QualityDipStocks / Consumer Discretionary · Specialty distribution
Revolve Group RVLV
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 30% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: its free cash flow is negative.
Worth knowing
- Down 31% from its 52-week high while revenue grew 15%
From the data on this page, as of the last close. How we pick these
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- $22.29price −1%
- Off 52-wk high
- −30%
- Risk vs market
- Market-likebeta 1.07
52-week range 32% of the way from its 52-week low to its high
Price $22.00Market Value $22.29
4 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Repriced or dip?
Dip: business intact
The price is 30% below its 52-week high (Dec 29), but the business held up: revenue +14.7%, revenue growth rate +5.5 pts, earnings per share +17.6%.
Some numbers held up (revenue +14.7%, revenue growth rate +5.5 pts, earnings per share +17.6%), others slipped (free cash flow $63M → −$7M, turned negative). The price is 30% below its 52-week high.
The price is 30% below its 52-week high, and the business changed too: free cash flow $63M → −$7M, turned negative.
Within 10% of its 52-week high, so there is no dip to judge yet.
The evidence 9 numbers, high vs now
- Revenue, last 12 months$1.2B → $1.4B (+14.7%)held up
- Revenue growth rate+9.2% → +14.7% a year (+5.5 pts)held up
- Earnings per share, 12 months$0.77 → $0.91 (+17.6%)held up
- Free cash flow, 12 months$63M → −$7M, turned negativechanged
- Operating margin5.4% → 5.6% (+0.2 pts)held up
- Shares outstanding+1.0% (more shares, each owns less)held up
- Stock vs its sector (Consumer Discretionary)stock −30%, sector median +9% since Dec 29changed
- Price fall vs business numbersprice −30%, revenue/EPS/FCF median +16% (shown, not scored)
- Valuation multipleP/E 40.8× at the high → 24.3× now (shown, not scored)
Business numbers as reported at the high (12 months to Sep 30, 2025) vs the latest filing (12 months to Sep 30, 2026). Each measure is scored from −1 (business changed) to +1 (business intact) and weighted: revenue, earnings per share, free cash flow, operating margin, revenue growth rate, share count, net cash and the move vs its sector. 60 or more reads as a dip, 40 or less as a repricing. Analyst estimates are not in our data, so they are not used. How to read it
Data-based read, not advice.
Priced in
How much growth the market assumed at the 52-week high, the low and today (a reverse DCF).
At the high ($31.45, Dec 29) the price assumed about 18%/yr free-cash-flow growth; at the low ($17.51, May 13) about 12%. The last 3 years delivered 38%/yr (free cash flow).
Dashed line: what the last 3 years delivered, 38%/yr (free cash flow)
| High | Low | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price | $31.45Dec 29 | $17.51May 13 | $22.00 |
| Implied growth | +18% | +12% | n/a |
| P/E | 40.8× | 19.7× | 24.3× |
| P/FCF | 35.7× | 25.8× | — |
What this means: the higher the implied growth, the more the price already counts on. If today's number sits well below what the business has delivered, the market expects less than its track record.
How it’s computed
Reverse DCF: the same 10-year free-cash-flow model as our fair value estimate (9.5% discount rate, growth for years 1–5 fading to 3% by year 10, 3% after), solved for the growth that makes it equal the market value at each price. For the high and the low we use only the filings that were public on that day, so nothing from a later report leaks back. Market value = that close × diluted shares. P/E = market value / 12-month net income; Price / FCF = market value / 12-month free cash flow; EV / Sales = (market value + debt − cash) / 12-month revenue. Hidden when the share count moved over 20% (split, merger), free cash flow is negative, or the company reports in another currency.
Valuation
What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.
Fair value estimate
No estimate for RVLV: negative free cash flow. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much RVLV moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Moves about in line with the market, and its own price swings are 3.9× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 1.07
- Volatility
- 50% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.28
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.18
How it ranks
Where RVLV stands vs every one of the 2,467 stocks we cover that has the number. Longer bar = better.
Not in the top quarter on any of these 4 measures
- Free cash flow yield−0.5% · free cash flow vs market capLowest 19%of 1,690
- Dividends + buybacks yield0.6% · cash paid out or used to retire shares, vs market capLowest 29%of 2,227
- Revenue growth, last 12 months+15% · vs the 12 months beforeTop 34%of 2,184
- Operating margin5.6% · of sales kept as operating profitLowest 32%of 1,549
From SEC filings and our fair value estimate model. A ranking, not advice.
Valuation details
MV $22.29 · FCF value $6.87
Fundamentals
The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 4 of 5
ProfitabilityOperating margin widened to 6.1% in FY2025 from 2.1% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
GrowthDiluted EPS grew 25% to $0.86 in FY2025.
GrowthSales grew 15% to $1.4B over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).
ProfitabilityGross margin of 54%, above the 37% median for the 316 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ValuationFree cash flow is negative (−$7M over the last 12 months), so there’s no cash-flow value under the price.
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of −0.5%, below the 5.6% median for the 435 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
ValuationP/E of 24.3×, above the 20.1× median for the 411 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
GrowthSales grew 3.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, below the 5.2% median for the 467 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
RiskReports earnings Nov 3 (consensus EPS $0.21): results can move the price sharply and reset Market Value.
All fundamentals
P/E 24.3 · FCF yield -0.5% · Sales +15%
Valuation
- P/E
- 24.3×Consumer Discretionary median 20.1×
- Price / FCF
- n/anegative free cash flow
- FCF yield
- −0.5%
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 1.17×
- Price / book
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Market cap
- $1.6Blisted
- Enterprise value
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $1.4B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +14.7%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +3.6%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $0.92
- EPS growth, last FY
- +24.6%
- Net income, 12 months
- $66M
- Net income growth
- +19%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 54.1%
- Operating margin
- 5.6%
- Net margin
- 4.8%
- FCF margin
- −0.5%
- Return on equity
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Total debt
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net cash
- n/acash or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- −$7M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Dividend yield
- 0%
- Payout ratio
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $10M0.6% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- −0.2%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $11M
Trailing 12 months to Sep 30, 2026. From Revolve Group’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
The business
FCF $0.0B · Sales +12%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$0.0B
- Free-cash-flow yield-0.5%
- Free-cash-flow margin2%
- Gross margin54%
- Operating margin6%
- Return on equity14%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+12%
- Net debt / EBITDA−3.2×
Chart & levels
Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $22.00
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$17.51−20.4%
- PriceMon Nov 2 close$22.00you are here
- Market Valueavg paid since Aug 4$22.29+1.3%
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$31.45+43.0%
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 49 · 5 days 0.0%
Signals
Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Next report
Nov 3
- DateTue Nov 3, after the close
- Consensus EPS$0.21
- Year-ago EPS$0.24
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
RVLV is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.
Voices & buzz
Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Revolve Group in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 5:14 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Specialty distribution
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.