QualityDipStocks / Technology · IT services
Verisk Analytics VRSK
Not in a dip by our rules: 13% below its 52-week high.
A quality company trading above our fair value estimate, 6% over its Market Value.
- Fair value est.
- $166.94−15%
- Market Value
- $184.36price +6%
- Off 52-wk high
- −13%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta −0.51
5 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $196.30
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$156.84−20.1%
- Fair value est.base case$166.94−15.0%
- Market Valueavg paid since Jul 29$184.36−6.1%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$196.30you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$225.07+14.7%
Fair value estimate
How the range is computed
Ten-year free-cash-flow DCF. Same 10-year free-cash-flow model as the base: discount rate 9.5% ±1 point and growth 7.2% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 5.2%; bull = 8.5% and 9.2% (both fade to 3%). A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.
Price sits inside the range.
What the price implies To be worth today’s price, VRSK’s free cash flow would need to grow about 10% a year for five years; our estimate uses 7%.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much VRSK moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Has moved mostly independently of the market, but its own price swings are 2.8× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- -0.51
- Volatility
- 35% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- −0.18
- Correlation QQQ
- −0.28
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
ValuationP/E of 30.0× is 32% below its own average of 44.3× at the last 3 fiscal year-ends.
Cash returnsShare count down 6.8% in a year: $1.9B of buybacks over 12 months.
ProfitabilityOperating margin of 44% over the last 12 months.
ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital of 42%, above the 9.5% discount rate our DCF uses.
QualityPasses all four of our quality checks: cash generation, returns on capital, growth and balance sheet.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ValuationOur DCF fair value estimate is $166.94, 15% below the price.
Balance sheetDebt rose 65% to $4.8B from FY2023 to FY2025.
GrowthSales grew 5.0% over the last 12 months, below the 18% median for the 163 Technology companies we cover.
GrowthDiluted EPS fell 3.4% in the last fiscal year, below the 18% median for the 118 Technology companies we cover.
ValuationTrades 6.5% above its Market Value of $184.36, the average price paid since the Jul 29 filing.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Verisk Analytics in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in IT services
All fundamentals
P/E 30.0 · FCF yield 4.7% · Sales +5%
Valuation
- P/E
- 30.0×3-yr-end avg 44.3× · Technology median 33.9×
- Price / FCF
- 21.5×
- FCF yield
- 4.7%
- EV / EBITDA
- 18.4×
- Price / sales
- 8.46×
- Price / book
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Market cap
- $26.5Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- $30.2B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $3.1B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +5.0%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +7.2%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $6.51
- EPS growth, last FY
- −3.4%
- Net income, 12 months
- $886M
- Net income growth
- −3%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 70.2%
- Operating margin
- 43.9%
- Net margin
- 28.2%
- FCF margin
- 39.4%
- Return on equity
- n/anegative shareholder equity
- Return on invested capital
- 42%
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $551M
- Total debt
- $4.2B
- Net cash
- −$3.7B
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- 7.0×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $1.2B
- FCF growth, 12 months
- +21%
- Dividend yield
- 0.96%$256M paid
- Payout ratio
- 29%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $1.9B7.1% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- −6.8%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $58M
Trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026; balance sheet at Jun 30, 2026. From Verisk Analytics’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
DCF $166.94 · MV $184.36 · FCF value $245.37
Assumes 7.2% growth for 5 years (revenue grew 7.2% a year FY22–FY25), fading to 3%; 9.5% discount rate, 3% terminal growth. FCF base $8.34 a share (trailing 12 months to Mar 31, 2026), from the 10-Q filed Apr 29, 2026.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only arm once a company is in a dip.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 62 · 5 days +0.2%
The business
FCF $1.2B · Sales +4%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$1.2B
- Free-cash-flow yield5.0%
- Free-cash-flow margin39%
- Gross margin70%
- Operating margin44%
- Return on invested capital33%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+4%
- Net debt / EBITDA2.4×
Next report
Nov 5
- DateThu Nov 5, before the open
- Consensus EPS$1.92
- Year-ago EPS$1.72
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
Get a text when VRSK fires a reversal signal
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