QualityDipStocks / Consumer Staples · Beverages
Compania Cervecerias Unidas CCU
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 32% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen, trading near our fair value estimate.
Worth knowing
- Lowest close since Sep 2024
From the data on this page, as of the last close. How we pick these
- Fair value est.
- $10.29−1%
- Market Value
- —
- Off 52-wk high
- −32%
- Risk vs market
- Market-likebeta 0.90
52-week range at its 52-week low
Price $10.35Fair value est. $10.29
4 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Valuation
What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.
Fair value estimate
How the range is computed
Ten-year free-cash-flow DCF. Same 10-year free-cash-flow model as the base: discount rate 9.5% ±1 point and growth 6.5% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 4.5%; bull = 8.5% and 8.5% (both fade to 3%). A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.
Price sits inside the range.
What the price implies To be worth today’s price, CCU’s free cash flow would need to grow about 7% a year for five years; our estimate uses 6%.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much CCU moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Moves about in line with the market, and its own price swings are 2.3× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.90
- Volatility
- 29% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.39
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.32
How it ranks
Where CCU stands vs every one of the 2,467 stocks we cover that has the number. Longer bar = better.
Not in the top quarter on any of these 5 measures
- Discount to fair value estimate1% · price above our base caseTop 47%of 1,507
- Free cash flow yield5.2% · free cash flow vs market capTop 39%of 1,690
- Dividends + buybacks yield4.2% · cash paid out or used to retire shares, vs market capTop 33%of 2,227
- Revenue growth, last 12 months+0.2% · vs the 12 months beforeLowest 15%of 2,184
- Operating margin6.6% · of sales kept as operating profitLowest 35%of 1,549
From SEC filings and our fair value estimate model. A ranking, not advice.
Valuation details
DCF $10.29 · FCF value $9,858
Assumes 6.5% growth for 5 years (revenue grew 6.5% a year FY23–FY25), fading to 3%; 9.5% discount rate, 3% terminal growth. FCF base $0.53 a share (fiscal year to Dec 31, 2025, converted from CLP at 0.00102, 2 shares per ADR), from the 20-F filed Apr 29, 2026. Capex: purchases of property, plant and equipment (from the filing).
Fundamentals
The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 4 of 5
ValuationP/E of 13.7× vs a 21.1× median for the 62 Consumer Staples companies we cover.
Cash returnsDividend yield of 4.2% ($80M paid over 12 months, 57% of earnings).
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of 5.2% (price / FCF 19.4×): $99M of free cash in the last 12 months.
GrowthDiluted EPS grew 137% in the last fiscal year, above the −7.4% median for the 55 Consumer Staples companies we cover.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
Balance sheetOperating income covers interest only 2.4× over the last 12 months.
Cash returnsFree cash flow fell 28% over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before.
ProfitabilityOperating margin narrowed to 6.6% in FY2025 from 9.4% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%.
RiskReports earnings Nov 5 (consensus EPS $0.09): results can move the price sharply and reset Market Value.
All fundamentals
P/E 13.7 · FCF yield 5.2% · ROE 9%
Valuation
- P/E
- 13.7×Consumer Staples median 21.1×
- Price / FCF
- 19.4×
- FCF yield
- 5.2%
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 0.64×
- Price / book
- 1.27×
- Market cap
- $1.9Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $3.0B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +0.2%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +2.4%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- EPS growth, last FY
- +136.8%
- Net income, 12 months
- $140M
- Net income growth
- −22%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 44.4%
- Operating margin
- 6.6%
- Net margin
- 4.7%
- FCF margin
- 3.3%
- Return on equity
- 9%
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $529M
- Total debt
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net cash
- n/acash or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- 2.4×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $99M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- −28%
- Dividend yield
- 4.18%$80M paid
- Payout ratio
- 57%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Share count, 1 year
- n/ano quarterly diluted share count
- Stock-based comp
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Trailing 12 months to Dec 31, 2025; balance sheet at Dec 31, 2025. From Compania Cervecerias Unidas’s SEC filings, reported in CLP and converted to US dollars. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
The business
FCF $72.4B · Sales +5%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$72.4B
- Free-cash-flow yield5.2%
- Gross margin45%
- Operating margin0%
- Return on equity8%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+5%
- Net debt / EBITDA0.0×
Chart & levels
Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $10.35
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$10.29−0.6%
- Fair value est.base case$10.29−0.5%
- PriceMon Nov 2 close$10.35you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$15.25+47.3%
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 39 · 5 days +0.6%
Signals
Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Next report
Nov 5
- DateThu Nov 5
- Consensus EPS$0.09
- Year-ago EPS$0.09
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
CCU is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.
Voices & buzz
Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Compania Cervecerias Unidas in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 5:14 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Beverages
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.