QualityDipStocks / Utilities · Electric utilities
TXNM Energy TXNM
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 2% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: its free cash flow is negative.
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- forming
- Off 52-wk high
- −2%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta 0.04
5 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $58.38
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$56.40−3.4%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$58.38you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$59.48+1.9%
Fair value estimate
No estimate for TXNM: negative free cash flow. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much TXNM moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Has moved mostly independently of the market, with price swings about 0.4× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.04
- Volatility
- 5% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.10
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.04
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
ProfitabilityOperating margin widened to 20.4% in FY2025 from 11.9% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
Cash returnsDividend yield of 2.8% ($181M paid over 12 months, 79% of earnings).
GrowthSales grew 10% to $2.3B over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).
ValuationEV/EBITDA of 11.7×, below the 13.5× median for the 43 Utilities companies we cover.
RiskCalmer than the market: beta 0.04 vs the S&P 500 and 5% yearly volatility (SPY 13%).
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ValuationFree cash flow is negative (−$570M over the last 12 months), so there’s no cash-flow value under the price.
Balance sheetNet debt of $6.0B, 92% of the market cap (Sep 30, 2026).
GrowthDiluted EPS fell 45% to $1.48 in FY2025.
Balance sheetOperating income covers interest only 2.0× over the last 12 months.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%; net debt 6.0× EBITDA (limit 3×).
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on TXNM Energy in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Electric utilities
All fundamentals
P/E 28.4 · FCF yield -9.3% · ROE 6%
Valuation
- P/E
- 28.4×Utilities median 21.2×
- Price / FCF
- n/anegative free cash flow
- FCF yield
- −9.3%
- EV / EBITDA
- 11.7×
- Price / sales
- 2.80×
- Price / book
- 1.79×
- Market cap
- $6.5Blisted
- Enterprise value
- $12.5B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $2.3B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +10.0%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- −1.3%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $2.00
- EPS growth, last FY
- −44.6%
- Net income, 12 months
- $229M
- Net income growth
- +29%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- n/agross profit isn't reported (common for service and financial companies)
- Operating margin
- 24.4%
- Net margin
- 9.9%
- FCF margin
- −26.0%
- Return on equity
- 6%
- Return on invested capital
- 5%
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $29M
- Total debt
- $6.0B
- Net cash
- −$6.0B
- Debt / equity
- 1.65×
- Interest coverage
- 2.0×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- −$603M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Dividend yield
- 2.79%$181M paid
- Payout ratio
- 79%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $10M0.2% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- +1.2%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $8M
Trailing 12 months to Sep 30, 2026; balance sheet at Sep 30, 2026. From TXNM Energy’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 48 · 5 days +0.2%
The business
FCF $-0.6B · Sales +13%
- Free cash flow, 12 months−$0.6B
- Free-cash-flow yield−9.4%
- Free-cash-flow margin−26%
- Gross margin61%
- Operating margin37%
- Return on invested capital7%
- Return on equity7%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+13%
- Net debt / EBITDA6.0×
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
TXNM is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.