QualityDipStocks / Industrials · Precious Metals
Triple Flag Precious Metals TFPM
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 30% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: there isn’t enough data.
Worth knowing
- Down 31% from its 52-week high while revenue grew 45%
- Operating margin 57%, top 2% of the 1288 we measure
From the data on this page, as of the last close. How we pick these
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- —
- Off 52-wk high
- −30%
- Risk vs market
- Highbeta 1.60
5 bullish · 3 bearish See why
Priced in
How much growth the market assumed at the 52-week high, the low and today (a reverse DCF).
52-wk low: P/E 22.8×; now: P/E 25.0×.
| Low | Now | |
|---|---|---|
| Price | $26.85Jun 10 | $28.87 |
| Implied growth | n/a | n/a |
| P/E | 22.8× | 25.0× |
What this means: a lower P/E than at the high means you pay less for each dollar of profit than buyers did then.
How it’s computed
Reverse DCF: the same 10-year free-cash-flow model as our fair value estimate (9.5% discount rate, growth for years 1–5 fading to 3% by year 10, 3% after), solved for the growth that makes it equal the market value at each price. For the high and the low we use only the filings that were public on that day, so nothing from a later report leaks back. Market value = that close × diluted shares. P/E = market value / 12-month net income; Price / FCF = market value / 12-month free cash flow; EV / Sales = (market value + debt − cash) / 12-month revenue. Hidden when the share count moved over 20% (split, merger), free cash flow is negative, or the company reports in another currency.
Valuation
What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.
Fair value estimate
No estimate for TFPM: Capital spending isn't tagged in SEC XBRL data. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much TFPM moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Swings much more than the market, and its own price swings are 3.4× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 1.60
- Volatility
- 44% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.47
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.43
How it ranks
Where TFPM stands vs every one of the 1,996 stocks we cover that has the number. Longer bar = better.
Top quarter on 2 of 3 measures
- Dividends + buybacks yield0.9% · cash paid out or used to retire shares, vs market capLowest 29%of 1,836
- Revenue growth, last 12 months+45% · vs the 12 months beforeTop 9%of 1,814
- Operating margin57% · of sales kept as operating profitTop 2%of 1,288
From SEC filings and our fair value estimate model. A ranking, not advice.
Valuation details
Fundamentals
The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
ProfitabilityGross margin widened to 67.6% in FY2025 from 50.0% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
ProfitabilityOperating margin widened to 56.8% in FY2025 from 20.1% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
GrowthSales grew 45% to $389M over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).
GrowthSales compounded 37% a year from FY2022 to FY2025.
Balance sheetOperating income covers interest 64× over.
Top bearish points 3 of 5
Cash returnsDividend yield of 0.8%, below the 1.1% median for the 188 Industrials companies we cover.
RiskCyclical business: one strong year of cash flow can make it look cheaper than it is.
RiskReports earnings Nov 3 (consensus EPS $0.23): results can move the price sharply and reset Market Value.
All fundamentals
P/E 25.0 · ROE 13% · Sales +45%
Valuation
- P/E
- 25.0×Industrials median 26.5×
- Price / FCF
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- FCF yield
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 15.44×
- Price / book
- 2.93×
- Market cap
- $6.0Blisted
- Enterprise value
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $389M
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +44.5%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +36.8%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $1.18
- EPS growth, last FY
- n/afewer than two years of diluted EPS
- Net income, 12 months
- $240M
- Net income growth
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 67.6%
- Operating margin
- 56.8%
- Net margin
- 61.7%
- FCF margin
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Return on equity
- 13%
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $71M
- Total debt
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net cash
- n/acash or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- 63.8×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Dividend yield
- 0.76%$46M paid
- Payout ratio
- 19%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $9M0.2% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- n/ano quarterly diluted share count
- Stock-based comp
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Trailing 12 months to Dec 31, 2025; balance sheet at Dec 31, 2025. From Triple Flag Precious Metals’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
The business
FCF $-0.4B · Sales +37%
- Free cash flow, 12 months−$0.4B
- Free-cash-flow yield−6.7%
- Free-cash-flow margin−81%
- Gross margin86%
- Operating margin65%
- Return on invested capital10%
- Return on equity20%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+37%
- Net debt / EBITDA0.5×
Chart & levels
Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $28.87
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$26.85−7.0%
- PriceMon Nov 2 close$28.87you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$41.36+43.3%
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 40 · 5 days −0.6%
Signals
Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Next report
Nov 3
- DateTue Nov 3, after the close
- Consensus EPS$0.23
- Year-ago EPS$0.24
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
TFPM is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.
Voices & buzz
Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Triple Flag Precious Metals in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 1:01 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Industrials
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.