QualityDipStocks / Telecommunications · Telecommunications Equipment
PLDT Sponsored ADR PHI
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 27% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen, trading well below our fair value estimate.
- Fair value est.
- $44.59+151%
- Market Value
- —
- Off 52-wk high
- −27%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta 0.08
2 bullish · 3 bearish See why
Valuation
What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.
Fair value estimate
How the range is computed
Ten-year free-cash-flow DCF. Same 10-year free-cash-flow model as the base: discount rate 9.5% ±1 point and growth 3.0% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 1.0%; bull = 8.5% and 5.0% (both fade to 3%). A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.
Price is below even the bear case.
Cyclical / peak cash flow — treat with care
What the price implies To be worth today’s price, PHI’s free cash flow would need to shrink about 13% a year for five years; our estimate uses 3%.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much PHI moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Has moved mostly independently of the market, but its own price swings are 1.9× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.08
- Volatility
- 25% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.04
- Correlation QQQ
- −0.07
Valuation details
DCF $44.59 · FCF value $170.88
Cyclical / peak cash flow — treat with care
Assumes 3.0% growth for 5 years (revenue grew 1.7% a year FY23–FY25; floored at 3%), fading to 3%; 9.5% discount rate, 3% terminal growth. FCF base $2.81 a share (fiscal year to Dec 31, 2025, converted from PHP at 0.01575), from the 20-F filed Apr 27, 2026. Capex: purchases of property, plant and equipment (from the filing).
Fundamentals
The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 2 of 5
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of 38.4%: $1.5B of free cash in the last 12 months on a $4B market cap.
ValuationOur DCF fair value estimate is $44.59, 151% above the price (cyclical or peak cash flow, so treat with care).
Top bearish points 3 of 5
Balance sheetNet debt is 3.9× a year of EBITDA, a heavy load.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: net debt 3.9× EBITDA (limit 3×).
RiskReports earnings Nov 10 (consensus EPS $0.58): results can move the price sharply and reset Market Value.
All fundamentals
from SEC filings
No fundamentals for PLDT Sponsored ADR: Latest SEC XBRL statements end 2024-12-31, too old to use. We show nothing rather than guess.
The business
FCF $1.5B · Sales +2%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$1.5B
- Free-cash-flow yield38.4%
- Free-cash-flow margin1%
- Gross margin72%
- Operating margin26%
- Return on invested capital13%
- Return on equity22%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+2%
- Net debt / EBITDA3.9×
Chart & levels
Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $17.79
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$16.95−4.7%
- PriceMon Nov 2 close$17.79you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$24.49+37.7%
- Fair value est.base case$44.59+150.6%
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 42 · 5 days −3.5%
Signals
Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Next report
Nov 10
- DateTue Nov 10
- Consensus EPS$0.58
- Year-ago EPS$0.67
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
PHI is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.
Voices & buzz
Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on PLDT Sponsored ADR in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 1:01 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Telecommunications Equipment
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.