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AD

Array Digital Infrastructure AD

Telecommunications · Telecommunications Equipment
$33.65+2.40% dayMon Nov 2 close

Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 44% below its 52-week high.

Outside our quality screen, 4% under its Market Value. No fair value estimate for now: its free cash flow is negative.

Worth knowing

  • Lowest close since Feb 2024

From the data on this page, as of the last close. How we pick these

Outside our quality screenReports Nov 6
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Fair value est.
n/a
Market Value
$35.16price −4%
Off 52-wk high
−44%
Risk vs market
Lowbeta 0.16

5 bullish · 5 bearish See why

Covered for reference — doesn’t pass our quality screen (market cap $2.9B, under our $20B floor; no positive free cash flow; net debt 14.7× EBITDA (limit 3×)). We show its price, Market Value and DCF, but it never appears in Dips, Top Picks or reversal signals. The screen

Repriced or dip?

Mixed signals

54/100

Some numbers held up (earnings per share +3225.1%, net cash (cash minus debt) +3.1% of market cap since the high, shares outstanding fewer shares, each owns more), others slipped (revenue −94.4%). The price is 44% below its 52-week high.

The evidence 7 numbers, high vs now
  • Revenue, last 12 months$3.8B → $214M (−94.4%)changed
  • Earnings per share, 12 months$0.19 → $6.21 (+3225.1%)held up
  • Shares outstanding−0.8% (fewer shares, each owns more)held up
  • Net cash (cash minus debt)+3.1% of market cap since the highheld up
  • Stock vs its sector (Telecommunications)stock −44%, sector median −9% since Jan 22changed
  • Price fall vs business numbersprice −44%, revenue/EPS/FCF median +1565% (shown, not scored)
  • Valuation multipleP/E 322.6× at the high → 5.4× now (shown, not scored)

Business numbers as reported at the high (12 months to Sep 30, 2025) vs the latest filing (12 months to Jun 30, 2026). Each measure is scored from −1 (business changed) to +1 (business intact) and weighted: revenue, earnings per share, free cash flow, operating margin, revenue growth rate, share count, net cash and the move vs its sector. 60 or more reads as a dip, 40 or less as a repricing. Analyst estimates are not in our data, so they are not used. How to read it

Data-based read, not advice.

Priced in

How much growth the market assumed at the 52-week high, the low and today (a reverse DCF).

52-wk high: P/E 322.6×; 52-wk low: P/E 5.1×; now: P/E 5.4×.

  • 52-wk high$60.28322.6×
  • 52-wk low$31.805.1×
  • Now$33.655.4×
HighLowNow
Price$60.28Jan 22$31.80Oct 28$33.65
Implied growthn/an/an/a
P/E322.6×5.1×5.4×
EV/Sales1.5×14.1×14.8×

What this means: a lower P/E than at the high means you pay less for each dollar of profit than buyers did then.

How it’s computed

Reverse DCF: the same 10-year free-cash-flow model as our fair value estimate (9.5% discount rate, growth for years 1–5 fading to 3% by year 10, 3% after), solved for the growth that makes it equal the market value at each price. For the high and the low we use only the filings that were public on that day, so nothing from a later report leaks back. Market value = that close × diluted shares. P/E = market value / 12-month net income; Price / FCF = market value / 12-month free cash flow; EV / Sales = (market value + debt − cash) / 12-month revenue. Hidden when the share count moved over 20% (split, merger), free cash flow is negative, or the company reports in another currency.

Valuation

What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.

Fair value estimate

No estimate for AD: negative free cash flow. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.

Risk vs market

How risk vs market is measured

One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much AD moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.

Low

Has moved mostly independently of the market, but its own price swings are 3.3× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).

Beta vs S&P 500
0.16
Volatility
43% vs 13% SPY
Correlation SPY
0.05
Correlation QQQ
−0.01

How it ranks

Where AD stands vs every one of the 1,996 stocks we cover that has the number. Longer bar = better.

Top quarter on 1 of 3 measures

  1. Free cash flow yield−12% · free cash flow vs market cap
    Lowest 2%of 1,391
  2. Dividends + buybacks yield5.2% · cash paid out or used to retire shares, vs market cap
    Top 25%of 1,836
  3. Return on invested capital28% · profit per dollar of capital
    Top 12%of 838

From SEC filings and our fair value estimate model. A ranking, not advice.

Valuation details

MV $35.16

How

Market ValueAverage paid since the Aug 7 filing, 61 trading days
$35.16price −4%
Fair value estimaten/a — negative free cash flow
n/a
FCF valueTrailing free cash flow is negative
n/a

Fundamentals

The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.

Bull vs bear

Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.

