QualityDipStocks / Consumer Discretionary · Business Services
Trip.com Group TCOM
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 50% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: its share count is unclear.
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- —
- Off 52-wk high
- −50%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta 0.51
5 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $39.59
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$37.96−4.1%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$39.59you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$78.96+99.4%
Fair value estimate
No estimate for TCOM: SEC share count doesn't match the listed ADRs (ADR ratio unclear). We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much TCOM moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Moves much less than the market, but its own price swings are 2.7× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.51
- Volatility
- 35% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.19
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.12
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
GrowthSales compounded 46% a year from FY2022 to FY2025.
ValuationP/E of 5.5× vs a 20.9× median for the 169 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
Balance sheetNet cash of $6.2B: cash and short-term investments exceed debt (Dec 31, 2025).
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of 7.4% (price / FCF 13.5×): $2.0B of free cash in the last 12 months.
GrowthSales grew 17% to $9.4B over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).
Top bearish points 5 of 5
Balance sheetDebt rose 37% to $4.6B from FY2023 to FY2025.
Cash returnsFree cash flow fell 29% over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before.
ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital of 10%, below the 16% median for the 114 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: no cash-flow data.
RiskReports earnings Nov 16 (consensus EPS $1.02): results can move the price sharply and reset Market Value.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Trip.com Group in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Business Services
All fundamentals
P/E 5.5 · FCF yield 7.4% · ROE 21%
Valuation
- P/E
- 5.5×Consumer Discretionary median 20.9×
- Price / FCF
- 13.5×
- FCF yield
- 7.4%
- EV / EBITDA
- 8.7×
- Price / sales
- 2.94×
- Price / book
- 1.08×
- Market cap
- $27.6Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- $21.5B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $9.4B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +17.1%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +46.0%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- EPS growth, last FY
- +49.2%
- Net income, 12 months
- $5.0B
- Net income growth
- +95%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 80.6%
- Operating margin
- 25.3%
- Net margin
- 53.3%
- FCF margin
- 21.8%
- Return on equity
- 21%
- Return on invested capital
- 10%
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $10.8B
- Total debt
- $4.6B
- Net cash
- $6.2B
- Debt / equity
- 0.18×
- Interest coverage
- 18.6×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $2.0B
- FCF growth, 12 months
- −29%
- Dividend yield
- 0.77%$214M paid
- Payout ratio
- 4%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $662M2.4% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- n/ano quarterly diluted share count
- Stock-based comp
- $342M
Trailing 12 months to Dec 31, 2025; balance sheet at Dec 31, 2025. From Trip.com Group’s SEC filings, reported in CNY and converted to US dollars. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 50 · 5 days −0.5%
The business
Sales +6%
- Gross margin80%
- Operating margin18%
- Return on invested capital5%
- Return on equity15%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+6%
- Net debt / EBITDA−0.9×
Next report
Nov 16
- DateMon Nov 16
- Consensus EPS$1.02
- Year-ago EPS$3.76
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
TCOM is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.