QualityDipStocks / Consumer Discretionary · Marine Transportation
ZIM Integrated Shipping Services ZIM
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 8% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: the model’s result is too extreme to stand behind.
Worth knowing
- Net cash = 30% of its market cap
From the data on this page, as of the last close. How we pick these
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- —
- Off 52-wk high
- −8%
- Risk vs market
- Market-likebeta 0.94
5 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Repriced or dip?
Near its high
The price is 8% below its 52-week high (Oct 12), but the business held up: net cash (cash minus debt) 0.0% of market cap since the high, shares outstanding unchanged, operating margin 0.0 pts.
Some numbers held up (net cash (cash minus debt) 0.0% of market cap since the high, shares outstanding unchanged, operating margin 0.0 pts), others slipped. The price is 8% below its 52-week high.
The price is 8% below its 52-week high, and the business changed too.
Within 10% of its 52-week high, so there is no dip to judge yet.
Data-based read, not advice.
Priced in
How much growth the market assumed at the 52-week high, the low and today (a reverse DCF).
52-wk high: P/E 7.8×; now: P/E 7.1×.
| High | Now | |
|---|---|---|
| Price | $30.90Oct 12 | $28.35 |
| Implied growth | below −30% | below −30% |
| P/E | 7.8× | 7.1× |
| P/FCF | 1.8× | 1.6× |
| EV/Sales | 0.4× | 0.3× |
What this means: a lower P/E than at the high means you pay less for each dollar of profit than buyers did then.
How it’s computed
Reverse DCF: the same 10-year free-cash-flow model as our fair value estimate (9.5% discount rate, growth for years 1–5 fading to 3% by year 10, 3% after), solved for the growth that makes it equal the market value at each price. For the high and the low we use only the filings that were public on that day, so nothing from a later report leaks back. Market value = that close × diluted shares. P/E = market value / 12-month net income; Price / FCF = market value / 12-month free cash flow; EV / Sales = (market value + debt − cash) / 12-month revenue. Hidden when the share count moved over 20% (split, merger), free cash flow is negative, or the company reports in another currency.
Valuation
What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.
Fair value estimate
Estimate unreliable for ZIM: the model gives 866% above the price, more than we can stand behind (usually peak-cycle cash flow, heavy debt, or cash flows that include customer or loan balances). We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much ZIM moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Moves about in line with the market, and its own price swings are 3.9× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.94
- Volatility
- 50% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.24
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.23
How it ranks
Where ZIM stands vs every one of the 1,996 stocks we cover that has the number. Longer bar = better.
Top quarter on 2 of 4 measures
- Dividends + buybacks yield15% · cash paid out or used to retire shares, vs market capTop 2%of 1,836
- Revenue growth, last 12 months−18% · vs the 12 months beforeLowest 2%of 1,814
- Operating margin15% · of sales kept as operating profitTop 41%of 1,288
- Return on invested capital25% · profit per dollar of capitalTop 16%of 838
From SEC filings and our fair value estimate model. A ranking, not advice.
Valuation details
FCF value $206.37
Fundamentals
The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of 60.9% (price / FCF 1.6×): $2.1B of free cash in the last 12 months.
ProfitabilityGross margin widened to 19.1% in FY2025 from −42.8% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
ProfitabilityOperating margin widened to 14.7% in FY2025 from −48.6% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
ValuationP/E of 7.1× vs a 20.7× median for the 341 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
Balance sheetNet cash of $1.0B: cash and short-term investments exceed debt (Dec 31, 2025).
Top bearish points 5 of 5
GrowthDiluted EPS fell 78% to $3.98 in FY2025.
GrowthSales shrank 18% a year from FY2022 to FY2025.
Balance sheetOperating income covers interest only 2.1× over the last 12 months.
GrowthSales fell 18% over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%; net debt 7.9× EBITDA (limit 3×).
All fundamentals
P/E 7.1 · FCF yield 60.9% · ROE 12%
Valuation
- P/E
- 7.1×Consumer Discretionary median 20.7×
- Price / FCF
- 1.6×
- FCF yield
- 60.9%
- EV / EBITDA
- 1.0×
- Price / sales
- 0.49×
- Price / book
- 0.85×
- Market cap
- $3.4Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- $2.4B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $6.9B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- −18.1%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- −18.1%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $3.98
- EPS growth, last FY
- −77.7%
- Net income, 12 months
- $479M
- Net income growth
- −78%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 19.1%
- Operating margin
- 14.7%
- Net margin
- 6.9%
- FCF margin
- 30.2%
- Return on equity
- 12%
- Return on invested capital
- 25%
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $1.1B
- Total debt
- $43M
- Net cash
- $1.0B
- Debt / equity
- 0.01×
- Interest coverage
- 2.1×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $2.1B
- FCF growth, 12 months
- −41%
- Dividend yield
- 15.09%$516M paid
- Payout ratio
- 108%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Share count, 1 year
- n/ano quarterly diluted share count
- Stock-based comp
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Trailing 12 months to Dec 31, 2025; balance sheet at Dec 31, 2025. From ZIM Integrated Shipping Services’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
The business
FCF $1.0B · Sales +9%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$1.0B
- Free-cash-flow yield60.9%
- Free-cash-flow margin15%
- Gross margin31%
- Operating margin8%
- Return on invested capital6%
- Return on equity4%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+9%
- Net debt / EBITDA7.9×
Chart & levels
Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $28.35
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$14.35−49.4%
- PriceMon Nov 2 close$28.35you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$30.90+9.0%
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 40 · 5 days −4.0%
Signals
Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Next report
Nov 18
- DateWed Nov 18, before the open
- Consensus EPS$4.77
- Year-ago EPS$1.02
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
ZIM is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.
Voices & buzz
Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on ZIM Integrated Shipping Services in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 1:01 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Marine Transportation
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.