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BNS

Bank Nova Scotia Halifax Pfd 3 BNS

Finance · Major Banks
$93.76−1.73% dayFri Oct 30 close

Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 2% below its 52-week high.

Outside our quality screen, trading well above our fair value estimate.

Outside our quality screen
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Fair value est.
$59.02−37%
Market Value
—
Off 52-wk high
−2%
Risk vs market
Below marketbeta 0.72

2 bullish · 5 bearish See why

$70$80$90Jan ’26AprJulOct
Fair value est.Drag across the chart to see any day
Covered for reference — doesn’t pass our quality screen (ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%). We show its price, Market Value and DCF, but it never appears in Dips, Top Picks or reversal signals. The screen

Key levels

Every level vs today’s $93.76

  1. Fair value est.base case$59.02−37.1%
  2. 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$65.50−30.1%
  3. PriceFri Oct 30 close$93.76you are here
  4. 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$95.41+1.8%

Fair value estimate

How the range is computed

Financials model (residual income). Same residual-income model as the base: cost of equity 9.5% ±1 point and return on equity 10.9% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 8.9%; bull = 8.5% and 12.9%. A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.

$59.02−37% vs price
Bear$44.37
Base$59.02
Bull$79.36

Price is above even the bull case.

What the price implies To be worth today’s price, BNS would need a return on equity of about 17% a year; our estimate uses 11%.

Risk vs market

How risk vs market is measured

One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much BNS moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.

Below market

Moves a bit less than the market, but its own price swings are 1.5× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).

Beta vs S&P 500
0.72
Volatility
20% vs 13% SPY
Correlation SPY
0.47
Correlation QQQ
0.38

Bull vs bear

Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.

Top bullish points 2 of 5

  1. Cash returnsDividend yield of 3.6% ($4.2B paid over 12 months, 75% of earnings).

  2. GrowthSales grew 12% to $27.1B over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).

Top bearish points 5 of 5

  1. ValuationOur residual-income fair value estimate is $59.02, 37% below the price.

  2. GrowthDiluted EPS fell 3.4% in the last fiscal year, below the 17% median for the 137 Finance companies we cover.

  3. ValuationP/E of 20.8×, above the 13.5× median for the 151 Finance companies we cover.

  4. ProfitabilityReturn on equity of 9.2%, below the 13% median for the 143 Finance companies we cover.

  5. QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%.

Who’s talking about it

Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Bank Nova Scotia Halifax Pfd 3 in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.

No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.

Compare with peers

Closest in size in Major Banks

All fundamentals

P/E 20.8 · ROE 9% · Sales +12%

Valuation

P/E
20.8×Finance median 13.5×
Price / FCF
n/acash flow isn't a clean measure for a bank
FCF yield
n/acash flow isn't a clean measure for a bank
EV / EBITDA
n/anot meaningful for a bank
Price / sales
4.28×
Price / book
1.86×
Market cap
$116Bprice × diluted shares
Enterprise value
n/anot reported in its SEC filings

Growth

Revenue, 12 months
$27.1B
Sales growth, 12 months
+12.1%vs the 12 months before
Sales growth, 3 yrs
+6.3%/yrfrom FY2022
Diluted EPS, 12 months
$5.67
EPS growth, last FY
−3.4%
Net income, 12 months
$5.6B
Net income growth
+0%12 months vs before

Profitability

Gross margin
n/anot meaningful for a bank
Operating margin
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Net margin
20.6%
FCF margin
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Return on equity
9%
Return on invested capital
n/anot meaningful for a bank

Balance sheet

Cash & short-term inv.
$7.4B
Total debt
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Net cash
n/anot meaningful for a bank
Debt / equity
n/adeposits/float make debt/equity not comparable for a bank
Interest coverage
n/anot meaningful for a bank

Cash flow & returns

Free cash flow, 12 months
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
FCF growth, 12 months
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Dividend yield
3.63%$4.2B paid
Payout ratio
75%
Buybacks, 12 months
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Share count, 1 year
n/ano quarterly diluted share count
Stock-based comp
n/anot reported in its SEC filings

Trailing 12 months to Oct 31, 2025; balance sheet at Oct 31, 2025. From Bank Nova Scotia Halifax Pfd 3’s SEC filings, reported in CAD and converted to US dollars. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.

Valuation details

DCF $59.02

How

Market ValueNo thesis-changing filing in the window we track
—
Fair value estimateFinancials model (residual income): book value plus excess returns, discounted
$59.0237% downside

Financials model (residual income): book value $51.69 a share on Jul 31, 2026, converted from CAD at 0.7168, plus the earnings above a 9.5% cost of equity. ROE 10.9%, the average of 11.0% for the trailing 12 months to Jul 31, 2026 and 10.8% over fiscal 2021–2025, on average common equity; payout 63% of earnings (dividends 63%), so book grows by the retained rest; the return above 9.5% fades halfway toward 9.5% over 10 years, then grows at 3% (terminal value). From the 6-K filed Aug 25, 2026.

FCF valueNot meaningful for banks and insurers
n/a

Setup & signals

No setup armed

All setups

No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.

Momentum & 52-week range

RSI 56 · 5 days +0.9%
$93.76now
52-wk low $65.50high $95.41
Off 52-wk high−1.7%
5 days+0.9%
vs 50-day avg+1.8%
vs 200-day avg+13.8%
RSI (14)56
Market cap$117B

The business

FCF $6.3B · Sales +10%
  • Free cash flow, 12 months$6.3B
  • Free-cash-flow yield5.4%
  • Return on equity12%
  • Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+10%

Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.

BNS is outside our quality screen

One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.

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