QualityDipStocks / Real Estate · REITs
UDR UDR
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 14% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen, trading near our fair value estimate.
- Fair value est.
- $32.29−9%
- Market Value
- $35.48at the price
- Off 52-wk high
- −14%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta 0.13
5 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $35.52
- Fair value est.base case$32.29−9.1%
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$33.27−6.3%
- Market Valueavg paid since Oct 21$35.48−0.1%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$35.52you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$41.24+16.1%
Fair value estimate
How the range is computed
Ten-year free-cash-flow DCF. Same 10-year free-cash-flow model as the base: discount rate 9.5% ±1 point and growth 4.1% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 2.1%; bull = 8.5% and 6.1% (both fade to 3%). A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.
Price sits inside the range.
What the price implies To be worth today’s price, UDR’s free cash flow would need to grow about 6% a year for five years; our estimate uses 4%.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much UDR moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Has moved mostly independently of the market, but its own price swings are 1.6× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.13
- Volatility
- 20% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.08
- Correlation QQQ
- −0.09
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
GrowthDiluted EPS grew 335% to $1.13 in FY2025.
Cash returnsDividend yield of 4.8% ($568M paid over 12 months).
ProfitabilityOperating margin of 39% over the last 12 months.
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of 5.4% (price / FCF 18.6×): $632M of free cash in the last 12 months.
Cash returnsShare count down 2.5% in a year.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ProfitabilityOperating margin narrowed to 32.3% in FY2025 from 39.0% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
Balance sheetNet debt of $5.7B, 48% of the market cap (Mar 31, 2026).
Cash returnsPays out more in dividends than it earns: $568M paid vs $486M of net income.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: sales down vs the year-ago quarter; net debt 5.8× EBITDA (limit 3×).
RiskReports earnings Nov 2 (consensus EPS $0.64): results can move the price sharply and reset Market Value.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on UDR in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in REITs
All fundamentals
P/E 24.1 · FCF yield 5.4% · ROE 15%
Valuation
- P/E
- 24.1×Real Estate median 28.7×
- Price / FCF
- 18.6×
- FCF yield
- 5.4%
- EV / EBITDA
- 13.0×
- Price / sales
- 6.84×
- Price / book
- 3.57×
- Market cap
- $11.7Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- $17.4B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $1.7B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +2.1%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +4.1%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $1.47
- EPS growth, last FY
- +334.6%
- Net income, 12 months
- $486M
- Net income growth
- +311%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- n/agross profit isn't reported (common for service and financial companies)
- Operating margin
- 38.5%
- Net margin
- 28.3%
- FCF margin
- 36.8%
- Return on equity
- 15%
- Return on invested capital
- 7%
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $1M
- Total debt
- $5.7B
- Net cash
- −$5.7B
- Debt / equity
- 1.72×
- Interest coverage
- 3.3×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $632M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- +3%
- Dividend yield
- 4.84%$568M paid
- Payout ratio
- 117%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Share count, 1 year
- −2.5%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $29M
Trailing 12 months to Mar 31, 2026; balance sheet at Mar 31, 2026. From UDR’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
DCF $32.29 · MV $35.48 · FCF value $60.76
Assumes 4.1% growth for 5 years (revenue grew 4.1% a year FY22–FY25), fading to 3%; 9.5% discount rate, 3% terminal growth. FCF base $1.91 a share (trailing 12 months to Mar 31, 2026), from the 10-Q filed Apr 30, 2026. Net debt $5.7B, not deducted.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 57 · 5 days −0.9%
The business
FCF $0.8B · Sales 0%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$0.8B
- Free-cash-flow yield6.8%
- Free-cash-flow margin44%
- Gross margin67%
- Operating margin20%
- Return on invested capital3%
- Return on equity14%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)0%
- Net debt / EBITDA5.8×
Next report
Nov 2
- DateMon Nov 2, after the close
- Consensus EPS$0.64
- Year-ago EPS$0.65
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
UDR is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.