Top bullish points 5 of 5

  1. ProfitabilityGross margin widened to 51.2% in FY2025 from 32.4% in FY2023 (SEC filings).

  2. ProfitabilityOperating margin widened to −56.8% in FY2025 from −111.7% in FY2023 (SEC filings).

  3. ValuationP/E of 5.4× vs a 14.4× median for the 26 Telecommunications companies we cover.

  4. Balance sheetPaid down debt: $674M at FY2025, 78% less than at FY2023.

  5. ValuationTrades 4.3% below its Market Value of $35.16, the average price paid since the Aug 7 filing.

Top bearish points 5 of 5

  1. ValuationFree cash flow is negative (−$338M over the last 12 months), so there’s no cash-flow value under the price.

  2. ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of −12%, below the 11% median for the 31 Telecommunications companies we cover.

  3. ValuationPrice / book of 2.3×, above the 2.0× median for the 29 Telecommunications companies we cover.

  4. QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: no positive free cash flow; net debt 14.7× EBITDA (limit 3×).

  5. RiskReports earnings Nov 6 (consensus EPS $0.07): results can move the price sharply and reset Market Value.

All fundamentals

P/E 5.4 · FCF yield -11.7% · ROE 18%

Valuation

P/E
5.4×Telecommunications median 14.4×
Price / FCF
n/anegative free cash flow
FCF yield
−11.7%
EV / EBITDA
5.7×
Price / sales
n/aneeds total revenue: the SEC revenue tag covers only part of this company's revenue (it is under 1.5x net income)
Price / book
2.29×
Market cap
$2.9Blisted
Enterprise value
$3.2B

Growth

Revenue, 12 months
n/athe SEC revenue tag covers only part of this company's revenue (it is under 1.5x net income)
Sales growth, 12 months
n/aneeds total revenue: the SEC revenue tag covers only part of this company's revenue (it is under 1.5x net income)
Sales growth, 3 yrs
n/aneeds total revenue: the SEC revenue tag covers only part of this company's revenue (it is under 1.5x net income)
Diluted EPS, 12 months
$6.19
EPS growth, last FY
n/afewer than two years of diluted EPS
Net income, 12 months
$536M
Net income growth
n/anot reported in its SEC filings

Profitability

Gross margin
58.4%
Operating margin
n/an/m
Net margin
n/aneeds total revenue: the SEC revenue tag covers only part of this company's revenue (it is under 1.5x net income)
FCF margin
−158.3%
Return on equity
18%
Return on invested capital
28%

Balance sheet

Cash & short-term inv.
$416M
Total debt
$675M
Net cash
−$258M
Debt / equity
0.53×
Interest coverage
13.3×operating income / interest

Cash flow & returns

Free cash flow, 12 months
−$338M
FCF growth, 12 months
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Dividend yield
5.17%$150M paid
Payout ratio
28%
Buybacks, 12 months
$0
Share count, 1 year
−1.5%diluted shares vs a year ago
Stock-based comp
$665,000

Trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026; balance sheet at Jun 30, 2026. From Array Digital Infrastructure’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.

The business

FCF $-0.3B · Sales +90%
  • Free cash flow, 12 months−$0.3B
  • Free-cash-flow yield-11.7%
  • Gross margin58%
  • Operating margin−12%
  • Return on invested capital−1%
  • Return on equity23%
  • Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+90%
  • Net debt / EBITDA14.7×

Chart & levels

Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.

$40$50$60Jan ’26AprJulOctMV $35.16
Market ValueDrag across the chart to see any day

Key levels

Every level vs today’s $33.65

  1. 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$31.80−5.5%
  2. PriceMon Nov 2 close$33.65you are here
  3. Market Valueavg paid since Aug 7$35.16+4.5%
  4. 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$60.28+79.1%

Momentum & 52-week range

RSI 50 · 5 days +0.7%
$33.65nowMV
52-wk low $31.80high $60.28
Off 52-wk high−44.2%
5 days+0.7%
vs 50-day avg−3.9%
vs 200-day avg−20.8%
RSI (14), last close50
Market cap$3B

Signals

Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.

Setup & signals

No setup armed

All setups

No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.

Next report

Nov 6

Calendar

  • DateFri Nov 6, before the open
  • Consensus EPS$0.07
  • Year-ago EPS$0.97
  • QuarterSep/2026

From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.

AD is outside our quality screen

One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.

By joining you agree we can text or email you about QualityDip. Message and data rates may apply. Reply STOP anytime. Not advice.

Voices & buzz

Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.

Who’s talking about it

Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Array Digital Infrastructure in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.

No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 1:01 PM ET.

Compare with peers

Closest in size in Telecommunications Equipment

Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.