Stocks / Finance · Consumer finance
Coinbase Global COIN
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 58% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: our model doesn’t fit it reliably.
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- forming
- Off 52-wk high
- −58%
- Risk vs market
- Highbeta 2.96
1 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $143.54
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$141.09−1.7%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$143.54you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$343.78+139.5%
Fair value estimate
Estimate unreliable for COIN: the book-value model gives 81% below the price, more than we can stand behind for a financial company. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much COIN moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Swings much more than the market, and its own price swings are 5.7× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 2.96
- Volatility
- 72% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.52
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.49
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 1 of 5
GrowthSales compounded 31% a year from FY2022 to FY2025.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
GrowthSales fell 27% over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).
GrowthSales growth slowed to −27% over the last 12 months, from 31% a year over the prior three fiscal years.
GrowthDiluted EPS fell 53% to $4.45 in FY2025.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: not profitable over the last 12 months; ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%; sales down vs the year-ago quarter.
RiskSwings hard: beta 2.96 vs the S&P 500 and 72% yearly volatility (SPY 13%).
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Coinbase Global in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Consumer finance
All fundamentals
ROE -5% · Sales −27%
Valuation
- P/E
- n/aloss over the last 12 months
- Price / FCF
- n/acash flow isn't a clean measure for a lender
- FCF yield
- n/acash flow isn't a clean measure for a lender
- EV / EBITDA
- n/anot meaningful for a lender
- Price / sales
- 7.34×
- Price / book
- 2.97×
- Market cap
- $41.3Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- $39.2B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $5.6B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- −26.6%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +31.0%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- −$2.53
- EPS growth, last FY
- −53.1%
- Net income, 12 months
- −$702M
- Net income growth
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Profitability
- Gross margin
- n/anot meaningful for a lender
- Operating margin
- 3.6%
- Net margin
- −12.5%
- FCF margin
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Return on equity
- −5%
- Return on invested capital
- n/anot meaningful for a lender
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $8.8B
- Total debt
- $6.6B
- Net cash
- n/anot meaningful for a lender
- Debt / equity
- n/adeposits/float make debt/equity not comparable for a lender
- Interest coverage
- n/anot meaningful for a lender
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Dividend yield
- 0%
- Payout ratio
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $2.0B4.9% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- −1.4%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $950M
Trailing 12 months to Sep 30, 2026; balance sheet at Sep 30, 2026. From Coinbase Global’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 32 · 5 days −12.7%
The business
FCF $1.4B · Sales −35%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$1.4B
- Free-cash-flow yield3.3%
- Return on equity−5%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)−35%
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
COIN is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.