QualityDipStocks / Utilities · Environmental Services
GFL Environmental Subordinate voting shares no par value GFL
Outside our quality screen, so we don’t track its dips. It’s 1% below its 52-week high.
Outside our quality screen. No fair value estimate for now: its share count is unclear.
- Fair value est.
- n/a
- Market Value
- —
- Off 52-wk high
- −1%
- Risk vs market
- Lowbeta 0.26
3 bullish · 5 bearish See why
Valuation
What we estimate it's worth, and how it ranks on value vs every stock we cover.
Fair value estimate
No estimate for GFL: SEC share count doesn't match the listed shares. We’d rather show nothing than a made-up number.
Risk vs market
How risk vs market is measured
One year of daily returns (Oct 31 to Nov 2, 252 sessions). Beta = how much GFL moved for each 1% move in the S&P 500 (SPY); 1.0 moves with the market. Volatility is the yearly standard deviation of daily returns. Past behavior, not a forecast.
Has moved mostly independently of the market, but its own price swings are 2.3× the S&P 500’s (it moves on its own news).
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.26
- Volatility
- 30% vs 13% SPY
- Correlation SPY
- 0.11
- Correlation QQQ
- 0.02
How it ranks
Where GFL stands vs every one of the 1,996 stocks we cover that has the number. Longer bar = better.
Top quarter on 1 of 3 measures
- Free cash flow yield0.7% · free cash flow vs market capLowest 19%of 1,391
- Dividends + buybacks yield12% · cash paid out or used to retire shares, vs market capTop 3%of 1,836
- Revenue growth, last 12 months+7.8% · vs the 12 months beforeLowest 42%of 1,814
From SEC filings and our fair value estimate model. A ranking, not advice.
Valuation details
FCF value $14.94
Fundamentals
The business itself: sales, profits, cash and debt, from SEC filings.
Bull vs bear
Rule-based from the data on this page, strongest first. Not advice.
Top bullish points 3 of 5
ValuationP/E of 6.4× vs a 21.2× median for the 87 Utilities companies we cover.
ProfitabilityReturn on equity of 54% over the last 12 months, up 52 points in two years.
ProfitabilityGross margin widened to 20.7% in FY2025 from 16.9% in FY2023 (SEC filings).
Top bearish points 5 of 5
Cash returnsFree cash flow fell 50% over the last 12 months vs the 12 months before.
ValuationFree-cash-flow yield is just 0.7% (price / FCF 140×), so the price leans on future growth.
Cash returnsDividend yield of 0.1%, below the 2.9% median for the 77 Utilities companies we cover.
GrowthSales fell 0.7% a year over the last three fiscal years, below the 3.9% median for the 92 Utilities companies we cover.
QualityDoesn’t pass our quality screen: ROE under 12% and ROIC under 10%; net debt 6.8× EBITDA (limit 3×).
All fundamentals
P/E 6.4 · FCF yield 0.7% · ROE 54%
Valuation
- P/E
- 6.4×Utilities median 21.2×
- Price / FCF
- 139.6×
- FCF yield
- 0.7%
- EV / EBITDA
- n/aD&A or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Price / sales
- 3.68×
- Price / book
- 3.34×
- Market cap
- $17.4Bprice × diluted shares
- Enterprise value
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Growth
- Revenue, 12 months
- $4.7B
- Sales growth, 12 months
- +7.8%vs the 12 months before
- Sales growth, 3 yrs
- −0.7%/yrfrom FY2022
- Diluted EPS, 12 months
- $9.99
- EPS growth, last FY
- n/afewer than two years of diluted EPS
- Net income, 12 months
- $2.7B
- Net income growth
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Profitability
- Gross margin
- 20.7%
- Operating margin
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net margin
- 58.0%
- FCF margin
- 2.6%
- Return on equity
- 54%
- Return on invested capital
- n/aoperating income, debt, equity or cash not tagged
Balance sheet
- Cash & short-term inv.
- $61M
- Total debt
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
- Net cash
- n/acash or debt not tagged in SEC data
- Debt / equity
- n/adebt or equity not tagged in SEC data
- Interest coverage
- n/ainterest expense not tagged in SEC data
Cash flow & returns
- Free cash flow, 12 months
- $125M
- FCF growth, 12 months
- −50%
- Dividend yield
- 0.13%$22M paid
- Payout ratio
- 1%
- Buybacks, 12 months
- $2.1B12.2% of market cap
- Share count, 1 year
- n/ano quarterly diluted share count
- Stock-based comp
- n/anot reported in its SEC filings
Trailing 12 months to Dec 31, 2025; balance sheet at Dec 31, 2025. From GFL Environmental Subordinate voting shares no par value’s SEC filings, reported in CAD and converted to US dollars. Sparklines show up to six fiscal years. n/a means we don’t hold that number, with the reason. How each is computed.
The business
FCF $0.3B · Sales +27%
- Free cash flow, 12 months$0.3B
- Free-cash-flow yield0.7%
- Free-cash-flow margin4%
- Gross margin20%
- Operating margin9%
- Return on invested capital3%
- Return on equity−3%
- Sales growth (latest quarter vs year-ago quarter)+27%
- Net debt / EBITDA6.8×
Chart & levels
Where the price is vs its key levels and trends.
Key levels
Every level vs today’s $45.98
- 52-wk lowlowest close, 1 year$33.54−27.1%
- PriceMon Nov 2 close$45.98you are here
- 52-wk highhighest close, 1 year$46.51+1.2%
Momentum & 52-week range
RSI 62 · 5 days +0.7%
Signals
Reversal signal setups, the public ledger and the next earnings date.
Setup & signals
No setup armed
No setup armed, so there’s no trigger or stop to track yet. Reversal signal rules only run on companies that pass our quality screen.
GFL is outside our quality screen
One text when a published rule fires on one of the 332 quality companies we track: the ticker, the price, the stop and a link to the numbers. Nothing else.
Voices & buzz
Who is talking about it, and how it compares with peers.
Who’s talking about it
Notable investors, executives, analysts and public figures on GFL Environmental Subordinate voting shares no par value in the last 48 hours. Headlines as published, each linked. Their words, not ours.
No notable mentions in the last 48 hours. Checked Nov 3, 1:01 PM ET.
Compare with peers
Closest in size in Environmental Services
Information only, not investment advice. Fair value estimates and talking points are rule-based model output from public data and can be wrong; stop levels are reference points, not orders. How every number is computed.