QualityDipStocks / Utilities · Electric utilities
The AES AES
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 14% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: its free cash flow is negative.
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- $14.86at the price
- Off 52-wk high
- −14%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta 0.32
4 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $14.83
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$13.44−9.4%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$14.83you are here
- Market Valueavg paid since Aug 5$14.86+0.2%
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$17.28+16.5%
Fair value estimate
No estimate for AES: negative free cash flow. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much AES moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Moves much less than the market, but its own price swings are 2.0× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.32
- Volatility
- 26% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.16
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.14
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 4 of 5
ValuationP/E of 5.7× vs a 21.2× median for the 55 Utilities companies we cover.
ProfitabilityReturn on equity of 45% over the last 12 months, up 12 points in two years.
Cash returnsDividend yield of 4.7% ($502M paid over 12 months, 27% of earnings).
GrowthSales grew 8% to $13.1B over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ValuationFree cash flow is negative (−$1.7B over the last 12 months), so there’s no cash-flow value under the price.
GrowthDiluted EPS fell 47% to $1.26 in FY2025.
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of −16%, below the −3.1% median for the 49 Utilities companies we cover.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%; net debt 7.6× EBITDA (limit 3×).
RiskReports earnings Nov 3: results can move the price sharply and reset Market Value.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on The AES in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Electric utilities
All fundamentals
P/E 5.7 · FCF yield -16.1% · ROE 45%
Valuation
- P/E
- 5.7×Utilities median 21.2×
- Price / FCF
- n/anegative free cash flow
- FCF yield
- −16.1%
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 0.82×
- Price / book
- 2.17×
- Market cap
- $10.7Blisted
- Enterprise value
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $13.1B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +8.5%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- −1.0%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $2.62
- EPS growth, last FY
- −46.6%
- Net income, 12 months
- $1.9B
- Net income growth
- +105%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 20.3%
- Operating margin
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net margin
- 14.3%
- FCF margin
- −13.2%
- Return on equity
- 45%
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $1.9B
- Total debt
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net cash
- n/acash or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- −$1.7B
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Dividend yield
- 4.69%$502M paid
- Payout ratio
- 27%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Share count, 1 year
- +0.4%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026; balance sheet at Jun 30, 2026. From The AES’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
MV $14.86
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 38 · 5 days −1.1%
The business
FCF $-3.1B · Sales +20%
- Free cash flow, 12 months−$3.1B
- Free-cash-flow yield−28.9%
- Free-cash-flow margin−24%
- Gross margin20%
- Operating margin19%
- Return on invested capital5%
- Return on equity10%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+20%
- Net debt / EBITDA7.6×
Next report
Nov 3
- DateTue Nov 3
- Year-ago EPS$0.75
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
AES is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.