QualityDipStocks / Technology · Industrial machinery
Advanced Energy Industries AEIS
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 43% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen, 20% under its Market Value. No fair value estimate for now: a capital-spending surge is squeezing its free cash flow.
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- $276.91price −20%
- Off 52-wk high
- −43%
- Risk vs market
- Highbeta 2.76
5 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $222.06
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$188.88−14.9%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$222.06you are here
- Market Valueavg paid since Aug 3$276.91+24.7%
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$389.05+75.2%
Fair value estimate
Estimate unreliable for AEIS: free cash flow is squeezed by a capital-spending surge (capex is 64% of operating cash flow over the last 12 months, vs 32% in FY2022), so a DCF on today's free cash flow would understate the business. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much AEIS moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Swings much more than the market, and its own price swings are 5.1× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 2.76
- Volatility
- 65% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.54
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.65
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
GrowthDiluted EPS grew 169% to $3.84 in FY2025.
GrowthSales grew 25% to $2.0B over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).
ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital of 18%, above the 9.5% discount rate our DCF uses.
ProfitabilityOperating margin widened to 9.3% in FY2025 from 6.9% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
ValuationTrades 19.8% below its Market Value of $276.91, the average price paid since the Aug 3 filing.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
Cash returnsShare count up 11.9% in a year: existing holders are being diluted.
Cash returnsFree cash flow fell 30% over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before.
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield is just 0.9% (price / FCF 111×), so the price leans on future growth.
RiskSwings hard: beta 2.76 vs the S&P 500 and 65% yearly volatility (SPY 13%).
RiskReports earnings Nov 2 (consensus EPS $2.68): results can move the price sharply and reset Market Value.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Advanced Energy Industries in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Industrial machinery
All fundamentals
P/E 43.8 · FCF yield 0.9% · ROE 16%
Valuation
- P/E
- 43.8×Technology median 33.9×
- Price / FCF
- 110.7×
- FCF yield
- 0.9%
- EV / EBITDA
- 28.5×
- Price / sales
- 4.71×
- Price / book
- 6.59×
- Market cap
- $9.6Blisted
- Enterprise value
- $9.5B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $2.0B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +24.6%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- −0.8%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $5.39
- EPS growth, last FY
- +168.5%
- Net income, 12 months
- $219M
- Net income growth
- +161%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 39.3%
- Operating margin
- 13.2%
- Net margin
- 10.8%
- FCF margin
- 4.3%
- Return on equity
- 16%
- Return on invested capital
- 18%
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $1.4B
- Total debt
- $1.3B
- Net cash
- $132M
- Debt / equity
- 0.87×
- Interest coverage
- 17.1×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $87M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- −30%
- Dividend yield
- 0.16%$16M paid
- Payout ratio
- 7%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $7M0.1% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- +11.9%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $69M
Trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026; balance sheet at Jun 30, 2026. From Advanced Energy Industries’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
MV $276.91
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 36 · 5 days +2.5%
The business
FCF $0.0B · Sales +30%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$0.0B
- Free-cash-flow yield0.3%
- Free-cash-flow margin2%
- Gross margin40%
- Operating margin17%
- Return on invested capital19%
- Return on equity16%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+30%
- Net debt / EBITDA−0.1×
Next report
Nov 2
- DateMon Nov 2, after the close
- Consensus EPS$2.68
- Year-ago EPS$1.46
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
AEIS is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.