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Stocks / Technology · Electrical Products

BELFB

Bel Fuse BELFB

Technology · Electrical Products
$235.04−0.47% dayMon Nov 2 close

Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 29% below its 52-week high.

Outside our quality screen, trading well above our fair value estimate.

Worth knowing

  • Down 30% from its 52-week high while revenue grew 25%

From the data on this page, as of the last close. How we pick these

Outside our quality screen
Get alerts
Fair value est.
$80.48−66%
Market Value
forming
Off 52-wk high
−29%
Risk vs market
Highbeta 2.04

5 bullish · 5 bearish See why

Covered for reference — doesn’t pass our quality screen (market cap $3.4B, under our $20B floor). We show its price, Market Value and DCF, but it never appears in Dips, Top Picks or reversal signals. The screen

Repriced or dip?

Dip: business intact

72/100

The price is 29% below its 52-week high (Jun 30), but the business held up: revenue +6.0%, net cash (cash minus debt) +13.3% of market cap since the high, operating margin +0.3 pts.

The evidence 7 numbers, high vs now
  • Revenue, last 12 months$702M → $744M (+6.0%)held up
  • Revenue growth rate+25.5% → +25.3% a year (−0.3 pts)held up
  • Free cash flow, 12 months$74M → $73M (−1.5%)about the same
  • Operating margin15.6% → 15.9% (+0.3 pts)held up
  • Net cash (cash minus debt)+13.3% of market cap since the highheld up
  • Stock vs its sector (Technology)stock −29%, sector median +1% since Jun 30changed
  • Price fall vs business numbersprice −29%, revenue/EPS/FCF median +2% (shown, not scored)

Business numbers as reported at the high (12 months to Mar 31, 2026) vs the latest filing (12 months to Jun 30, 2026). Each measure is scored from −1 (business changed) to +1 (business intact) and weighted: revenue, earnings per share, free cash flow, operating margin, revenue growth rate, share count, net cash and the move vs its sector. 60 or more reads as a dip, 40 or less as a repricing. Analyst estimates are not in our data, so they are not used. How to read it

Data-based read, not advice.

Valuation

What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.

Fair value estimate

How the range is computed

Ten-year free-cash-flow DCF. Same 10-year free-cash-flow model as the base: discount rate 9.5% ±1 point and growth 3.0% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 1.0%; bull = 8.5% and 5.0% (both fade to 3%). A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.

$80.48−66% vs price
Bear$62.45
Base$80.48
Bull$106.79

Price is above even the bull case.

What the price implies To be worth today’s price, BELFB’s free cash flow would need to grow about 23% a year for five years; our estimate uses 3%.

Risk vs market

How risk vs market is measured

One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much BELFB moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.

High

Swings much more than the market, and its own price swings are 4.3× the S&P 500’s.

Beta vs S&P 500
2.04
Volatility
56% vs 13% SPY
Correlation SPY
0.47
Correlation QQQ
0.57

How it ranks

Where BELFB stands vs every one of the 1,996 stocks we cover that has the number. Longer bar = better.

Top quarter on 1 of 6 measures

  1. Discount to fair value estimate66% · price above our base case
    Lowest 5%of 1,314
  2. Free cash flow yield2.2% · free cash flow vs market cap
    Lowest 29%of 1,391
  3. Dividends + buybacks yield0.1% · cash paid out or used to retire shares, vs market cap
    Lowest 20%of 1,836
  4. Revenue growth, last 12 months+25% · vs the 12 months before
    Top 20%of 1,814
  5. Operating margin16% · of sales kept as operating profit
    Top 38%of 1,288
  6. Return on invested capital16% · profit per dollar of capital
    Top 30%of 838

From SEC filings and our fair value estimate model. A ranking, not advice.

Valuation details

DCF $80.48 · FCF value $103.69

How

Market ValueForming: thesis-changing filing on Oct 28, needs five trading days
forming
Fair value estimateDCF: ten years of free cash flow per share, discounted
$80.4866% downside

Assumes 3.0% growth for 5 years (revenue grew 1.1% a year FY22–FY25; floored at 3%), fading to 3%; 9.5% discount rate, 3% terminal growth. FCF base $5.08 a share (trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026), from the 10-Q filed Aug 4, 2026. Net cash $306M, not added.

