QualityDipStocks / Industrials · Fluid Controls
Flowserve FLS
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 14% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen, trading well above our fair value estimate.
- Fair value est.
- $22.53−71%
- Market Value
- forming
- Off 52-wk high
- −14%
- Risk vs market
- Highbeta 1.72
2 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $79.01
- Fair value est.base case$22.53−71.5%
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$64.39−18.5%
- PriceFri Oct 30 close$79.01you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$92.04+16.5%
Fair value estimate
How the range is computed
Ten-year free-cash-flow DCF. Same 10-year free-cash-flow model as the base: discount rate 9.5% ±1 point and growth 6.0% ±2 points. Bear = 10.5% and 4.0%; bull = 8.5% and 8.0% (both fade to 3%). A model estimate from public filings, not a forecast of where the price will go.
Price is above even the bull case.
What the price implies To be worth today’s price, FLS’s free cash flow would need to grow about 29% a year for five years; our estimate uses 6%.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 30 to Oct 30, 252 sessions). Beta = how much FLS moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Swings much more than the market, and its own price swings are 3.3× the S&P 500’s.
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 1.72
- Volatility
- 42% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.53
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.49
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 2 of 5
GrowthDiluted EPS grew 23% to $2.64 in FY2025.
Cash returnsShare count down 2.5% in a year: $132M of buybacks over 12 months.
Top bearish points 5 of 5
ValuationOur DCF fair value estimate is $22.53, 71% below the price.
Cash returnsFree cash flow fell 76% over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before.
Balance sheetDebt rose 28% to $1.6B from FY2023 to FY2025.
ValuationPrice / free cash flow of 66×: a rich price for the cash it generates today.
ValuationP/E of 39.7× vs a 27.5× median for the 130 Industrials companies we cover.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Flowserve in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 1, 9:09 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Fluid Controls
All fundamentals
P/E 39.7 · FCF yield 1.5% · ROE 11%
Valuation
- P/E
- 39.7×Industrials median 27.5×
- Price / FCF
- 65.8×
- FCF yield
- 1.5%
- EV / EBITDA
- 19.8×
- Price / sales
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Price / book
- 4.37×
- Market cap
- $10.1Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- $11.4B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $0
- Sales growth, 12 months
- n/ano year-ago 12-month revenue
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $2.00
- EPS growth, last FY
- +23.4%
- Net income, 12 months
- $255M
- Net income growth
- −44%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- n/agross profit isn't reported (common for service and financial companies)
- Operating margin
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net margin
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- FCF margin
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Return on equity
- 11%
- Return on invested capital
- 10%
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $742M
- Total debt
- $2.1B
- Net cash
- −$1.3B
- Debt / equity
- 0.89×
- Interest coverage
- 5.1×operating income / interest
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $154M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- −76%
- Dividend yield
- 1.09%$110M paid
- Payout ratio
- 43%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $132M1.3% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- −2.5%diluted shares vs a year ago
- Stock-based comp
- $43M
Trailing 12 months to Sep 30, 2026; balance sheet at Sep 30, 2026. From Flowserve’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
Valuation details
DCF $22.53 · FCF value $29.05
Assumes 6.0% growth for 5 years (default; under two years of revenue in SEC data), fading to 3%; 9.5% discount rate, 3% terminal growth. FCF base $1.20 a share (trailing 12 months to Sep 30, 2026), from the 10-Q filed Oct 28, 2026.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 64 · 5 days +15.9%
The business
FCF $0.1B · Sales +5%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$0.1B
- Free-cash-flow yield1.5%
- Gross margin35%
- Operating margin14%
- Return on invested capital14%
- Return on equity12%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+5%
- Net debt / EBITDA2.1×
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.
FLS is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 333 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.