QualityDipStocks / Technology · Software
Clear Secure YOU
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 23% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen, trading well below our fair value estimate, 9% over its Market Value.
Worth knowing
- Down 31% from its 52-week high while revenue grew 20%
From the data on this page, as of the last close. How we pick these
- Fair value est.
- $115.94+142%
- Market Value
- $43.85price +9%
- Off 52-wk high
- −23%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta 0.62
5 bullish · 4 bearish See why
Repriced or dip?
Dip: business intact
The price is 23% below its 52-week high (May 26), but the business held up: revenue +6.2%, revenue growth rate +2.4 pts, free cash flow +16.2%.
Some numbers held up (revenue +6.2%, revenue growth rate +2.4 pts, free cash flow +16.2%), others slipped. The price is 23% below its 52-week high.
The price is 23% below its 52-week high, and the business changed too.
Within 10% of its 52-week high, so there is no dip to judge yet.
The evidence 6 numbers, high vs now
- Revenue, last 12 months$942M → $1.0B (+6.2%)held up
- Revenue growth rate+17.4% → +19.8% a year (+2.4 pts)held up
- Free cash flow, 12 months$437M → $508M (+16.2%)held up
- Operating margin22.4% → 25.1% (+2.7 pts)held up
- Stock vs its sector (Technology)stock −23%, sector median +1% since May 26changed
- Price fall vs business numbersprice −23%, revenue/EPS/FCF median +11% (shown, not scored)
Business numbers as reported at the high (12 months to Mar 31, 2026) vs the latest filing (12 months to Jun 30, 2026). Each measure is scored from −1 (business changed) to +1 (business intact) and weighted: revenue, earnings per share, free cash flow, operating margin, revenue growth rate, share count, net cash and the move vs its sector. 60 or more reads as a dip, 40 or less as a repricing. Analyst estimates are not in our data, so they are not used. How to read it
Data-based read, not advice.
Valuation
What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.
Fair value estimate
How the range is computed
Ten-year free-cash-flow DCF. Same 10-year free-cash-flow model as the base: discount rate 9.5% ±1 point and growth 15.0% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 13.0%; bull = 8.5% and 17.0% (both fade to 3%). A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.
Price is below even the bear case.
Cyclical / peak cash flow — treat with care
What the price implies To be worth today’s price, YOU’s free cash flow would need to shrink about 1% a year for five years; our estimate uses 15%.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much YOU moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Moves much less than the market, but its own price swings are 4.8× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.62
- Volatility
- 61% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.13
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.09
How it ranks
Where YOU stands vs every one of the 1,996 stocks we cover that has the number. Longer bar = better.
Top quarter on 3 of 5 measures
- Discount to fair value estimate142% · price below our base caseTop 3%of 1,314
- Free cash flow yield7.8% · free cash flow vs market capTop 19%of 1,391
- Dividends + buybacks yield0.8% · cash paid out or used to retire shares, vs market capLowest 29%of 1,836
- Revenue growth, last 12 months+20% · vs the 12 months beforeTop 26%of 1,814
- Operating margin25% · of sales kept as operating profitTop 18%of 1,288
From SEC filings and our fair value estimate model. A ranking, not advice.
Valuation details
DCF $115.94 · MV $43.85 · FCF value $77.46
Cyclical / peak cash flow — treat with care
Assumes 15.0% growth for 5 years (revenue grew 27.2% a year FY22–FY25; capped at 15%), fading to 3%; 9.5% discount rate, 3% terminal growth. FCF base $3.76 a share (trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026), from the 10-Q filed Aug 5, 2026.
Fundamentals
The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
ProfitabilityOperating margin widened to 20.7% in FY2025 from 3.3% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
ProfitabilityReturn on equity of 90% over the last 12 months, up 49 points in two years.
ValuationOur DCF fair value estimate is $115.94, 142% above the price (cyclical or peak cash flow, so treat with care).
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of 7.8% (price / FCF 12.8×): $508M of free cash in the last 12 months.
GrowthSales compounded 27% a year from FY2022 to FY2025.
Top bearish points 4 of 5
ValuationP/E of 43.9× vs a 33.0× median for the 220 Technology companies we cover.
ValuationPrice / book of 31.5×, above the 5.9× median for the 261 Technology companies we cover.
Cash returnsDividend yield of 0.8%, below the 1.0% median for the 93 Technology companies we cover.
ValuationTrades 9.3% above its Market Value of $43.85, the average price paid since the Aug 5 filing.
All fundamentals
P/E 43.9 · FCF yield 7.8% · ROE 90%
Valuation
- P/E
- 43.9×Technology median 33.0×
- Price / FCF
- 12.8×
- FCF yield
- 7.8%
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 6.48×
- Price / book
- 31.45×
- Market cap
- $6.5Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $1.0B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +19.8%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +27.2%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- EPS growth, last FY
- n/afewer than two years of diluted EPS
- Net income, 12 months
- $148M
- Net income growth
- −16%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- n/agross profit isn't reported (common for service and financial companies)
- Operating margin
- 25.1%
- Net margin
- 14.8%
- FCF margin
- 50.8%
- Return on equity
- 90%
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $959M
- Total debt
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net cash
- n/acash or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $508M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- +67%
- Dividend yield
- 0.84%$55M paid
- Payout ratio
- 37%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Share count, 1 year
- n/ano quarterly diluted share count
- Stock-based comp
- $43M
Trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026; balance sheet at Jun 30, 2026. From Clear Secure’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
The business
FCF $0.4B · Sales +27%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$0.4B
- Free-cash-flow yield7.8%
- Free-cash-flow margin42%
- Gross margin67%
- Operating margin30%
- Return on equity119%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+27%
- Net debt / EBITDA−3.1×
Chart & levels
Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $47.95
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$30.47−36.5%
- Market Valueavg paid since Aug 5$43.85−8.6%
- PriceMon Nov 2 close$47.95you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$62.36+30.1%
- Fair value est.base case$115.94+141.8%
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 69 · 5 days +4.1%
Signals
Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Next report
Nov 4
- DateWed Nov 4, before the open
- Consensus EPS$0.49
- Year-ago EPS$0.29
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
YOU is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.
Voices & buzz
Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Clear Secure in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 1:01 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Software
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.