QualityDipJC
Jim CramerOct 28 · TV
bearish“That's a Singapore company I've been very negative on.”
Stocks / Consumer Discretionary · Other Consumer Services
SE
Sea SE
$74.24−3.02% dayFri Oct 30 close
In a deep dip: 53% below its 52-week high.
A quality company trading well below our fair value estimate.
- Fair value est.
- $218.04+194%
- Market Value
- —
- Off 52-wk high
- −53%
- Risk vs market
- Above marketbeta 1.25
5 bullish · 3 bearish See why
Fair value est.Drag across the chart to see any day
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $74.24
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$74.01−0.3%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$74.24you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$157.76+112.5%
- Fair value est.base case$218.04+193.7%
Fair value estimate
How the range is computed
Ten-year free-cash-flow DCF. Same 10-year free-cash-flow model as the base: discount rate 9.5% ±1 point and growth 15.0% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 13.0%; bull = 8.5% and 17.0% (both fade to 3%). A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.
$218.04+194% vs price
Price $74.24
Bear$167.34
Base$218.04
Bull$292.11
Price is below even the bear case.
Cyclical / peak cash flow — treat with care
What the price implies To be worth today’s price, SE’s free cash flow would need to shrink about 4% a year for five years; our estimate uses 15%.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much SE moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Above market
Swings more than the market, and its own price swings are 4.0× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 1.25
- Volatility
- 51% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.31
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.27
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
GrowthDiluted EPS grew 241% to $2.52 in FY2025.
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of 9.5% (price / FCF 10.5×): $4.5B of free cash in the last 12 months.
ValuationOur DCF fair value estimate is $218.04, 194% above the price (cyclical or peak cash flow, so treat with care).
GrowthSales grew 36% to $22.9B over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).
TechnicalA company that passes our quality screen, now 53% off its 52-week high (deep dip).
Top bearish points 3 of 5
ValuationP/E of 30.0× vs a 20.9× median for the 169 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
RiskReports earnings Nov 10 (consensus EPS $0.79): results can move the price sharply and reset Market Value.
VoicesJim Cramer (Oct 28): ““That's a Singapore company I've been very negative on.”” CNBC Mad Money (lightning round)
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Sea in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Other Consumer Services
All fundamentals
P/E 30.0 · FCF yield 9.5% · ROE 15%
Valuation
- P/E
- 30.0×Consumer Discretionary median 20.9×
- Price / FCF
- 10.5×
- FCF yield
- 9.5%
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 2.07×
- Price / book
- 3.78×
- Market cap
- $47.4Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $22.9B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +36.4%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +22.6%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $2.52
- EPS growth, last FY
- +240.5%
- Net income, 12 months
- $1.6B
- Net income growth
- +254%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 44.7%
- Operating margin
- 8.7%
- Net margin
- 6.9%
- FCF margin
- 19.7%
- Return on equity
- 15%
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $10.6B
- Total debt
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net cash
- n/acash or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- 59.1×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $4.5B
- FCF growth, 12 months
- +52%
- Dividend yield
- 0%
- Payout ratio
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $14M0.0% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- n/ano quarterly diluted share count
- Stock-based comp
- $625M
Trailing 12 months to Dec 31, 2025; balance sheet at Dec 31, 2025. From Sea’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
DCF $218.04 · FCF value $185.60
Market ValueNo thesis-changing filing in the window we track
—
Fair value estimateDCF: ten years of free cash flow per share, discounted
$218.04194% upside
Cyclical / peak cash flow — treat with care
Assumes 15.0% growth for 5 years (revenue grew 16.4% a year FY22–FY25; capped at 15%), fading to 3%; 9.5% discount rate, 3% terminal growth. FCF base $7.07 a share (fiscal year to Dec 31, 2025), from the 20-F filed Apr 17, 2026.
FCF valuePrice at a 4% yield on trailing free cash flow ($4.7B)
$185.60price −60%
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. We watch it daily for our three reversal signal rules while it sits in a dip.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 23 · 5 days −0.5%
$74.24now
52-wk low $74.01high $157.76
Off 52-wk high−52.9%
5 days−0.5%
vs 50-day avg−25.1%
vs 200-day avg−24.7%
RSI (14)23 oversold
Market cap$47B
The business
FCF $4.7B · Sales +48%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$4.7B
- Free-cash-flow yield10.0%
- Free-cash-flow margin17%
- Gross margin44%
- Operating margin8%
- Return on invested capital12%
- Return on equity14%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+48%
- Net debt / EBITDA0.2×
Next report
Nov 10
- DateTue Nov 10, before the open
- Consensus EPS$0.79
- Year-ago EPS$0.59
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
Investor buzz
2 from investors
Their view, not ours, and not advice. All buzz
CC
Chase ColemanAug 14 · 13F filing
bearish13F: cut stake 19%, Q2 2026 (15,415,835 → 12,559,152 shares, now 5.0% of the 13F portfolio). Quarterly filing, positions as of 2026-06-30.
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
Get a text when SE fires a reversal signal
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