QualityDipStocks / Consumer Staples · Agriculture
Dole DOLE
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 19% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen, trading below our fair value estimate.
- Fair value est.
- $15.06+13%
- Market Value
- $13.26at the price
- Off 52-wk high
- −19%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta −0.03
52-week range 18% of the way from its 52-week low to its high
Price $13.31Fair value est. $15.06Market Value $13.26
5 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Priced in
How much growth the market assumed at the 52-week high, the low and today (a reverse DCF).
At the low ($12.64, Oct 1) about 1%; today about 2%. The last 3 years delivered −78%/yr (free cash flow).
Dashed line: what the last 3 years delivered, −78%/yr (free cash flow)
| Low | Now | |
|---|---|---|
| Price | $12.64Oct 1 | $13.31 |
| Implied growth | +1% | +2% |
| P/E | 20.3× | 21.3× |
| P/FCF | 14.5× | 15.3× |
| EV/Sales | 0.2× | 0.2× |
What this means: the higher the implied growth, the more the price already counts on. If today's number sits well below what the business has delivered, the market expects less than its track record.
How it’s computed
Reverse DCF: the same 10-year free-cash-flow model as our fair value estimate (9.5% discount rate, growth for years 1–5 fading to 3% by year 10, 3% after), solved for the growth that makes it equal the market value at each price. For the high and the low we use only the filings that were public on that day, so nothing from a later report leaks back. Market value = that close × diluted shares. P/E = market value / 12-month net income; Price / FCF = market value / 12-month free cash flow; EV / Sales = (market value + debt − cash) / 12-month revenue. Hidden when the share count moved over 20% (split, merger), free cash flow is negative, or the company reports in another currency.
Valuation
What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.
Fair value estimate
How the range is computed
Ten-year free-cash-flow DCF. Same 10-year free-cash-flow model as the base: discount rate 9.5% ±1 point and growth 4.6% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 2.6%; bull = 8.5% and 6.6% (both fade to 3%). A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.
Price sits inside the range.
What the price implies To be worth today’s price, DOLE’s free cash flow would need to grow about 2% a year for five years; our estimate uses 5%.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much DOLE moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Has moved mostly independently of the market, but its own price swings are 1.8× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- -0.03
- Volatility
- 23% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- −0.01
- Correlation QQQ
- −0.13
How it ranks
Where DOLE stands vs every one of the 2,467 stocks we cover that has the number. Longer bar = better.
Not in the top quarter on any of these 5 measures
- Discount to fair value estimate13% · price below our base caseTop 38%of 1,507
- Free cash flow yield6.5% · free cash flow vs market capTop 27%of 1,690
- Dividends + buybacks yield2.5% · cash paid out or used to retire shares, vs market capLowest 49%of 2,227
- Operating margin1.7% · of sales kept as operating profitLowest 19%of 1,549
- Return on invested capital5.1% · profit per dollar of capitalLowest 28%of 1,001
From SEC filings and our fair value estimate model. A ranking, not advice.
Valuation details
DCF $15.06 · MV $13.26 · FCF value $38.39
Assumes 4.6% growth for 5 years (revenue grew 4.6% a year FY22–FY25), fading to 3%; 9.5% discount rate, 3% terminal growth. FCF base $0.87 a share (trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026), from the 10-Q filed Aug 10, 2026. Net debt $710M, not deducted.
Fundamentals
The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 5 of 5
ValuationOur DCF fair value estimate is $15.06, 13% above the price.
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of 6.5% (price / FCF 15.3×): $83M of free cash in the last 12 months.
Balance sheetPaid down debt: $829M at FY2025, 22% less than at FY2023.
ValuationEV/EBITDA of 7.2×: modest for what the business earns before interest, tax and depreciation.
Cash returnsDividend yield of 2.5% ($32M paid over 12 months, 54% of earnings).
Top bearish points 5 of 5
GrowthDiluted EPS fell 60% to $0.53 in FY2025.
Balance sheetOperating income covers interest only 2.7× over the last 12 months.
Balance sheetNet debt of $710M, 56% of the market cap (Jun 30, 2026).
ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital of 5%, below the 9.5% discount rate our DCF uses.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%; net debt 3.8× EBITDA (limit 3×).
All fundamentals
P/E 21.3 · FCF yield 6.5% · ROE 4%
Valuation
- P/E
- 21.3×Consumer Staples median 21.1×
- Price / FCF
- 15.3×
- FCF yield
- 6.5%
- EV / EBITDA
- 7.2×
- Price / sales
- 0.13×
- Price / book
- 0.96×
- Market cap
- $1.3Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- $2.0B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $9.5B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- n/ano year-ago 12-month revenue
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- +4.6%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $0.62
- EPS growth, last FY
- −59.8%
- Net income, 12 months
- $60M
- Net income growth
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 7.3%
- Operating margin
- 1.7%
- Net margin
- 0.6%
- FCF margin
- 0.9%
- Return on equity
- 4%
- Return on invested capital
- 5%
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $299M
- Total debt
- $1.0B
- Net cash
- −$710M
- Debt / equity
- 0.76×
- Interest coverage
- 2.7×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $83M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Dividend yield
- 2.54%$32M paid
- Payout ratio
- 54%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Share count, 1 year
- −0.2%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $7M
Trailing 12 months to Jun 30, 2026; balance sheet at Jun 30, 2026. From Dole’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
The business
FCF $0.1B · Sales +3%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$0.1B
- Free-cash-flow yield6.5%
- Free-cash-flow margin2%
- Gross margin7%
- Operating margin3%
- Return on invested capital8%
- Return on equity7%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+3%
- Net debt / EBITDA3.8×
Chart & levels
Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $13.31
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$12.64−5.0%
- Market Valueavg paid since Aug 10$13.26−0.4%
- PriceMon Nov 2 close$13.31you are here
- Fair value est.base case$15.06+13.2%
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$16.37+23.0%
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 53 · 5 days +0.1%
Signals
Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Next report
Nov 9
- DateMon Nov 9, before the open
- Consensus EPS$0.31
- Year-ago EPS$0.16
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
DOLE is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.
Voices & buzz
Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Dole in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 5:14 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Agriculture
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.