QualityDipStocks / Consumer Discretionary · Rental/Leasing Companies
Avis Budget Group CAR
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 84% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen, 5% over its Market Value. No fair value estimate for now: there isn’t enough data.
Worth knowing
- Deepest drop from a 52-week high in over 3 years
- Share count down 9% in 2 years
From the data on this page, as of the last close. How we pick these
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- $106.08price +5%
- Off 52-wk high
- −84%
- Risk vs market
- Below marketbeta 0.73
0 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Repriced or dip?
Dip: business intact
The price is 84% below its 52-week high (Apr 21), but the business held up: net cash (cash minus debt) +1.7% of market cap since the high, revenue growth rate +1.6 pts, shares outstanding fewer shares, each owns more.
Some numbers held up (net cash (cash minus debt) +1.7% of market cap since the high, revenue growth rate +1.6 pts, shares outstanding fewer shares, each owns more), others slipped. The price is 84% below its 52-week high.
The price is 84% below its 52-week high, and the business changed too.
Within 10% of its 52-week high, so there is no dip to judge yet.
The evidence 6 numbers, high vs now
- Revenue, last 12 months$11.7B → $11.7B (+0.5%)about the same
- Revenue growth rate−1.2% → +0.4% a year (+1.6 pts)held up
- Shares outstanding−0.7% (fewer shares, each owns more)held up
- Net cash (cash minus debt)+1.7% of market cap since the highheld up
- Stock vs its sector (Consumer Discretionary)stock −84%, sector median +4% since Apr 21changed
- Price fall vs business numbersprice −84%, revenue/EPS/FCF median +1% (shown, not scored)
Business numbers as reported at the high (12 months to Dec 31, 2025) vs the latest filing (12 months to Jun 30, 2026). Each measure is scored from −1 (business changed) to +1 (business intact) and weighted: revenue, earnings per share, free cash flow, operating margin, revenue growth rate, share count, net cash and the move vs its sector. 60 or more reads as a dip, 40 or less as a repricing. Analyst estimates are not in our data, so they are not used. How to read it
Data-based read, not advice.
Valuation
What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.
Fair value estimate
No estimate for CAR: Capital spending isn't tagged in SEC XBRL data. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much CAR moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Moves a bit less than the market, but its own price swings are 7.8× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.73
- Volatility
- 100% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.09
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.05
Valuation details
MV $106.08 · FCF value $779.21
Fundamentals
The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 0 of 5
Nothing in our data makes a clear bull case right now.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ProfitabilityLost $636M over the last 12 months (net income, SEC filings).
Balance sheetNet debt of $5.5B, 141% of the market cap (Jun 30, 2026).
Balance sheetDebt rose 26% to $6.1B from FY2023 to FY2025.
GrowthSales grew only −1.0% a year from FY2022 to FY2025.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%; sales down vs the year-ago quarter; net debt 18.6× EBITDA (limit 3×).
All fundamentals
Sales +0%
Valuation
- P/E
- n/aloss over the last 12 months
- Price / FCF
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- FCF yield
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 0.33×
- Price / book
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Market cap
- $3.9Blisted
- Enterprise value
- $9.4B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $11.7B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +0.4%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- −1.0%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- −$18.02
- EPS growth, last FY
- n/afewer than two years of diluted EPS
- Net income, 12 months
- −$636M
- Net income growth
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Profitability
- Gross margin
- n/agross profit isn't reported (common for service and financial companies)
- Operating margin
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net margin
- −5.4%
- FCF margin
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Return on equity
- n/anegative shareholder equity
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $558M
- Total debt
- $6.0B
- Net cash
- −$5.5B
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Dividend yield
- n/ano dividend payments tagged
- Payout ratio
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $11M0.3% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- +0.8%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $14M
Trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026; balance sheet at Jun 30, 2026. From Avis Budget Group’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
The business
FCF $1.1B · Sales −1%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$1.1B
- Free-cash-flow yield27.9%
- Free-cash-flow margin9%
- Gross margin27%
- Operating margin15%
- Return on invested capital6%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)−1%
- Net debt / EBITDA18.6×
Chart & levels
Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $111.52
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$87.69−21.4%
- Market Valueavg paid since Sep 24$106.08−4.9%
- PriceMon Nov 2 close$111.52you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$713.97+540.2%
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 55 · 5 days +9.5%
Signals
Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Next report
Nov 3
- DateTue Nov 3, after the close
- Consensus EPS$8.47
- Year-ago EPS$10.11
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
CAR is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.
Voices & buzz
Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Avis Budget Group in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 1:01 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Consumer Discretionary
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.