QualityDipStocks / Finance · Investment Managers
Apollo Global Management APO
On dip watch: 24% below its 52-week high.
A quality company. No fair value estimate for now: our model doesn’t fit it reliably.
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- $114.29price +1%
- Off 52-wk high
- −24%
- Risk vs market
- Above marketbeta 1.13
3 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $115.84
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$100.30−13.4%
- Market Valueavg paid since Oct 5$114.29−1.3%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$115.84you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$152.70+31.8%
Fair value estimate
Estimate unreliable for APO: Apollo consolidates the insurer Athene, so its reported book and earnings mix insurance, consolidated funds and the fee business; neither a book-value model nor a cash-flow DCF reads it reliably. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much APO moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Swings more than the market, and its own price swings are 2.8× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 1.13
- Volatility
- 36% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.40
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.30
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 3 of 5
GrowthSales compounded 43% a year from FY2022 to FY2025.
GrowthSales grew 41% to $35.9B over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).
QualityPasses all four of our quality checks: cash generation, returns on capital, growth and balance sheet.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ValuationP/E of 39.4× is 97% above its own average of 20.0× at the last 3 fiscal year-ends.
ValuationP/E of 39.4× vs a 13.5× median for the 151 Finance companies we cover.
ProfitabilityReturn on equity fell 21 points in two fiscal years, to 15% in FY2025.
GrowthDiluted EPS fell 24% to $5.54 in FY2025.
Cash returnsShare count up 3.4% in a year: existing holders are being diluted.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Apollo Global Management in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Investment Managers
All fundamentals
P/E 39.4 · ROE 9% · Sales +41%
Valuation
- P/E
- 39.4×3-yr-end avg 20.0× · Finance median 13.5×
- Price / FCF
- n/acash flow isn't a clean measure for an insurer
- FCF yield
- n/acash flow isn't a clean measure for an insurer
- EV / EBITDA
- n/anot meaningful for an insurer
- Price / sales
- 1.95×
- Price / book
- 3.33×
- Market cap
- $70.0Blisted
- Enterprise value
- $55.3B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $35.9B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +41.2%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +43.0%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $2.81
- EPS growth, last FY
- −24.4%
- Net income, 12 months
- $1.8B
- Net income growth
- −46%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- n/anot meaningful for an insurer
- Operating margin
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net margin
- 5.0%
- FCF margin
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Return on equity
- 9%
- Return on invested capital
- n/anot meaningful for an insurer
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $28.4B
- Total debt
- $13.7B
- Net cash
- n/anot meaningful for an insurer
- Debt / equity
- n/adeposits/float make debt/equity not comparable for an insurer
- Interest coverage
- n/anot meaningful for an insurer
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Dividend yield
- 1.82%$1.3B paid
- Payout ratio
- 71%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $1.3B1.9% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- +3.4%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $952M
Trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026; balance sheet at Jun 30, 2026. From Apollo Global Management’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
MV $114.29
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. We watch it daily for our three reversal signal rules while it sits in a dip.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 48 · 5 days +2.7%
The business
FCF $9.5B · Sales +64%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$9.5B
- Free-cash-flow yield13.5%
- Return on equity9%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+64%
Next report
Nov 3
- DateTue Nov 3, before the open
- Consensus EPS$2.04
- Year-ago EPS$1.90
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
Get a text when APO fires a reversal signal
One text when a published rule fires on APO or any of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.