QualityDipStocks / Consumer Discretionary · Marine Transportation
Danaos DAC
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 10% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: there isn’t enough data.
Worth knowing
- Operating margin 48%, top 3% of the 1288 we measure
- Share count down 7% in 2 years
From the data on this page, as of the last close. How we pick these
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- —
- Off 52-wk high
- −10%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta 0.63
5 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Repriced or dip?
Near its high
The price is 10% below its 52-week high (Oct 8), but the business held up: shares outstanding fewer shares, each owns more, net cash (cash minus debt) 0.0% of market cap since the high, operating margin 0.0 pts.
Some numbers held up (shares outstanding fewer shares, each owns more, net cash (cash minus debt) 0.0% of market cap since the high, operating margin 0.0 pts), others slipped. The price is 10% below its 52-week high.
The price is 10% below its 52-week high, and the business changed too.
Within 10% of its 52-week high, so there is no dip to judge yet.
Data-based read, not advice.
Priced in
How much growth the market assumed at the 52-week high, the low and today (a reverse DCF).
52-wk high: P/E 6.4×; now: P/E 5.7×.
| High | Now | |
|---|---|---|
| Price | $170.22Oct 8 | $153.96 |
| Implied growth | n/a | n/a |
| P/E | 6.4× | 5.7× |
| EV/Sales | 3.0× | 2.7× |
What this means: a lower P/E than at the high means you pay less for each dollar of profit than buyers did then.
How it’s computed
Reverse DCF: the same 10-year free-cash-flow model as our fair value estimate (9.5% discount rate, growth for years 1–5 fading to 3% by year 10, 3% after), solved for the growth that makes it equal the market value at each price. For the high and the low we use only the filings that were public on that day, so nothing from a later report leaks back. Market value = that close × diluted shares. P/E = market value / 12-month net income; Price / FCF = market value / 12-month free cash flow; EV / Sales = (market value + debt − cash) / 12-month revenue. Hidden when the share count moved over 20% (split, merger), free cash flow is negative, or the company reports in another currency.
Valuation
What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.
Fair value estimate
No estimate for DAC: Capital spending isn't tagged in SEC XBRL data. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much DAC moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Moves much less than the market, but its own price swings are 1.9× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.63
- Volatility
- 24% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.34
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.29
How it ranks
Where DAC stands vs every one of the 1,996 stocks we cover that has the number. Longer bar = better.
Top quarter on 1 of 4 measures
- Dividends + buybacks yield5% · cash paid out or used to retire shares, vs market capTop 27%of 1,836
- Revenue growth, last 12 months+2.8% · vs the 12 months beforeLowest 21%of 1,814
- Operating margin48% · of sales kept as operating profitTop 3%of 1,288
- Return on invested capital13% · profit per dollar of capitalTop 38%of 838
From SEC filings and our fair value estimate model. A ranking, not advice.
Valuation details
Fundamentals
The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
ValuationP/E of 5.7× vs a 20.7× median for the 341 Consumer Discretionary companies we cover.
ProfitabilityOperating margin of 48% over the last 12 months.
ValuationEV/EBITDA of 4.2×: modest for what the business earns before interest, tax and depreciation.
Cash returnsDividend yield of 2.3% ($64M paid over 12 months, 13% of earnings).
Balance sheetNet cash of $2M: cash and short-term investments exceed debt (Dec 31, 2025).
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ProfitabilityOperating margin narrowed to 47.8% in FY2025 from 59.6% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
Balance sheetDebt rose 186% to $1.2B from FY2023 to FY2025.
ProfitabilityReturn on equity fell 6 points in two fiscal years, to 13% in FY2025.
GrowthSales grew only 1.6% a year from FY2022 to FY2025.
RiskReports earnings Nov 16: results can move the price sharply and reset Market Value.
All fundamentals
P/E 5.7 · ROE 14% · Sales +3%
Valuation
- P/E
- 5.7×Consumer Discretionary median 20.7×
- Price / FCF
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- FCF yield
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- EV / EBITDA
- 4.2×
- Price / sales
- 2.69×
- Price / book
- 0.74×
- Market cap
- $2.8Blisted
- Enterprise value
- $2.8B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $1.0B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +2.8%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +1.6%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $26.76
- EPS growth, last FY
- +2.7%
- Net income, 12 months
- $495M
- Net income growth
- −2%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- n/agross profit isn't reported (common for service and financial companies)
- Operating margin
- 47.8%
- Net margin
- 47.4%
- FCF margin
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Return on equity
- 14%
- Return on invested capital
- 13%
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $1.2B
- Total debt
- $1.2B
- Net cash
- $2M
- Debt / equity
- 0.30×
- Interest coverage
- n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Dividend yield
- 2.27%$64M paid
- Payout ratio
- 13%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $76M2.7% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- n/ano quarterly diluted share count
- Stock-based comp
- $17M
Trailing 12 months to Dec 31, 2025; balance sheet at Dec 31, 2025. From Danaos’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
The business
FCF $0.0B · Sales +5%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$0.0B
- Free-cash-flow margin0%
- Gross margin71%
- Operating margin48%
- Return on invested capital10%
- Return on equity14%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+5%
- Net debt / EBITDA−0.0×
Chart & levels
Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $153.96
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$89.60−41.8%
- PriceMon Nov 2 close$153.96you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$170.22+10.6%
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 39 · 5 days −2.6%
Signals
Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Next report
Nov 16
- DateMon Nov 16
- Year-ago EPS$6.75
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
DAC is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.
Voices & buzz
Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Danaos in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 1:01 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Marine Transportation
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.