QualityDipStocks / Technology · Software
Coursera COUR
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 55% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen, trading near our fair value estimate.
Worth knowing
- Down 57% from its 52-week high while revenue grew 23%
- Lowest price in 5 years of weekly closes
From the data on this page, as of the last close. How we pick these
- Fair value est.
- $3.98+5%
- Market Value
- forming
- Off 52-wk high
- −55%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta 0.59
52-week range 6% of the way from its 52-week low to its high
Price $3.79Fair value est. $3.98
3 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Priced in
How much growth the market assumed at the 52-week high, the low and today (a reverse DCF).
At the low ($3.47, Oct 30) about 11%; today about 12%. The last 3 years delivered 13%/yr (revenue).
Dashed line: what the last 3 years delivered, 13%/yr (revenue)
| Low | Now | |
|---|---|---|
| Price | $3.47Oct 30 | $3.79 |
| Implied growth | +11% | +12% |
| P/FCF | 24.2× | 26.5× |
What this means: the higher the implied growth, the more the price already counts on. If today's number sits well below what the business has delivered, the market expects less than its track record.
How it’s computed
Reverse DCF: the same 10-year free-cash-flow model as our fair value estimate (9.5% discount rate, growth for years 1–5 fading to 3% by year 10, 3% after), solved for the growth that makes it equal the market value at each price. For the high and the low we use only the filings that were public on that day, so nothing from a later report leaks back. Market value = that close × diluted shares. P/E = market value / 12-month net income; Price / FCF = market value / 12-month free cash flow; EV / Sales = (market value + debt − cash) / 12-month revenue. Hidden when the share count moved over 20% (split, merger), free cash flow is negative, or the company reports in another currency.
Valuation
What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.
Fair value estimate
How the range is computed
Ten-year free-cash-flow DCF. Same 10-year free-cash-flow model as the base: discount rate 9.5% ±1 point and growth 13.1% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 11.1%; bull = 8.5% and 15.1% (both fade to 3%). A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.
Price sits inside the range.
What the price implies To be worth today’s price, COUR’s free cash flow would need to grow about 12% a year for five years; our estimate uses 13%.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much COUR moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Moves much less than the market, but its own price swings are 4.8× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.59
- Volatility
- 61% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.12
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.05
How it ranks
Where COUR stands vs every one of the 2,467 stocks we cover that has the number. Longer bar = better.
Top quarter on 2 of 5 measures
- Discount to fair value estimate5% · price below our base caseTop 43%of 1,507
- Free cash flow yield3.8% · free cash flow vs market capLowest 49%of 1,690
- Dividends + buybacks yield9.9% · cash paid out or used to retire shares, vs market capTop 7%of 2,227
- Revenue growth, last 12 months+23% · vs the 12 months beforeTop 22%of 2,184
- Operating margin−18% · of sales kept as operating profitLowest 6%of 1,549
From SEC filings and our fair value estimate model. A ranking, not advice.
Valuation details
DCF $3.98 · FCF value $2.84
Assumes 13.1% growth for 5 years (revenue grew 13.1% a year FY22–FY25), fading to 3%; 9.5% discount rate, 3% terminal growth. FCF base $0.14 a share (trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026), from the 10-Q filed Aug 5, 2026.
Fundamentals
The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 3 of 5
ProfitabilityOperating margin widened to −10.2% in FY2025 from −22.9% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
GrowthSales grew 23% to $885M over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).
ValuationPrice / book of 0.8×, below the 5.0× median for the 312 Technology companies we cover.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ProfitabilityLost $136M over the last 12 months (net income, SEC filings).
Cash returnsShare count up 43.6% in a year: existing holders are being diluted.
Cash returnsFree cash flow fell 71% over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before.
ProfitabilityLoses money at the operating line: −18% operating margin over the last 12 months.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%.
All fundamentals
FCF yield 3.8% · ROE -15% · Sales +23%
Valuation
- P/E
- n/aloss over the last 12 months
- Price / FCF
- 26.5×
- FCF yield
- 3.8%
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 1.00×
- Price / book
- 0.76×
- Market cap
- $885Mprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $885M
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +22.7%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +13.1%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- −$0.71
- EPS growth, last FY
- n/afewer than two years of diluted EPS
- Net income, 12 months
- −$136M
- Net income growth
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 55.9%
- Operating margin
- −17.8%
- Net margin
- −15.4%
- FCF margin
- 3.8%
- Return on equity
- −15%
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $982M
- Total debt
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net cash
- n/acash or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $33M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- −71%
- Dividend yield
- 0%
- Payout ratio
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $87M9.9% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- +43.6%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $107M
Trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026; balance sheet at Jun 30, 2026. From Coursera’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
The business
FCF $0.0B · Sales +94%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$0.0B
- Free-cash-flow yield3.8%
- Gross margin57%
- Operating margin0%
- Return on invested capital1%
- Return on equity−18%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+94%
- Net debt / EBITDA−52.7×
Chart & levels
Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $3.79
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$3.47−8.4%
- PriceMon Nov 2 close$3.79you are here
- Fair value est.base case$3.98+5.0%
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$8.51+124.5%
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 29 · 5 days −23.7%
Signals
Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
COUR is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.
Voices & buzz
Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Coursera in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 5:14 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Software
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.