QualityDipStocks / Industrials · Containers/Packaging
Greif GEF
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 8% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: there isn’t enough data.
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- $83.42price −1%
- Off 52-wk high
- −8%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta 0.43
4 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Repriced or dip?
Near its high
The price is 8% below its 52-week high (Aug 5), but the business held up: net cash (cash minus debt) 0.0% of market cap since the high, operating margin 0.0 pts, free cash flow 0.0%.
Some numbers held up (net cash (cash minus debt) 0.0% of market cap since the high, operating margin 0.0 pts, free cash flow 0.0%), others slipped. The price is 8% below its 52-week high.
The price is 8% below its 52-week high, and the business changed too.
Within 10% of its 52-week high, so there is no dip to judge yet.
Data-based read, not advice.
Valuation
What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.
Fair value estimate
No estimate for GEF: Capital spending isn't tagged for the latest period in SEC XBRL data. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much GEF moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Moves much less than the market, but its own price swings are 1.9× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.43
- Volatility
- 24% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.23
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.08
How it ranks
Where GEF stands vs every one of the 1,996 stocks we cover that has the number. Longer bar = better.
Top quarter on 2 of 5 measures
- Free cash flow yield8.9% · free cash flow vs market capTop 14%of 1,391
- Dividends + buybacks yield3.3% · cash paid out or used to retire shares, vs market capTop 43%of 1,836
- Revenue growth, last 12 months+24% · vs the 12 months beforeTop 21%of 1,814
- Operating margin5.5% · of sales kept as operating profitLowest 28%of 1,288
- Return on invested capital3.9% · profit per dollar of capitalLowest 18%of 838
From SEC filings and our fair value estimate model. A ranking, not advice.
Valuation details
MV $83.42
Fundamentals
The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 4 of 5
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield of 8.9% (price / FCF 11.2×): $339M of free cash in the last 12 months.
Cash returnsFree cash flow grew 120% over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before.
GrowthSales grew 24% to $4.3B over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before (SEC filings).
Cash returnsDividend yield of 3.3% ($125M paid over 12 months, 66% of earnings).
Top bearish points 5 of 5
Balance sheetNet debt of $2.4B, 64% of the market cap (Jul 31, 2025).
Balance sheetDebt rose 43% to $2.7B from FY2022 to FY2024.
GrowthSales shrank 8% a year from FY2021 to FY2024.
ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital of 4%, below the 9.5% discount rate our DCF uses.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: no positive free cash flow.
All fundamentals
P/E 20.0 · FCF yield 8.9% · ROE 9%
Valuation
- P/E
- 20.0×Industrials median 26.5×
- Price / FCF
- 11.2×
- FCF yield
- 8.9%
- EV / EBITDA
- 12.3×
- Price / sales
- 0.88×
- Price / book
- 1.73×
- Market cap
- $3.8Blisted
- Enterprise value
- $6.2B
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $4.3B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +23.5%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- −7.8%/yrfrom FY2021
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- EPS growth, last FY
- n/afewer than two years of diluted EPS
- Net income, 12 months
- $190M
- Net income growth
- −29%12 months vs before
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 21.7%
- Operating margin
- 5.5%
- Net margin
- 4.4%
- FCF margin
- 7.8%
- Return on equity
- 9%
- Return on invested capital
- 4%
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $285M
- Total debt
- $2.7B
- Net cash
- −$2.4B
- Debt / equity
- 1.24×
- Interest coverage
- n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $339M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- +120%
- Dividend yield
- 3.29%$125M paid
- Payout ratio
- 66%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Share count, 1 year
- n/ano quarterly diluted share count
- Stock-based comp
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Trailing 12 months to Jul 31, 2025; balance sheet at Jul 31, 2025. From Greif’s SEC filings. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
The business
Sales +4%
- Gross margin22%
- Operating margin11%
- Return on invested capital16%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+4%
- Net debt / EBITDA1.6×
Chart & levels
Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $82.82
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$56.69−31.6%
- PriceMon Nov 2 close$82.82you are here
- Market Valueavg paid since Jul 31$83.42+0.7%
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$90.12+8.8%
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 54 · 5 days +0.1%
Signals
Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
Next report
Nov 3
- DateTue Nov 3, after the close
- Consensus EPS$1.09
- Year-ago EPSN/A
- QuarterSep/2026
From Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. A report resets Market Value.
GEF is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.
Voices & buzz
Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on Greif in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 1:01 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Containers/Packaging
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.