. QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: no cash-flow data; sales down vs the year-ago quarter.

All fundamentals

P/E 11.9 · ROE 13% · Sales +17%

Valuation

P/E
11.9×Finance median 13.3×
Price / FCF
n/acash flow isn't a clean measure for a bank
FCF yield
n/acash flow isn't a clean measure for a bank
EV / EBITDA
n/anot meaningful for a bank
Price / sales
4.28×
Price / book
1.47×
Market cap
$1.7Bprice × diluted shares
Enterprise value
n/anot reported in its SEC filings

Growth

Revenue, 12 months
$396Mnet interest income + noninterest income
Sales growth, 12 months
+16.6%vs the 12 months before
Sales growth, 3 yrs
+5.8%/yrfrom FY2022
Diluted EPS, 12 months
$8.45
EPS growth, last FY
+11.6%
Net income, 12 months
$142M
Net income growth
+26%12 months vs before

Profitability

Gross margin
n/anot meaningful for a bank
Operating margin
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Net margin
35.8%
FCF margin
200.1%
Return on equity
13%
Return on invested capital
n/anot meaningful for a bank

Balance sheet

Cash & short-term inv.
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Total debt
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Net cash
n/anot meaningful for a bank
Debt / equity
n/adeposits/float make debt/equity not comparable for a bank
Interest coverage
n/anot meaningful for a bank

Cash flow & returns

Free cash flow, 12 months
$793M
FCF growth, 12 months
+96%
Dividend yield
0.28%$5M paid
Payout ratio
3%
Buybacks, 12 months
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Share count, 1 year
−2.6%diluted shares vs a year ago
Stock-based comp
$3M

Trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026; balance sheet at Jun 30, 2026. From QCR’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.

The business

Sales −2%
  • Return on equity13%
  • Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)−2%

Chart & levels

Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.

$80$90$100Jan ’26AprJulOctMV $102.23
Fair value est.Market ValueDrag across the chart to see any day

Key levels

Every level vs today’s $103.44

  1. 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$74.39−28.1%
  2. Market Valueavg paid since Oct 20$102.23−1.2%
  3. PriceMon Nov 2 close$103.44you are here
  4. 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$106.59+3.0%
  5. Fair value est.base case$114.05+10.3%

Momentum & 52-week range

RSI 60 · 5 days +0.3%
$103.44nowMV
52-wk low $74.39high $106.59
Off 52-wk high−3.0%
5 days+0.3%
vs 50-day avg+3.0%
vs 200-day avg+9.4%
RSI (14), last close60
Market cap$2B

Signals

Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.

Setup & signals

No setup armed

All setups

No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.

QCRH is outside our quality screen

One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.

By joining you agree we can text or email you about QualityDip. Message and data rates may apply. Reply STOP anytime. Not advice.

Voices & buzz

Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.

Who’s talking about it

Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on QCR in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.

No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 5:14 PM ET.

Compare with peers

Closest in size in Major Banks

Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.