QualityDipStocks / Technology · Software
Qualys QLYS
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 3% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen, trading near our fair value estimate, 19% over its Market Value.
- Fair value est.
- $221.70−1%
- Market Value
- $188.38price +19%
- Off 52-wk high
- −3%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta 0.45
5 bullish · 4 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $224.12
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$76.20−66.0%
- Market Valueavg paid since Aug 4$188.38−15.9%
- Fair value est.base case$221.70−1.1%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$224.12you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$230.29+2.8%
Fair value estimate
How the range is computed
Ten-year free-cash-flow DCF. Same 10-year free-cash-flow model as the base: discount rate 9.5% ±1 point and growth 11.0% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 9.0%; bull = 8.5% and 13.0% (both fade to 3%). A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.
Price sits inside the range.
What the price implies To be worth today’s price, QLYS’s free cash flow would need to grow about 11% a year for five years; our estimate uses 11%.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much QLYS moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Moves much less than the market, but its own price swings are 4.5× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.45
- Volatility
- 58% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.10
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.11
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
ProfitabilityReturn on equity of 39% over the last 12 months.
Cash returnsShare count down 4.1% in a year: $225M of buybacks over 12 months.
ProfitabilityOperating margin widened to 33.2% in FY2025 from 29.4% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
Cash returnsFree cash flow grew 31% over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before.
GrowthDiluted EPS grew 17% to $5.44 in FY2025.
Top bearish points 4 of 5
ProfitabilityReturn on equity fell 6 points in two fiscal years, to 35% in FY2025.
ValuationPrice / book of 14.0×, above the 7.1× median for the 149 Technology companies we cover.
ValuationP/E of 38.0×, above the 33.9× median for the 138 Technology companies we cover.
ValuationTrades 19.0% above its Market Value of $188.38, the average price paid since the Aug 4 filing.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Qualys in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Software
All fundamentals
P/E 38.0 · FCF yield 4.0% · ROE 39%
Valuation
- P/E
- 38.0×Technology median 33.9×
- Price / FCF
- 25.0×
- FCF yield
- 4.0%
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 11.17×
- Price / book
- 13.96×
- Market cap
- $7.9Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $703M
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +10.4%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +11.0%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $5.76
- EPS growth, last FY
- +17.0%
- Net income, 12 months
- $207M
- Net income growth
- +12%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 83.3%
- Operating margin
- 34.4%
- Net margin
- 29.4%
- FCF margin
- 44.7%
- Return on equity
- 39%
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $250M
- Total debt
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net cash
- n/acash or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $314M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- +31%
- Dividend yield
- 0%
- Payout ratio
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $225M2.9% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- −4.1%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $78M
Trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026; balance sheet at Jun 30, 2026. From Qualys’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
DCF $221.70 · MV $188.38 · FCF value $168.09
Assumes 11.0% growth for 5 years (revenue grew 11.0% a year FY22–FY25), fading to 3%; 9.5% discount rate, 3% terminal growth. FCF base $8.96 a share (trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026), from the 10-Q filed Aug 4, 2026.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 65 · 5 days +3.4%
The business
FCF $0.2B · Sales +11%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$0.2B
- Free-cash-flow yield3.0%
- Free-cash-flow margin35%
- Gross margin83%
- Operating margin34%
- Return on invested capital95%
- Return on equity39%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+11%
- Net debt / EBITDA−1.5×
Next report
Nov 9
- DateMon Nov 9, after the close
- Consensus EPS$1.46
- Year-ago EPS$1.39
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
QLYS is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.