FCF valuePrice at a 4% yield on trailing free cash flow ($0.1B)
$103.69price +127%

Fundamentals

The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.

Bull vs bear

Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.

Top bullish points 5 of 5

  1. Balance sheetNet cash of $306M: cash and short-term investments exceed debt (Jun 30, 2026).

  2. GrowthSales grew 25% to $744M over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).

  3. Cash returnsFree cash flow grew 53% over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before.

  4. ProfitabilityGross margin widened to 39.1% in FY2025 from 33.7% in FY2023 (SEC filings).

  5. ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital of 16%, above the 9.5% discount rate our DCF uses.

Top bearish points 5 of 5

  1. ValuationOur DCF fair value estimate is $80.48, 66% below the price.

  2. ProfitabilityReturn on equity fell 7 points in two fiscal years, to 14% in FY2025.

  3. ValuationP/E of 51.9× vs a 33.0× median for the 220 Technology companies we cover.

  4. GrowthSales grew 1.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, below the 11% median for the 282 Technology companies we cover.

  5. RiskSwings hard: beta 2.04 vs the S&P 500 and 56% yearly volatility (SPY 13%).

All fundamentals

P/E 51.9 · FCF yield 2.2% · ROE 10%

Valuation

P/E
51.9×Technology median 33.0×
Price / FCF
46.3×
FCF yield
2.2%
EV / EBITDA
21.3×
Price / sales
4.56×
Price / book
3.73×
Market cap
$3.4Bprice × diluted shares
Enterprise value
$3.1B

Growth

Revenue, 12 months
$744M
Sales growth, 12 months
+25.3%vs the 12 months before
Sales growth, 3 yrs
+1.1%/yrfrom FY2022
Diluted EPS, 12 months
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
EPS growth, last FY
n/afewer than two years of diluted EPS
Net income, 12 months
$65M
Net income growth
+27%12 months vs before

Profitability

Gross margin
39.5%
Operating margin
15.9%
Net margin
8.8%
FCF margin
9.9%
Return on equity
10%
Return on invested capital
16%

Balance sheet

Cash & short-term inv.
$306M
Total debt
$0
Net cash
$306M
Debt / equity
0.00×
Interest coverage
10.8×operating income / interest

Cash flow & returns

Free cash flow, 12 months
$73M
FCF growth, 12 months
+53%
Dividend yield
0.10%$3M paid
Payout ratio
5%
Buybacks, 12 months
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Share count, 1 year
n/ano quarterly diluted share count
Stock-based comp
$9M

Trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026; balance sheet at Jun 30, 2026. From Bel Fuse’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.

The business

FCF $0.1B · Sales +23%
  • Free cash flow, 12 months$0.1B
  • Free-cash-flow yield2.2%
  • Free-cash-flow margin8%
  • Gross margin40%
  • Operating margin19%
  • Return on invested capital24%
  • Return on equity12%
  • Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+23%
  • Net debt / EBITDA−1.9×

Chart & levels

Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.

$200$300Jan ’26AprJulOct
Fair value est.Drag across the chart to see any day

Key levels

Every level vs today’s $235.04

  1. Fair value est.base case$80.48−65.8%
  2. 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$134.36−42.8%
  3. PriceMon Nov 2 close$235.04you are here
  4. 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$333.04+41.7%

Momentum & 52-week range

RSI 53 · 5 days +12.2%
$235.04now
52-wk low $134.36high $333.04
Off 52-wk high−29.4%
5 days+12.2%
vs 50-day avg−1.5%
vs 200-day avg−5.5%
RSI (14), last close53
Market cap$3B

Signals

Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.

Setup & signals

No setup armed

All setups

No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.

BELFB is outside our quality screen

One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.

By joining you agree we can text or email you about QualityDip. Message and data rates may apply. Reply STOP anytime. Not advice.

Voices & buzz

Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.

Who’s talking about it

Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Bel Fuse in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.

No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 1:01 PM ET.

Compare with peers

Closest in size in Electrical Products

Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.