QualityDipStocks / Finance · Major Banks
Columbia Banking System COLB
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 9% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen, trading near our fair value estimate.
- Fair value est.
- $30.89+1%
- Market Value
- $30.90price −1%
- Off 52-wk high
- −9%
- Risk vs market
- Below marketbeta 0.83
4 bullish · 4 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $30.70
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$25.75−16.1%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$30.70you are here
- Fair value est.base case$30.89+0.6%
- Market Valueavg paid since Oct 22$30.90+0.7%
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$33.61+9.5%
Fair value estimate
How the range is computed
Financials model (residual income). Same residual-income model as the base: cost of equity 9.5% ±1 point and return on equity 10.9% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 8.9%; bull = 8.5% and 12.9%. A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.
Price sits inside the range.
What the price implies To be worth today’s price, COLB would need a return on equity of about 11% a year; our estimate uses 11%.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much COLB moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Moves a bit less than the market, and its own price swings are 2.0× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.83
- Volatility
- 25% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.42
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.28
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 4 of 5
GrowthSales grew 34% to $2.7B over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).
GrowthSales compounded 22% a year from FY2022 to FY2025.
Cash returnsDividend yield of 4.6% ($397M paid over 12 months, 56% of earnings).
ValuationPrice / book of 1.2×, below the 1.8× median for the 143 Finance companies we cover.
Top bearish points 4 of 5
Cash returnsShare count up 36.4% in a year: existing holders are being diluted.
GrowthDiluted EPS fell 9.8% in the last fiscal year, below the 17% median for the 137 Finance companies we cover.
ProfitabilityReturn on equity of 11%, below the 13% median for the 143 Finance companies we cover.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: no cash-flow data.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Columbia Banking System in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Major Banks
All fundamentals
P/E 12.2 · ROE 11% · Sales +34%
Valuation
- P/E
- 12.2×Finance median 13.5×
- Price / FCF
- n/acash flow isn't a clean measure for a bank
- FCF yield
- n/acash flow isn't a clean measure for a bank
- EV / EBITDA
- n/anot meaningful for a bank
- Price / sales
- 3.27×
- Price / book
- 1.15×
- Market cap
- $8.7Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $2.7Bnet interest income + noninterest income
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +33.6%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +21.9%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $2.54
- EPS growth, last FY
- −9.8%
- Net income, 12 months
- $709M
- Net income growth
- +34%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- n/anot meaningful for a bank
- Operating margin
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net margin
- 26.7%
- FCF margin
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Return on equity
- 11%
- Return on invested capital
- n/anot meaningful for a bank
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $1.8B
- Total debt
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net cash
- n/anot meaningful for a bank
- Debt / equity
- n/adeposits/float make debt/equity not comparable for a bank
- Interest coverage
- n/anot meaningful for a bank
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Dividend yield
- 4.57%$397M paid
- Payout ratio
- 56%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $518M6.0% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- +36.4%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $36M
Trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026; balance sheet at Jun 30, 2026. From Columbia Banking System’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
DCF $30.89 · MV $30.90
Financials model (residual income): book value $27.79 a share on Jun 30, 2026, plus the earnings above a 9.5% cost of equity. ROE 10.9%, the average of 10.5% for the trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026 and 11.3% over fiscal 2021–2025, on average common equity; payout 100% of earnings (dividends 56% + net buybacks 68%; capped at 100%), so book grows by the retained rest; the return above 9.5% fades halfway toward 9.5% over 10 years, then grows at 3% (terminal value). From the 10-Q filed Aug 4, 2026.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 62 · 5 days −0.5%
The business
Sales +29%
- Return on equity11%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+29%
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
COLB is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.