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CQP

Cheniere Energy Partners LP Common Units CQP

Utilities · Pipelines
$66.61−0.33% dayFri Oct 30 close

Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 6% below its 52-week high.

Outside our quality screen, trading well below our fair value estimate.

Outside our quality screen
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Fair value est.
$94.54+42%
Market Value
forming
Off 52-wk high
−6%
Risk vs market
Lowbeta −0.23

5 bullish · 4 bearish See why

$60$70Jan ’26AprJulOct
Fair value est.Drag across the chart to see any day
Covered for reference — doesn’t pass our quality screen (net debt 3.1× EBITDA (limit 3×)). We show its price, Market Value and DCF, but it never appears in Dips, Top Picks or reversal signals. The screen

Key levels

Every level vs today’s $66.61

  1. 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$50.91−23.6%
  2. PriceFri Oct 30 close$66.61you are here
  3. 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$71.22+6.9%
  4. Fair value est.base case$94.54+41.9%

Fair value estimate

How the range is computed

Ten-year free-cash-flow DCF. Same 10-year free-cash-flow model as the base: discount rate 9.5% ±1 point and growth 3.0% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 1.0%; bull = 8.5% and 5.0% (both fade to 3%). A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.

$94.54+42% vs price
Bear$73.36
Base$94.54
Bull$125.45

Price is below even the bear case.

Cyclical / peak cash flow — treat with care

What the price implies To be worth today’s price, CQP’s free cash flow would need to shrink about 3% a year for five years; our estimate uses 3%.

Risk vs market

How risk vs market is measured

One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much CQP moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.

Low

Has moved mostly independently of the market, but its own price swings are 2.3× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).

Beta vs S&P 500
-0.23
Volatility
30% vs 13% SPY
Correlation SPY
−0.10
Correlation QQQ
−0.12

Bull vs bear

Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.

Top bullish points 5 of 5

  1. ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of 9.0% (price / FCF 11.2×): $2.9B of free cash in the last 12 months.

  2. ValuationP/E of 9.9× vs a 21.2× median for the 55 Utilities companies we cover.

  3. ValuationOur DCF fair value estimate is $94.54, 42% above the price (cyclical or peak cash flow, so treat with care).

  4. ProfitabilityOperating margin of 34% over the last 12 months.

  5. GrowthDiluted EPS grew 29% to $3.00 in FY2021.

Top bearish points 4 of 5

  1. ProfitabilityOperating margin narrowed to 34.4% in FY2025 from 52.1% in FY2023 (SEC filings).

  2. GrowthSales shrank 14% a year from FY2022 to FY2025.

  3. QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: net debt 3.1× EBITDA (limit 3×).

  4. RiskCyclical business: one strong year of cash flow can make it look cheaper than it is.

Who’s talking about it

Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Cheniere Energy Partners LP Common Units in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.

No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.

Compare with peers

Closest in size in Pipelines

All fundamentals

P/E 9.9 · FCF yield 9.0% · Sales +13%

Valuation

P/E
9.9×Utilities median 21.2×
Price / FCF
11.2×
FCF yield
9.0%
EV / EBITDA
n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
Price / sales
2.76×
Price / book
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Market cap
$32.2Bprice × diluted shares
Enterprise value
n/anot reported in its SEC filings

Growth

Revenue, 12 months
$11.7B
Sales growth, 12 months
+13.2%vs the 12 months before
Sales growth, 3 yrs
−14.5%/yrfrom FY2022
Diluted EPS, 12 months
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
EPS growth, last FY
+29.3%
Net income, 12 months
$3.3B
Net income growth
+41%12 months vs before

Profitability

Gross margin
n/agross profit isn't reported (common for service and financial companies)
Operating margin
34.2%
Net margin
28.1%
FCF margin
24.8%
Return on equity
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Return on invested capital
n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged

Balance sheet

Cash & short-term inv.
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Total debt
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Net cash
n/acash or debt not tagged in SEC data
Debt / equity
n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
Interest coverage
5.4×operating income / interest

Cash flow & returns

Free cash flow, 12 months
$2.9B
FCF growth, 12 months
+14%
Dividend yield
0%
Payout ratio
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Buybacks, 12 months
n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Share count, 1 year
n/ano quarterly diluted share count
Stock-based comp
n/anot reported in its SEC filings

Trailing 12 months to Sep 30, 2026. From Cheniere Energy Partners LP Common Units’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.

Valuation details

DCF $94.54 · FCF value $143.84

How

Market ValueForming: thesis-changing filing on Oct 29, needs five trading days
forming
Fair value estimateDCF: ten years of free cash flow per share, discounted
$94.5442% upside

Cyclical / peak cash flow — treat with care

Assumes 3.0% growth for 5 years (revenue grew -14.5% a year FY22–FY25; floored at 3%), fading to 3%; 9.5% discount rate, 3% terminal growth. FCF base $5.97 a share (trailing 12 months to Sep 30, 2026), from the 10-Q filed Oct 29, 2026. Net debt $13.7B, not deducted.

FCF valuePrice at a 4% yield on trailing free cash flow ($2.8B)
$143.84price −54%

Setup & signals

No setup armed

All setups

No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.

Momentum & 52-week range

RSI 58 · 5 days +0.7%
$66.61now
52-wk low $50.91high $71.22
Off 52-wk high−6.5%
5 days+0.7%
vs 50-day avg+1.5%
vs 200-day avg+5.1%
RSI (14)58
Market cap$32B

The business

FCF $2.8B · Sales +5%
  • Free cash flow, 12 months$2.8B
  • Free-cash-flow yield8.6%
  • Free-cash-flow margin24%
  • Gross margin44%
  • Operating margin34%
  • Return on invested capital20%
  • Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+5%
  • Net debt / EBITDA3.1×

Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.

CQP is outside our quality screen

One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.

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